2014 DRAFT GUIDE
By Jeff Paur
Senior Fantasy Writer
Realtime Fantasy Sports

Quarterbacks:

The quarterback position continues to be very deep for fantasy teams. It might be the deepest ever for fantasy teams this season with so many guys capable of posting top-five scoring numbers. Either way, having a top quarterback can be a big-time difference maker for fantasy teams. Teams that had Peyton Manning and Drew Brees made a lot of noise last season as both players posted a ton of points.

You can still wait on a quarterback and get a quality option such as Philip Rivers, but getting an elite option will cost you a pick in the first three or four rounds of your draft. And with the way things played out the last few seasons, getting one of those top guys isn't a bad idea these days for fantasy teams. We are in a pass-first NFL.

But you will also want to know your scoring system. Every league is different. Some leagues favor quarterbacks a little more while others try to devalue the position some by making passing touchdowns worth less as well as penalizing more for interceptions. So you'll want to know your scoring inside and out before deciding when to take a quarterback.



Running Backs:

When it comes to fantasy, the running back position is a top priority. And this will be the case even more this season. The top four or so backs really stand out over the other options. These guys will go fast come draft day, and teams having them will have an advantage over their opponents. There just aren't that many elite backs any more, especially with more teams using a two-back approach or throwing on nearly every down.

But there are other options out there with potential after those top guys are gone. Who is the Zac Stacy of this season? There are several players capable of having that breakout season, including Ben Tate, Toby Gerhart and Andre Ellington. There is a drop off after the top guys, so finding one of these diamonds in the rough is as important as ever for fantasy teams in 2014.


Wide Receivers:

The receiver position is a lot more coveted these days, mainly because so many leagues are points per reception (PPR). This makes getting someone like Calvin Johnson a big plus for fantasy teams. Top receivers have even more value in PPR leagues. If you don't get an elite option in a PPR league, you aren't likely winning your league.

And we have some quality top options. There are about 10 or so elite fantasy receivers - guys capable of leading the league in scoring. After the top guys, though, we have a lot of similar options, which is why many wait on receivers after the elite guys are gone. It is another reason teams load up on No. 1 receivers early. You can use different strategies at the receiver spot and have success both ways.

Just like at running back, teams are looking for the next surprise. Who will be Alshon Jeffery in 2014? There are several breakout candidates. Cordarrelle Patterson looks primed for a big season after making several big plays as a rookie. Jeremy Maclin is back from his torn ACL and will be the top receiver in the Eagles explosive offense. And don't discount Cecil Shorts III for a big season despite playing for a poor team. So there are options out there that could break through. It would be good to target one, get one on your team and hope for the best.


Tight Ends:

It is becoming more and more evident that the tight end position isn't overlooked these days. Just look at the last few seasons with Jimmy Graham posting huge numbers, point totals as high as any position. These are players that can carry a team to the playoffs. Needless to say, a top No. 1 tight end that produces similar to an elite receiver can be a huge plus for fantasy teams.

There are about five or so tight ends capable of having a monster season this year. If you want one of those guys, act quickly. You'll likely have to use a pick in the first five rounds.

But there remains a lot of talent after those top options. Guys like Dennis Pitta, Jordan Reed and Eric Ebron can be had fairly late in drafts but still produce solid starting tight end numbers for fantasy teams. So several players seem setup for solid seasons and are good reasons why some fantasy teams wait on a tight end while loading up on other positions.



Kickers:

We mention it every season, but the key to finding a successful fantasy kicker is drafting a kicker that is on a team that wins games. Of the 10 kickers that finished with 130 or more points last season, all but one played on team with a .500 or better record. There will be an occasional kicker that breaks this rule, but for the most part, the best kickers play on the best teams. They are giving them more opportunities to score, making their point totals among the best in the league.

And please don't be the guy that takes a kicker in the fifth round of your draft. The point deferential from week to week between the top kicker and the 10th rated guy is minimal. We aren't saying to totally discount the position, but use some discretion. Every point does matter, but having your core team in place before taking a kicker is a good idea come draft day.

You also know that some teams will surprise and a kicker's production will be rewarded. Last season, Nick Novak was the big surprise at kicker. He was third in the league in scoring, but went undrafted in many leagues because the Chargers weren't a team on everyone's radar last season. Keep that in mind when thinking about taking a kicker in the early rounds of your draft. Let someone else use a mid-round pick on Stephen Gostkowski while you solidify the rest of your roster.


Def / STs:

The big thing with the defense/special teams position is knowing your rules. Some leagues really reward defenses for sacks, turnovers and points allowed while others just give points for touchdowns scored by your defense/special teams. This is quite a different approach, so before ranking or picking a defense during your draft, know what your league favors. Your rules will dictate the value the position in your league.

With that said, the Seahawks are our top selection this season after another big season and most of those key guys returning in 2014. But after them, we have several solid choices. The 49ers, Chiefs, Broncos and Panthers should have solid seasons and are capable of finishing near the top of most leagues in defense/special teams scoring.

And there are a couple different approaches to taking a defense. If you want to use a mid-round pick on a defense/special teams, take the 49ers or Panthers or whoever you have rated high. But if you want to wait until the later rounds, grab two defenses you think you can platoon based on matchups. This is a good strategy to use if you want to wait a while before taking a defense and use that mid-round pick on another position. Getting two teams like the Cowboys and Ravens could do just as well as taking the 49ers with a higher pick. It is just something to think about heading into your draft. Platoon options can work well with this position.


Updated: 04/20/15

Top 200

  #1  D. Murray (RB)PHI8
  #2  Eddie Lacy (RB)GNB7
  #3  C.J. Anderson (RB)DEN7
Hot #4  Le'Veon Bell (RB)PIT11
  #5  Antonio Brown (WR)PIT11
  #6  J. Charles (RB)KAN9
  #7  Jordy Nelson (WR)GNB7
  #8  Dez Bryant (WR)DAL6
  #9  A. Peterson (RB)MIN5
  #10  M. Lynch (RB)SEA9
  #11  Jeremy Hill (RB)CIN7
  #12  Arian Foster (RB)HOU9
  #13  Matt Forte (RB)CHI7
Injury Concern #14  R. Gronkowski (TE)NWE4
  #15  Jimmy Graham (TE)SEA9
  #16  Andrew Luck (QB)IND10
  #17  Julio Jones (WR)ATL10
  #18  LeSean McCoy (RB)BUF8
  #19  C. Johnson (WR)DET9
  #20  Lamar Miller (RB)MIA5
  #21  Alfred Morris (RB)WAS8
  #22  D. Thomas (WR)DEN7
  #23  Aaron Rodgers (QB)GNB7
  #24  Mark Ingram (RB)NOR11
  #25  A. Ellington (RB)ARI9
  #26  L. Murray (RB)OAK6
  #27  Tre Mason (RB)STL6
  #28  D. Freeman (RB)ATL10
  #29  A.J. Green (WR)CIN7
  #30  Joique Bell (RB)DET9
  #31  J. Forsett (RB)BAL9
  #32  T Y Hilton (WR)IND10
  #33  A. Williams (RB)NYG11
  #34  Carlos Hyde (RB)SFO10
  #35  Jeremy Maclin (WR)KAN9
  #36  Dan Herron (RB)IND10
  #37  A. Jeffery (WR)CHI7
  #38  K. Benjamin (WR)CAR5
  #39  Julius Thomas (TE)JAC8
  #40  Randall Cobb (WR)GNB7
Injury Concern #41  J. Stewart (RB)CAR5
  #42  D. Hopkins (WR)HOU9
  #43  Ryan Mathews (RB)PHI8
  #44  Sammy Watkins (WR)BUF8
  #45  B. Marshall (WR)NYJ5
  #46  Bishop Sankey (RB)TEN4
  #47  D. Jackson (WR)WAS8
  #48  Stevan Ridley (RB)NYJ5
  #49  Chris Ivory (RB)NYJ5
  #50  K. Robinson (RB)NOR11
  #51  Terrance West (RB)CLE11
  #52  Drew Brees (QB)NOR11
  #53  P. Manning (QB)DEN7
  #54  B. Roethlisberger (QB)PIT11
  #55  Shane Vereen (RB)NYG11
  #56  L. Blount (RB)NWE4
  #57  C.J. Spiller (RB)NOR11
  #58  M. Stafford (QB)DET9
  #59  Matt Ryan (QB)ATL10
  #60  Eli Manning (QB)NYG11
  #61  G. Bernard (RB)CIN7
  #62  D. Robinson (RB)JAC8
  #63  Greg Olsen (TE)CAR5
  #64  D. Sproles (RB)PHI8
  #65  Knile Davis (RB)KAN9
  #66  Travis Kelce (TE)KAN9
  #67  Kyle Rudolph (TE)MIN5
  #68  E. Sanders (WR)DEN7
  #69  Roy Helu (RB)OAK6
  #70  T. Williams (WR)DAL6
  #71  Golden Tate (WR)DET9
  #72  Doug Martin (RB)TAM6
  #73  R. Jennings (RB)NYG11
  #74  B. Oliver (RB)SDG10
  #75  Frank Gore (RB)IND10
  #76  A. Bradshaw (RB)IND10
  #77  Eric Decker (WR)NYJ5
  #78  Fred Jackson (RB)BUF8
  #79  Keenan Allen (WR)SDG10
  #80  Theo Riddick (RB)DET9
  #81  Torrey Smith (WR)SFO10
  #82  Philip Rivers (QB)SDG10
  #83  V. Jackson (WR)TAM6
  #84  B. Cunningham (RB)STL6
  #85  S. Jackson (RB)ATL10
  #86  Robert Turbin (RB)SEA9
  #87  Mike Wallace (WR)MIN5
  #88  K. Wright (WR)TEN4
  #89  Tom Brady (QB)NWE4
  #90  M. Crabtree (WR)OAK6
  #91  Roddy White (WR)ATL10
  #92  Pierre Garcon (WR)WAS8
  #93  Percy Harvin (WR)BUF8
  #94  Shaun Hill (QB)MIN5
  #95  Cam Newton (QB)CAR5
  #96  M. Colston (WR)NOR11
  #97  Andre Johnson (WR)IND10
  #98  Victor Cruz (WR)NYG11
  #99  Vernon Davis (TE)SFO10
  #100  C. Shorts III (WR)HOU9
Sleeper #101  R. Tannehill (QB)MIA5
  #102  R. Wilson (QB)SEA9
  #103  Joe Flacco (QB)BAL9
  #104  Tony Romo (QB)DAL6
  #105  Riley Cooper (WR)PHI8
  #106  Andy Dalton (QB)CIN7
  #107  M. Bennett (TE)CHI7
  #108  Charles Clay (TE)BUF8
  #109  J. Cameron (TE)MIA5
  #110  Zach Ertz (TE)PHI8
  #111  Jason Witten (TE)DAL6
  #112  Carson Palmer (QB)ARI9
Hot #113  Nick Foles (QB)STL6
  #114  Jordan Reed (TE)WAS8
  #115  T. Bridgewater (QB)MIN5
  #116  Montee Ball (RB)DEN7
  #117  L. Taliaferro (RB)BAL9
  #118  Heath Miller (TE)PIT11
  #119  R. Hillman (RB)DEN7
  #120  Jared Cook (TE)STL6
Injury Concern #121  Sam Bradford (QB)PHI8
  #122  Jonas Gray (RB)NWE4
  #123  Matt Asiata (RB)MIN5
  #124  Chris Polk (RB)HOU9
  #125  Derek Carr (QB)OAK6
  #126  Jay Cutler (QB)CHI7
  #127  D. Woodhead (RB)SDG10
  #128  Chris Johnson (RB)NYJ5
  #129  Ray Rice (RB)---
Injury Concern #130  Charles Sims (RB)TAM6
  #131  Reggie Bush (RB)SFO10
  #132  Mike Glennon (QB)TAM6
  #133  Toby Gerhart (RB)JAC8
  #134  C. Kaepernick (QB)SFO10
  #135  A. Seferian-Jenkins (TE)TAM6
  #136  Luke Willson (TE)SEA9
  #137  Mychal Rivera (TE)OAK6
  #138  M. Lewis (TE)JAC8
  #139  Michael Floyd (WR)ARI9
  #140  Blake Bortles (QB)JAC8
  #141  Anquan Boldin (WR)SFO10
  #142  Justin Hunter (WR)TEN4
  #143  L. Fitzgerald (WR)ARI9
  #144  Wes Welker (WR)DEN7
  #145  Alex Smith (QB)KAN9
  #146  Kenny Stills (WR)MIA5
  #147  J. Edelman (WR)NWE4
  #148  D. Walker (TE)TEN4
  #149  Greg Jennings (WR)MIA5
  #150  Mike Evans (WR)TAM6
  #151  Dwayne Bowe (WR)CLE11
  #152  Antonio Gates (TE)SDG10
  #153  Jace Amaro (TE)NYJ5
  #154  Hakeem Nicks (WR)TEN4
  #155  Brandin Cooks (WR)NOR11
  #156  R. Griffin III (QB)WAS8
  #157  J. Manziel (QB)CLE11
  #158  S. Chandler (TE)NWE4
  #159  Z. Mettenberger (QB)TEN4
  #160  Dwayne Allen (TE)IND10
  #161  Kenny Britt (WR)STL6
  #162  Rueben Randle (WR)NYG11
  #163  M. Wheaton (WR)PIT11
  #164  J. Matthews (WR)PHI8
  #165  B. Hartline (WR)CLE11
  #166  S. Seahawks (Def)SEA9
  #167  Reggie Wayne (WR)IND10
  #168  Tavon Austin (WR)STL6
  #169  Robert Woods (WR)BUF8
  #170  K. Moreno (RB)MIA5
  #171  Doug Baldwin (WR)SEA9
  #172  D. McFadden (RB)DAL6
  #173  S. 49ers (Def)SFO10
  #174  Ben Tate (RB)PIT11
  #175  Zac Stacy (RB)NYJ5
  #176  C. Panthers (Def)CAR5
  #177  Geno Smith (QB)NYJ5
  #178  Coby Fleener (TE)IND10
  #179  T. Wright (TE)NWE4
  #180  Pierre Thomas (RB)NOR11
  #181  K. Chiefs (Def)KAN9
  #182  B. Pierce (RB)JAC8
  #183  Shonn Greene (RB)TEN4
  #184  James Starks (RB)GNB7
  #185  Mike Tolbert (RB)CAR5
  #186  D. Broncos (Def)DEN7
  #187  P. Richardson (WR)SEA9
  #188  Rod Streater (WR)OAK6
  #189  D. Williams (RB)PIT11
  #190  Andre Holmes (WR)OAK6
Injury Concern #191  Malcom Floyd (WR)SDG10
  #192  J. Rodgers (RB)CHI7
  #193  Steve Smith (WR)BAL9
  #194  Steve Johnson (WR)SDG10
  #195  S. Rams (Def)STL6
  #196  L. Green (TE)SDG10
  #197  Mark Sanchez (QB)PHI8
  #198  J. Gresham (TE)CIN7
  #199  L. Toilolo (TE)ATL10
  #200  S. Gostkowski (K)NWE4

»  Hot -- Moving Up in the Player Rankings.
»  Cold -- Moving Down in the Player Rankings.
»  Injury Concern.
»  Sleeper.
» Auction values based on std 12-team scoring league with $100 cap.
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