11 value picks to remember for August

Thu May 17, 2012 5:00pm
By the National Football Post

There are two types of fantasy football players: the casuals and the junkies.

The casuals are in it for a good time. A way to make some of the lesser enticing games each Sunday mean a little bit more. A loss brings a moment of despair, which evaporates almost as quickly as it materialized.

The junkies live and die by the scoreboard. Their weekends are ruined in the wake of an upset defeat as the thought of visiting the message board on Monday leads to a restless night of sleep. Too many hours are spent analyzing the waiver wire instead of keeping up with whatever the boss has dropped on the desk that particular day.

If you’re reading this column today (May 17, three months before draft season), take comfort in knowing that you belong to the junkie tribe.

And as a member of the junkies, you should feel a sense of pride in knowing that you’re trying to gain a leg up on the competition by keeping an eye on the market this far in advance of draft season. A lot will change between now and August, but that doesn’t mean we can’t begin to lay the groundwork for a profitable 2012 campaign.

Today we’re taking a look at eleven players who, I believe, are currently being undervalued in the marketplace. Should these following stock prices hold steady until August, I’m betting that you’ll find some excellent draft day value in a few of the names listed below.

Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers: Since 2008, only Drew Brees has amassed more passing yards (19,553) than Philip Rivers (17,597). But a 20-interception campaign in 2011 that contributed to the San Diego signal-caller’s worst QB rating in five seasons will have many owners wondering if Rivers is capable of rolling up the stat lines necessary for a championship run. I’m willing to gamble that last season was more of a fluke than an emerging trend.

Jamaal CharlesAs it stands today, there isn't a whole lot of faith in Jamaal Charles.

Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Remember this guy? Charles wrecked his knee in Week 2 last season and was lost for the year, which will have his 2012 draft stock lower than a Jamaican in a limbo contest. Peyton Hillis was added to the depth chart and dual-threat back Dexter McCluster is entering his third NFL campaign, but you can’t afford to sleep on the guy who came 65 total yards short of hitting the magical 2,000-yard mark in 2011.

Brandon Lloyd, WR, New England Patriots: The key here will be to monitor the market to see how the rest of the public views Lloyd entering September. Is he facing too much competition for targets in New England, or is Lloyd the big-play outside receiver that Tom Brady will turn into a Pro Bowler? Many fantasy experts currently have Lloyd ranked outside of the top-20 at the WR position, which I feel makes him undervalued.

Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee Titans: For those of you who have been following the NFP since we launched in August of 2008, you know that we’ll always hold a special place in our hearts for CJ2K. But that doesn’t mean we’re above saying that the Tennessee running back’s 2011 season was a complete bust. Johnson got his fat contract, blew off the offseason and turned in a dud last year that featured the lowest rushing total (1,047 yards) of his four-year career. It’s unlikely he’ll make another run at 2,000 rushing yards, but when Johnson inevitably falls outside of the top-five on draft day, I’ll be ready to strike.

Matt Schaub, QB, Houston Texans: Health is a major concern here (Schaub has only completed a full 16-game season twice since joining the Texans in 2007), but his draft day price will be too tasty to overlook. In the two-year stretch in which Schaub never missed a game (2009-2010), the Houston quarterback completed 65.8% of his passes for 9,140 yards and 53 touchdowns. The value in this situation far outweighs the risk.

Martellus Bennett, TE, New York Giants: Bennett is one of the most athletic and physically imposing tight ends in the league (6-6, 270 pounds), but immaturity has kept the 25-year-old from reaching his full potential. Now entering his fifth NFL season and playing alongside the defending Super Bowl champions, Bennett could be ready to bust loose and assert himself as one of the game’s better weapons at the TE position. Most analysts have him ranked well outside of the top-15 at his position, which means we have to assume very little risk in an effort to acquire Bennett’s services.

Eric Decker, WR, Denver Broncos: From the looks of things, the market appears to have assigned a higher price tag to fellow Denver wideout Demaryius Thomas. That’s fine by us, because despite the daunting schedule the Broncos face in 2012, Peyton Manning is going to make everybody around him better. Don’t be shocked if Decker finds a way to finish the year as a top-15 fantasy receiver.

Ryan WilliamsWilliams will cost next to nothing on draft day.

Ryan Williams, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Williams rode a tidal wave of hype into the 2011 preseason, but a gnarly August knee injury brought a lightning-quick close to the Virginia Tech standout’s rookie campaign. That, coupled with Beanie Well’s first-ever 1,000-yard season will have Williams freefalling down the board on draft day. This guy could come so cheap that he may wind up being the fifth RB on your roster in late August.

Sidney Rice, WR, Seattle Seahawks: Rice has only put together one solid season worth mentioning since joining the league in 2007 (83-1,312-8 in 2009), which means nobody will be looking his way in August. In fact, most fantasy analysts currently have him ranked outside of the top 30 players at his position as we get set to enter June. If Matt Flynn wins the starting gig, I’m buying. If Tarvaris Jackson or Russell Wilson ends up under center in Seattle, I’m passing.

Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears: With Mike Tice now running the offense in Chicago, the prevailing thought process is that the Bears will make more of a concerted effort to run the football in 2012. That sounds nice in theory, but good luck grinding out wins against Detroit and Green Bay by putting the rock on the ground 30 times a game. Remember, Cutler was a top-3 fantasy quarterback the last time he played with wide receiver Brandon Marshall. The Chicago signal-caller has “sleeper” written all over him.

Seattle Seahawks, D/ST: The usual suspects (Pittsburgh, Baltimore) and 2011 powerhouses (Houston, San Francisco) will no doubt find themselves at the top of the rankings come August. This is to be expected. But you can find a hell of a value on the Seattle Seahawks, who placed in the top-5 in scoring at the D/ST position last season and upgraded the roster with the signings of DT Jason Jones and LB Barrett Ruud, as well as acquired pass-rushing specialist Bruce Irvin in April’s draft. And let’s not forget that six divisional games against Alex Smith, Sam Bradford and the Kevin Kolb/John Skelton tandem won’t exactly strike fear into the hearts of many defensive coordinators.

Hit me up on Twitter: @JoeFortenbaugh

Follow @footballpost on Twitter for the latest news

Fantasy Football Player Notes RSS FeedPLAYER NOTES

Dwayne HarrisMay 23 10:14a

Dallas Cowboys WR Dwayne Harris is considered the front-runner for the No. 3 wide receiver job behind WRs Miles Austin and Dez Bryant, and it is believed WR Terrance [ More ]

Andy DaltonMay 23 10:04a

Cincinnati Bengals QB Andy Dalton has, during organized team activities, been focusing on improving the trajectory and accuracy of his throws while working with quarterbacks coach Ken Zampese. Dalton [ More ]

Louis MurphyMay 23 10:03a

New York Giants WR Rueben Randle is listed as the No. 3 receiver on the depth chart over WR Louis Murphy.

Jerrel JerniganMay 23 09:54a

New York Giants WR Jerrel Jernigan has shown progress as Victor Cruz remains absent from OTAs. WR Hakeem Nicks said his teammate has been adjusting well to the slot [ More ]

Thaddeus LewisMay 23 09:23a

The Cleveland Browns signed free-agent WR Tori Gurley (Ravens) and waived QB Thaddeus Lewis.

Johnny JollyMay 23 08:22a

Green Bay Packers DE Johnny Jolly is expected to return to the team next week and begin participating in OTAs after completing a court-ordered drug treatment program.

Aaron CurryMay 22 11:53p

New York Giants LB Aaron Curry admitted that the money he earned as a high draft pick changed him and he lost his motivation, ultimately leading to his trade [ More ]

Dan ConnorMay 22 11:53p

New York Giants LBs Mark Herzlich, Spencer Paysinger and Keith Rivers were the starting linebackers during organized team activities (OTAs) Wednesday, May 22, with LBs Dan Connor, Aaron Curry [ More ]

Chris SneeMay 22 11:53p

New York Giants C David Baas (undisclosed), OG Chris Snee (hip), CB Terrell Thomas (knee) and LB Jacquian Williams (knee) did not take part in team drills during organized [ More ]

Jason FoxMay 22 11:53p

Detroit Lions OT Jason Fox served as the first-team right tackle, and OT Riley Reiff worked as the first-team left tackle, Wednesday, May 22, during organized team activities (OTAs).

Chris GreenwoodMay 22 11:53p

Detroit Lions CB Chris Greenwood (abdominal) was able to practice Wednesday, May 22, during organized team activities (OTAs). He missed last season due to an abdominal injury.

Reggie BushMay 22 11:53p

Detroit Lions RB Reggie Bush was used as a punt returner during organized team activities (OTAs) Wednesday, May 22. WR Terrence Austin, WR Patrick Edwards, RB Steven Miller, WR [ More ]

Nate BurlesonMay 22 11:53p

Updating a previous report, Detroit Lions WR Nate Burleson (leg) showed quickness during organized team activities (OTAs) Wednesday, May 22. He has also lost weight, dropping from 198 to 192 pounds to add speed.

Dylan GandyMay 22 11:53p

Detroit Lions C Dylan Gandy saw first-team reps during organized team activities (OTAs) Wednesday, May 22. He has a chance to replace the departed OL Stephen Peterman (Jets), but [ More ]

Hakeem NicksMay 22 10:13p

New York Giants WR Hakeem Nicks did not show up to practice Wednesday, May 22, because he is unhappy with his contract situation, a source indicated. Nicks did not [ More ]

Justin TuckMay 22 10:13p

New York Giants DE Justin Tuck, a free agent at season's end, said Wednesday, May 22, that he wasn't thinking about his future with the team, or how he [ More ]

Randy MossMay 22 08:33p

San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh said the team isn't considering re-signing WR Randy Moss after learning that WR Michael Crabtree (Achilles') tore his Achilles' Wednesday, May 22. [ More ]

Charles WoodsonMay 22 08:13p

Oakland Raiders CB Charles Woodson (collarbone) said he expects to play the same safety role he moved to with the Green Bay Packers late in his career. Also, he [ More ]

Michael VickMay 22 07:23p

Philadelphia Eagles QB Michael Vick, who held onto the ball for an average of 3.07 seconds last year, will likely have to change in order to be successful in [ More ]

Mark SanchezMay 22 06:13p

New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan said he was disappointed with QB Mark Sanchez after he threw three interceptions during organized team activities Wednesday, May 22. 'Yeah, it [ More ]

Michael CrabtreeMay 22 05:53p

San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh said he does not think WR Michael Crabtree (Achilles') will miss the entire 2013 regular season.

Tim TebowMay 22 05:43p

Ron Jaworski, part owner of the Philadelphia Soul of the Arena Football League, said he is serious about his interest in signing free-agent QB Tim Tebow (Jets) to his [ More ]

Brandon GibsonMay 22 05:13p

Miami Dolphins WR Brandon Gibson lined up as the slot receiver when the team used three-receiver sets during organized team activities Tuesday, May 21.

Rokevious WatkinsMay 22 05:13p

St. Louis Rams OG Rokevious Watkins has been suspended for the first game of the 2013 season for violating the NFL's policy for substances of abuse.

Brent GrimesMay 22 05:03p

Miami Dolphins WR Brian Hartline, WR Brandon Gibson and CB Brent Grimes worked as punt returners during organized team activities Tuesday, May 21. Head coach Joe Philbin did not [ More ]

Aaron WilliamsMay 22 04:33p

Buffalo Bills defensive coordinator Mike Pettine said FS Aaron Williams has done well in his transition from cornerback to safety. 'He's doing a nice job, and that's a difficult [ More ]

Michael CrabtreeMay 22 04:13p

Updating previous reports, San Francisco 49ers WR Michael Crabtree (Achilles') has undergone surgery to repair his torn Achilles' tendon.

Michael CrabtreeMay 22 04:13p

Updating a previous report, doctors believe San Francisco 49ers WR Michael Crabtree (Achilles') will miss six months because of his torn Achilles' tendon. Doctors have recommended that Crabtree undergo surgery as soon as possible.

Jameel McClainMay 22 03:53p

Baltimore Ravens LB Jameel McClain (spine) and CB Lardarius Webb (knee) were limited to individual drills during organized team activities Wednesday, May 22.

Jeremy EbertMay 22 03:53p

The Jacksonville Jaguars have signed free-agent WR Jeremy Ebert (Patriots). Terms of the contract were not disclosed. In a corresponding move, the team waived DT Jeris Pendleton.

Stephen HillMay 22 03:43p

New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan said WR Stephen Hill (knee) did not participate in organized team activities Wednesday, May 22, because of swelling in his knee.

Mark SanchezMay 22 03:33p

New York Jets QBs Mark Sanchez and Geno Smith both struggled during organized team activities Wednesday, May 22, with Sanchez completing only six of his 11 passes, including three [ More ]

RSS Feeds

NFL News:
 
Player Notes:
 
Forum Posts:
 

© 2013 RealTime Fantasy Sports, Inc.
Email Us  ·  Call Us 636.447.1170  ·  Lost Password
Advertising represented by USA Today Sports Media Group