Home field advantage rankings

Mon May 14, 2012 5:00pm
By the National Football Post

With the NFL entering it’s annual breaking news lull now that free agency and the draft are well behind us, I figured now would be a good time to open up the floor to one of the many debates we’ll be featuring this summer.

Today’s topic focuses on home field advantage. Our sample size is a three-year span from 2009-2011 and includes only the regular season.

I’ve devised a rudimentary formula for these rankings that consists of both home field record and ATS (against the spread) record. The team that posted the best home field record since 2009 is awarded one point, while the organization with the worst record is awarded 32 points, and so on. If two teams had the same record and occupied spots No. 4 and No. 5 in the rankings, the difference was split and both teams were awarded 4.5 points. As I’m sure you could have already guessed, the goal is to have the fewest total points between the two categories.

ATS record is included because I feel it provides an accurate assessment of how well a team plays at home against inferior competition.  Think about it: how much value would you assign a Ravens win in Baltimore over a team like St. Louis?  Probably not all that much.  But if the Ravens failed to cover the Vegas number, that would serve as an indicator that maybe it's not as tough to play in Baltimore as the team's 21-3 straight-up home record since 2009 indicates.

As a tiebreaker, I gave the edge to the team that was more often posted as the Vegas favorite. For example, Dallas and Philadelphia both finished with a total of 42 points, but the Cowboys were favored in 22 home games while the Eagles were favored in 20. If the rankings needed to go one step further (as in the case of Detroit and Jacksonville), the team with the best ATS record prevailed.

As always, your feedback is more than welcome in comments section below.

Note: “ATS HOME FAV” indicates the number of times a home team was posted as the Vegas favorite since 2009.

odds chart

Hit me up on Twitter: @JoeFortenbaugh

Follow @footballpost on Twitter for the latest news

Fantasy Football Player Notes RSS FeedPLAYER NOTES

Mark IngramMay 17 10:41a

New Orleans Saints RB Mark Ingram said he does not want his personal goals to outweigh the team's goals this season. 'I just want to go out there and [ More ]

Jonathan BaldwinMay 17 10:37a

Kansas City Chiefs WR Jonathan Baldwin appears to be the favorite for the No. 2 wide receiver job at this point but has not emerged as the dominant offseason [ More ]

C. PattersonMay 17 09:58a

Minnesota Vikings WR Cordarrelle Patterson will be given an opportunity to earn a starting wide receiver spot across from WR Greg Jennings this year, according to head coach Leslie [ More ]

Titus YoungMay 17 09:52a

Free-agent WR Titus Young (Rams) may not come within 100 feet of the mother of his 9-month-old child when he is released from jail. She was granted a temporary [ More ]

Peyton ManningMay 17 08:42a

Denver Broncos QB Peyton Manning signed a 'renegotiated' contract, but sources with knowledge of the deal said the new terms don't change his compensation. The contract, according to the [ More ]

Jason SmithMay 16 09:12p

New Orleans Saints OT Charles Brown is expected to receive the first opportunity to win the starting left tackle job but is expected to compete with OTs Jason Smith [ More ]

Kyle WilberMay 16 08:12p

Dallas Cowboys DE Kyle Wilber said he currently weighs 255 pounds and likely will not look to add any more weight. Wilber said the team wants him to keep [ More ]

M. BernadeauMay 16 08:02p

Dallas Cowboys OG Mackenzy Bernadeau (shoulder) said he is not sure if he will be a full participant during organized team activities but does think he will be able [ More ]

Donnie AveryMay 16 07:52p

Kansas City Chiefs WR Donnie Avery (ankle) injured his ankle during organized team activities Tuesday, May 14, and has been limited the last few days.

Rob GronkowskiMay 16 07:22p

New England Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (forearm) is scheduled to undergo surgery Monday, May 20. He underwent X-rays on his forearm Wednesday, May 15, and had his forearm examined. [ More ]

Philip RiversMay 16 07:12p

San Diego Chargers head coach Mike McCoy said the team will ask QB Philip Rivers to play a huge role in reducing the learning curve for the rest of [ More ]

Brian HoyerMay 16 07:02p

The Cleveland Browns signed free-agent QB Brian Hoyer (Cardinals) to an undisclosed two-year deal Thursday, May 16.

Thomas KeiserMay 16 06:42p

The San Diego Chargers signed free-agent LB Thomas Keiser (Panthers) to an undisclosed deal Thursday, May 16.

Andre BrownMay 16 06:12p

New York Giants RB Andre Brown could be poised to start in 2013. 'This is my year,' Brown said. 'I have to go out there and I have to [ More ]

Steve SmithMay 16 06:02p

Carolina Panthers WR Steve Smith verbally blasted New York Jets QB Thursday, May 16. 'He sucks,' Smith reportedly said. 'I wouldn't let Mark Sanchez throw me a paper bag sandwich.'

Brandon JacksonMay 16 05:12p

The Cleveland Browns re-signed RB Brandon Jackson Thursday, May 16, to a one-year deal. Terms of the contract were not disclosed.

Chad JohnsonMay 16 05:12p

A warrant has been issued for the arrest of free-agent WR Chad Johnson (Dolphins) because he violated several terms of his probation, according to the Broward Sherriff's Office. He [ More ]

Kyle LoveMay 16 04:32p

The Jacksonville Jaguars claimed Kyle Love (Patriots) off waivers Thursday, May 16.

Randy MossMay 16 04:22p

Free-agent WR Randy Moss (49ers) is still undecided if he will play football this season. There was reportedly interest in Moss a few months ago, although nothing has transpired [ More ]

Charles WoodsonMay 16 04:12p

The New York Giants are not close to signing free-agent CB Charles Woodson (Packers) and no visit has been scheduled. The Giants would need Woodson to be OK with [ More ]

David GarrardMay 16 04:12p

Retired QB David Garrard said the New York Jets offered him the chance to attend their training camp as a coaching intern. Garrard said he will have to talk [ More ]

Mark SanchezMay 16 04:02p

New York Jets QB Mark Sanchez said he expects to win the starting quarterback job this offseason. Sanchez said he knows he needs to cut down on his interceptions [ More ]

Dwight FreeneyMay 16 03:52p

Free-agent LB Dwight Freeney (Colts) would love a chance to play for the New York Giants, according to his father. The Giants would likely look to sign him to [ More ]

Joe WebbMay 16 03:52p

Minnesota Vikings WR Joe Webb said he is fine with moving from quarterback to wide receiver but expects it to take some times to get comfortable at the position. [ More ]

Doug FreeMay 16 03:42p

Dallas Cowboys OT Doug Free took a $3.5 million pay cut Thursday, May 16, and will stay with the team in 2013.

Roy HeluMay 16 03:22p

The Washington Redskins are hoping RB Roy Helu (toe) will be a full participant once organized team activities start next week. Head coach Mike Shanahan said Helu recently had [ More ]

David WilsonMay 16 03:12p

The New York Giants likely will continue to use RB David Wilson as their kick returner after unable to sign Oakland Raiders WR Joshua Cribbs. It was believed Wilson [ More ]

Anthony HargroveMay 16 03:02p

The Dallas Cowboys signed DE Anthony Hargrove (Packers) Thursday, May 16. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.

Max StarksMay 16 02:52p

Free-agent OT Max Starks (Steelers) is considering many teams, according to his agent. The Arizona Cardinals are in that mix.

David GarrardMay 16 02:42p

Retired QB David Garrard said the New York Jets coaches told him they would have an open competition for the starting quarterback job during the offseason and that no [ More ]

Aaron CurryMay 16 02:42p

New York Giants LB Aaron Curry thinks he can be an impact linebacker on the team's defense. "I really believe I have the ability to be an impact linebacker [ More ]

Brandon WeedenMay 16 02:32p

Cleveland Browns head coach Rob Chudzinski said the team likely will continue to use QB Brandon Weeden with the first-team offense and QB Jason Campbell with the second-team offense [ More ]

RSS Feeds

NFL News:
 
Player Notes:
 
Forum Posts:
 

© 2013 RealTime Fantasy Sports, Inc.
Email Us  ·  Call Us 636.447.1170  ·  Lost Password
Advertising represented by USA Today Sports Media Group