Colts finally home, turn to OL to fend off oncoming Texans

Thu Nov 27 8:50am ET
Field Level Media

Hold the coronation of the Indianapolis Colts. The two-time defending AFC South champions might have something to say in the matter.

Houston hits Indiana's capital city with a three-game winning streak and a healthy quarterback, momentum the Texans plot to put to good use in closing the gap in the division. The Colts (8-3) are back in their comfort zone in Indianapolis on Sunday with two losses -- at Pittsburgh and at Kansas City -- that dented their lofty conference standing following a 7-1 start.

The Texans (6-5) have taken three consecutive meetings from the Colts by a combined nine points. Houston began the season 0-3, but has its season back on track thanks to a toothy defense.

Now C.J. Stroud will join the party. The star quarterback and his teammate, nickelback Jalen Pitre, cleared concussion protocol on Friday and are set to play in this pivotal game.

Stroud was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. Barring a setback before Sunday, he'll be on the field for a fifth time opposite Indianapolis. Stroud is 3-1 in four games against the Colts.

"Picking up where we left off," Texans wide receiver Nico Collins said Wednesday after Stroud returned to the lead of the QB rotation at practice. "Going out there and being himself. He looked good out there. Excited to get back."

With Stroud out, the Texans took down Buffalo (23-19), Tennessee (16-13) and Jacksonville (36-29) the past three weeks with backup Davis Mills at quarterback. Even with the November to remember in progress for Houston, the Jaguars (7-4) separate the Colts and Texans in the South standings. Indianapolis, which last won the division in 2014 behind third-year quarterback Andrew Luck, is in Jacksonville next week.

The Sunday game will be the first of two meetings between the Texans and Colts, who also square off in the regular-season finale Jan. 4 in Houston.

The Texans lead the NFL in total defense (264.3 yards per game) and rank second in scoring defense (16.5 points per game). But Buffalo averaged 4.9 yards per carry and rushed for 143 yards last week, when Bills quarterback Josh Allen completed 70.5% of his passes but was sacked eight times.

Ryans said the Bills went away from the script most teams follow to block the Texans' attacking front seven with a seven-man blocking scheme -- incorporating multiple tight ends or a fullback -- and rolled the dice with one-on-one matchups across the field.

This is the first look for Ryans and the Texans at the Daniel Jones-led Indianapolis offense, one with a functional run-pass option foundation designed to isolate second-level defenders and freeze linemen committed to contain. The former Giants first-round pick supplanted the purported QB of the future -- Anthony Richardson, drafted two picks after Stroud in 2023 -- and has accounted for 22 of the Colts' 40 touchdowns this season. He also has 10 turnovers in 11 games.

Even at home, it's a high-stakes, high-pressure environment for Jones against the Houston edge rushing duo of defensive ends Danielle Hunter (11 sacks) and Will Anderson Jr. (10.5), the player drafted between Stroud and Richardson. Hunter and Anderson are the first pair of teammates with 10-plus sacks in the first 11 games of a season since 2019.

Jones (fibula) was limited Wednesday and practiced fully Thursday and Friday. NFL Network reported that Jones has a broken fibula, but head coach Shane Steichen said he's "good to go." He'll need protection from his offensive line.

"We have a lot of confidence and trust in our guys up front, our tackles," Jones said. "Regardless of who you've got, you try to chip them, you try to help when you can. It's my job to get the ball out on time."

None of the Texans are asking for an introduction to MVP candidate Jonathan Taylor, Jones' partner in the Colts' backfield. He leads the NFL with 17 touchdowns (15 rushing scores) and has produced big numbers in eight career matchups with Houston: 1,067 total yards (133.4 per game) and 10 TDs (nine rushing). He registered the NFL's fastest speed on a scoring play this season -- touching 22.38 mph on a 43-yard reception in Week 2 -- per Next Gen Stats.

"They have smart players. But they have athletic players," Taylor said. "If we let that front run wild, it's going to be a long Sunday."

Taylor is running for history on Sunday.

With two TDs he can become the fifth running back in NFL history to reach 75 touchdowns from scrimmage -- non-passing TDs -- in fewer than 80 games. The others to accomplish the feat: Jim Brown and LaDainian Tomlinson (both 72 games), Emmitt Smith (77) and Todd Gurley (78).

The Texans ruled out linebacker Jamal Hill and cornerback Ajani Carter, both with hamstring injuries. The Colts had just one player ruled out, linebacker Jaylon Charles (ankle).

Colts cornerback Charvarius Ward, who just returned last week after missing five games while in concussion protocol, reappeared on Friday's injury report (groin) as a limited participant.

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The Paur Report

Starts, Sits, Sleepers: Week 13

Player Notes
Tyler Shough Nov 29 12:10pm CT
Tyler Shough

Across three games since taking over as his team's starter in Week 9, New Orleans Saints quarterback Tyler Shough has completed 68.1% of his pass attempts for 701 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. On paper, Shough has a favorable matchup in Week 13 against the Miami Dolphins. Through 12 weeks, Miami ranks 27th in the NFL in yards per pass attempt allowed (7.6). However, Miami has been better in recent weeks, allowing just 173 passing yards to the Buffalo Bills and 142 passing yards to the Washington Commanders in their last two games played. Additionally, the Saints will be without top running back Alvin Kamara (ankle) and could be without top wide receiver Chris Olave (back), who is questionable to play with a back injury. The potential lack of reliable pass-catchers could be a major issue for Shough. Even in two-quarterback formats, Shough could be a player for fantasy managers to avoid in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Matt Prater Nov 29 12:00pm CT
Matt Prater

Buffalo Bills kicker Matt Prater has been a reliable player through 11 games this season, connecting on 15 of 17 field goal attempts and 32 out of 34 extra-point tries. The 41-year-old may have limited range at this point in his career, as he's attempted just two field goals from 50-plus yards out on the season, making one and missing one. In Week 13, the Bills will travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers. Through 12 weeks, Pittsburgh ranks 19th in the NFL in points per game allowed (23.9). While that points to the Bills being able to move the ball on Sunday, the weather in Pittsburgh may play a factor in the kicking game. The current forecast calls for precipitation and colder weather in western Pennsylvania. Prater profiles as a borderline starting kicker option in Week 13, but fantasy managers should be mindful of potential weather issues and check the forecast before lineups lock on Sunday.

From RotoBaller

Chris Boswell Nov 29 12:00pm CT
Chris Boswell

Pittsburgh Steelers kicker Chris Boswell was quiet in last week's loss to the Chicago Bears, but he should bounce back in Week 13 against the Buffalo Bills. Although the Bills haven't given up a ton of fantasy production to kickers, their defense has been subpar overall, allowing nearly 23 points per game. With this contest taking place in Pittsburgh, Boswell's outlook only improves. The 34-year-old has scored at least nine fantasy points in all five of his matchups at Acrisure Stadium this season and is averaging more than five additional fantasy points per game at home than on the road. The inconsistent play of the Steelers' offense caps his reliability a bit, but not enough to remove him from starting consideration. Boswell profiles as a top-10 option on Sunday.

From RotoBaller

Cam Little Nov 29 11:40am CT
Cam Little

Jacksonville Jaguars kicker Cam Little seems like a solid kicking option for fantasy managers in Week 13 against the Tennessee Titans. He has been both a solid real life and fantasy kicker, which should continue against the 1-10 Titans. The Jaguars should score plenty of points, but how Little's day goes will depend on if those points are mostly touchdowns or a mix of field goals as well. Little has shown reliable accuracy and distance, so as long as the opportunities come, he has a chance for a big fantasy day. The Jaguars offense facing the Titans seems like a good combination for a kicker to succeed in fantasy. Managers should feel good about starting Little in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Dawson Knox Nov 29 11:40am CT
Dawson Knox

With Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (hamstring) sidelined for each of the last two weeks, fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox has seen a significant increase in snap share. However, Knox has struggled to boost his production, recording just four catches for 40 yards on seven targets over his last two games combined. Kincaid is now questionable to play in Buffalo's Week 13 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Knox should still be expected to get his fair share of playing time even if Kincaid returns. Still, Knox has recorded just 16 receptions for 195 yards and a touchdown on 25 targets across 11 games this season. Regardless of Kincaid's final injury status, Knox does not profile as a starting-caliber fantasy tight end in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Ray Davis Nov 29 11:40am CT
Ray Davis

Across 11 games played in 2025, Buffalo Bills running back Ray Davis has recorded just 44 rushing yards on 22 carries. The 26-year-old appears to have completely faded out of his team's offensive plans in recent weeks, as he's failed to earn a single carry in three out of Buffalo's last four games. With top Bills running backs James Cook and Ty Johnson both healthy and ready to roll for the team's Week 13 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, there's little reason for fantasy managers to think that Davis' role will be significantly changed. Since Week 3, Davis has played fewer than 10 offensive snaps in every game but one. He should remain off the radar of fantasy managers in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Dalton Kincaid Nov 29 11:30am CT
Dalton Kincaid

Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (hamstring) has missed two straight games due to a hamstring injury. The 26-year-old was able to log limited practices on both Thursday and Friday, so he may be on track to make his return in Week 13 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Across eight games this season, Kincaid has recorded 29 catches for 448 yards and four touchdowns on 36 targets. When healthy, he's been one of Bills quarterback Josh Allen's favorite red zone targets. However, Kincaid's playing time is consistently limited by how the Bills deploy fellow tight ends Dawson Knox and Jackson Hawes. If Kincaid is limited by his hamstring issue, the team could choose to restrict his playing time even further against Pittsburgh. If he's active, Kincaid profiles as a borderline low-end TE1 in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Tyrell Shavers Nov 29 11:20am CT
Tyrell Shavers

With his team's wide receiver room in flux, Buffalo Bills wideout Tyrell Shavers had a breakout game in Week 11, recording four catches for 90 yards and a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, Shavers followed that game up with a dud against the Houston Texans in Week 12, recording zero catches on zero targets. Shavers also played fewer snaps against Houston than Bills wide receivers Khalil Shakir, Joshua Palmer (ankle), and Gabe Davis. Palmer is questionable to play in Week 13 against the Pittsburgh Steelers due to an ankle injury, but Buffalo also signed veteran wideout Brandin Cooks. For the season overall, Shavers has played fewer than 50% of his team's offensive snaps in every game but one. Shavers should remain off the radar of fantasy managers in Week 13 against Pittsburgh.

From RotoBaller

Parker Washington Nov 29 11:20am CT
Parker Washington

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington has been solid this season, and has a decent chance for another solid outing in Week 13 against the Tennessee Titans. He is coming off a five-catch, 71-yard performance against the Arizona Cardinals last week. Washington has done well when given playing time. That playing time may be up in the air, however, with Brian Thomas Jr. returning from injury. Washington has proven he deserves consistent playing time with how well he has produced, showing clear chemistry with Trevor Lawrence. He has also shown his ability in the open field on special teams as a punt returner. His play time is unclear at the moment, but if he does continue to get targets, Washington is an underrated flex option in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Roman Wilson Nov 29 11:10am CT
Roman Wilson

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Roman Wilson was held without a catch last week and will look to be more involved against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Though Wilson has been quiet more often than not this season, it's worth noting that Mason Rudolph drew the start at quarterback in Week 12. With Aaron Rodgers (wrist) under center this week, Wilson's ceiling rises slightly, as the two have connected for two touchdowns this season. Still, the second-year pro has yet to carve out a reliable role in Pittsburgh's aerial attack, making him difficult to trust, especially in this matchup. Buffalo has held opposing wideouts to the 10th-fewest receptions and receiving yards in 2025. His involvement is worth monitoring, but Wilson can remain on waiver wires in all redraft formats heading into Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Brenton Strange Nov 29 11:10am CT
Brenton Strange

Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange returned from injury with a bang in Week 12, putting up a five-catch, 93 yard performance against the Arizona Cardinals. He was the leading receiver after being out since Week 5. It was an impressive return to an offense in need of a clear number one option, especially with Brian Thomas Jr. out with injury. Thomas Jr. is expected to return this week, but that shouldn't deter fantasy managers from starting Strange with confidence. At a shallow position, even a more difficult matchup and game script not in his favor makes Strange a low-end TE1 this week. The upside is limited, but the floor seems high enough to start Strange in Week 13 against the Titans.

From RotoBaller

Pat Freiermuth Nov 29 11:00am CT
Pat Freiermuth

Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth returned to the end zone last week and will hope for similar success in Week 13 against the Buffalo Bills. Unfortunately, he draws the toughest possible matchup. Buffalo has held opposing tight ends to the fewest fantasy points, receptions, yards, and touchdowns this season. While Freiermuth has been more productive than teammate Jonnu Smith, none of Pittsburgh's tight ends are commanding consistent weekly opportunities. Between Freiermuth, Smith, and Darnell Washington, Freiermuth's red-zone usage suggests he is the most likely to score on Sunday, but fantasy managers should steer clear of this matchup if possible.

From RotoBaller

Josh Palmer Nov 29 11:00am CT
Josh Palmer

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Joshua Palmer hauled in two of four targets for 21 yards in Week 12's 23-19 loss to the Houston Texans. Palmer has been quiet in his first season in Buffalo, as he's currently averaging his fewest fantasy points per game of his entire five-year career. Palmer is a part of one of the worst receiving units in the NFL and has been unable to stand out as a top option in this offense. Maybe this is the week, as the Bills face the league's worst defense against wide receivers this season in the Pittsburgh Steelers. While Palmer may be a cheap and tempting DFS option in Week 13, fantasy managers should steer clear of starting the veteran receiver this week.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Warren Nov 29 10:50am CT
Tyler Warren

Indianapolis Colts rookie tight end Tyler Warren (illness) was added to the injury report and is now questionable to play in Week 13 against the Houston Texans. The rookie tight end has been a budding superstar in 2025, hauling in 55 of 74 passes for 662 yards and three touchdowns in 11 games. Warren is currently on pace to finish as the TE3 in fantasy points per game and has been a huge part of the Colts' offensive explosion in 2025. If Warren is unable to play in Week 13, it would be a massive blow to this attack, especially against the league's best defense. Fantasy managers will have to check into the pregame reports to see if he's active and if his role will be limited in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

D.K. Metcalf Nov 29 10:40am CT
D.K. Metcalf

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver DK Metcalf (ankle) is off the injury report and ready to go for a Week 13 showdown with the Buffalo Bills. Although Metcalf found the end zone last week, he hasn't topped 50 receiving yards in a game since Week 8 and has become increasingly unreliable for fantasy purposes. The Bills have been strong against the pass, surrendering the 10th-fewest receptions and the 10th-fewest receiving yards to opposing wideouts this season. Even with quarterback Aaron Rodgers (wrist) in line to start, Metcalf cannot be projected for a ceiling outcome in this matchup. Fantasy managers can still deploy him as a high-end WR3 or flex option, but expectations for Metcalf should be tempered.

From RotoBaller

Khalil Shakir Nov 29 10:40am CT
Khalil Shakir

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir had a big-time performance in Week 12, hauling in eight of 10 targets for 110 yards against the Houston Texans. His huge outing was his first 10+ target and 100+ yard game of the season. Shakir is averaging 11.5 PPR fantasy points per game, leading the way in Buffalo as the number one option in the passing game. He faces the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 13, who have allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. The Steelers have also allowed the seventh most fantasy points per game to slot receivers this season, which is where Shakir likes to operate. After being an inconsistent option for fantasy managers at the beginning of the season, Shakir is a WR3/FLEX play in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Aaron Rodgers Nov 29 10:30am CT
Aaron Rodgers

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (wrist) missed last week's contest but is set to return at home against the Buffalo Bills. While Buffalo has been vulnerable on the ground, its pass defense has been elite, limiting opposing quarterbacks to the fewest passing yards, the fourth-fewest passing touchdowns, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game. Unless the Steelers find themselves trailing early, they're likely to lean heavily on the running game with Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell. This makes Rodgers tough to trust for fantasy purposes, especially if he is limited at all with his left wrist fracture. Fantasy managers should view Rodgers as a low-end QB2 who is only viable in 2QB and superflex formats in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

James Cook Nov 29 10:30am CT
James Cook

Buffalo Bills running back James Cook has been on a terror in his fourth season in the NFL, totaling 1287 scrimmage yards and nine touchdowns in 11 games. Despite the Bills struggling against the Houston Texans in Week 12, Cook had a big game, totaling 129 yards and a touchdown on 20 attempts. Cook has ascended in every season he's been in the NFL, jumping from a 16.7 PPR points per game average in 2024 to an 18.7 average this season. While Cook has been matchup-proof this season, the Steelers are very tough against the run, allowing the sixth fewest fantasy points to running backs this season. Despite the difficult matchup, Cook is a sure-fire RB1 in fantasy this week, as he looks to continue his dominance.

From RotoBaller

Bhayshul Tuten Nov 29 10:20am CT
Bhayshul Tuten

Jacksonville Jaguars running back Bhayshul Tuten has had mixed involvement in the Jaguars rushing attack, but this week against the 1-10 Titans seems like an ideal week to get him involved. In what should be a straight-forward win, the Jaguars have a chance to get their electric rookie more involved than usual. The game scrip should also favor the running game, and the Titans have a weak rushing defense. It is a risk to start Tuten considering he is coming off a rough seven carry for 17 yards performance against the Arizona Cardinals, but that involvement is still promising enough to have faith in a bounce-back week. Anyone looking for a high-risk high-reward flex in Week 13 should be intrigued by Tuten against the Titans.

From RotoBaller

Josh Allen Nov 29 10:20am CT
Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is coming off his worst game of the 2025 season, completing 24 of 34 passes for 253 yards and throwing two interceptions against the NFL's top defense. It's been a rollercoaster of a season for the reigning MVP, who's still averaging 23.2 fantasy points per game but has been much more inconsistent than in previous seasons. Allen will head to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers in Week 13, in what should be a playoff-like atmosphere. The Steelers' defense has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season, including big outings for Caleb Williams, Joe Flacco, and Jordan Love. Allen enters Week 13 looking to bounce back and could be in line for a big game. Per usual, the Bills' star quarterback is a must-start in fantasy this week.

From RotoBaller