2024 RTSports Outlook

Kirk missed the last five games of the season because of a groin injury. He was played well before getting hurt, having double-digit fantasy points all but four games. He had two 100-yard games and 20-plus points two times. If Kirk plays a full season, he has 81 receptions for 1,115 yards and four touchdowns. His numbers would have been very similar to his first season in Jacksonville. Kirk is a huge part of this Jags passing game and should continue to fill a big role going forward. He has one 1,000-yard season for his career and 75-plus receptions two of three seasons. Kirk doesn't have great size, but is good on underneath routes and catches the ball very well. He doesn't make a lot of big plays in the passing game but is capable because of his top speed. Kirk does his best work on shorter routes, making him a good move the chains player.

FANTASY OUTLOOK: Kirk is a solid No. 2 fantasy receiver, getting consistent work. He has posted very similar numbers in two seasons with the Jaguars, so expect more of the same. Kirk can get around 80 receptions for 1,100 yards and seven touchdowns.

FreeDraftGuide.com

RotoBaller's Outlook

In 2022, Christian Kirk finished as WR19 in PPR, averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game. With Calvin Ridley in the mix in 2023, Kirk averaged just 12.5 fantasy points per game, which was just WR33 on a per-game basis. He showed he could be a viable number one wide receiver in 2022, and he was rewarded as such from Trevor Lawrence. That season without Ridley, he saw 22 red zone targets which led to eight touchdowns. In 2023, Ridley was Lawrence's guy in the red zone, which lowered Kirk's red zone targets to just six last season. As a result, he scored just three touchdowns. The Jags added Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis this offseason, but neither guy is Ridley. Kirk (along with Evan Engram) will be a top target-earner in Jacksonville in 2024. As such, we should see him re-establish himself as WR1 for the Jaguars. However, with Engram's emergence in 2023 and Thomas Jr. and Davis' arrivals this offseason, there's probably a bit more target competition this season than there was in 2022. Regardless, Kirk should be considered a low-end WR2 with top-20 upside in 2024 due to his established rapport and chemistry with Lawrence.

In 2022, Christian Kirk finished as WR19 in PPR, averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game. With Calvin Ridley in the mix in 2023, Kirk averaged just 12.5 fantasy points per game, which was just WR33 on a per-game basis. He showed he could be a viable number one wide receiver in 2022, and he was rewarded as such from Trevor Lawrence. That season without Ridley, he saw 22 red zone targets which led to eight touchdowns. In 2023, Ridley was Lawrence's guy in the red zone, which lowered Kirk's red zone targets to just six last season. As a result, he scored just three touchdowns. The Jags added Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis this offseason, but neither guy is Ridley. Kirk (along with Evan Engram) will be a top target-earner in Jacksonville in 2024. As such, we should see him re-establish himself as WR1 for the Jaguars. However, with Engram's emergence in 2023 and Thomas Jr. and Davis' arrivals this offseason, there's probably a bit more target competition this season than there was in 2022. Regardless, Kirk should be considered a low-end WR2 with top-20 upside in 2024 due to his established rapport and chemistry with Lawrence.