Thu Jun 2 10:47am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Williams setup for breakout year
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season.
|2022 RB SOS|
|3.||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||384|
|6.||New York Giants||392.5|
|8.||Las Vegas Raiders||394.1|
|11.||Los Angeles Chargers||397.3|
|12.||Los Angeles Rams||397.8|
|13.||San Francisco 49ers||398.2|
|16.||New York Jets||399.2|
|17.||New Orleans Saints||400.9|
|19.||Kansas City Chiefs||401.4|
|22.||Green Bay Packers||404|
|29.||New England Patriots||411.2|
The Dolphins have the best schedule for fantasy running backs this coming year. The problem is you just aren’t sure the back that will lead that team in carries. But these guys might be worth taking a chance on because of this schedule. Whoever emerges could be a productive fantasy asset. David Montgomery is intriguing on a team that lacks weapons in the passing game and gets the second easiest schedule for fantasy backs. Montgomery might have his best season to date. Javonte Williams is pegged as a breakout candidate by many and having the third most favorable fantasy schedule for running backs makes that even more of a possibility. The Patriots have a host of backs that should get carries and could all produce well with their favorable running back schedule. And the Bills duo of Devin Singletary and rookie James Cook could do some damage this year.
Running backs with challenging fantasy running back schedules include Cordarrelle Patterson, Leonard Fournette, Miles Sanders and Joe Mixon. Patterson is one guy that is a concern because of his finish to last year, stumbling at the end of the season after a great start. And now Patterson gets the most challenging fantasy schedule for running backs. Fournette is setup for more work with Ronald Jones gone, but that might not lead to a lot more fantasy points with this schedule. Lastly, Saquon Barkley has been a bust in recent years and his team has the sixth toughest schedule for fantasy backs. Barkley could have more tough sledding this year.
Take a close look at this entire ranking when figuring out your fantasy rankings for the coming season.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Weeks 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
|2022 RB PLAYOFF SOS|
|1.||Los Angeles Chargers||345.7|
|6.||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||376|
|8.||Green Bay Packers||380.3|
|11.||New York Giants||390.5|
|12.||Las Vegas Raiders||394|
|15.||New Orleans Saints||400.7|
|19.||New England Patriots||407.9|
|24.||Los Angeles Rams||418.3|
|27.||Kansas City Chiefs||424.7|
|29.||New York Jets||430.6|
|31.||San Francisco 49ers||433.3|
Christian McCaffrey has big injury concerns, but his celling is as high as any back in the game. He also has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. This makes him a huge risk/reward pick for fantasy teams. McCaffrey could be a difference maker in the playoffs if he can stay on the field. Elijah Mitchell is another intriguing back for the coming year, getting a chance to start from day one and having the second most favorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rookie Breece Hall is expected to be the Jets lead back and could have a great finish to his season with a very favorable schedule to end things. And D’Andre Swift has a favorable regular and playoff fantasy schedule. Swift is another back that battles injury issues, but could be a monster this year if he can stay on the field all season.
There are many repeat teams near the top of the list of the toughest fantasy running back schedules, including the Texans, Falcons and Eagles. You might just want to steer clear of players on these teams. Things might not work out well for them. The team with the toughest fantasy running back schedule in the playoffs, though, is the Chargers. Austin Ekeler is a top-five draft pick this year. He gets a ton of work in the passing game, so having a tough running back schedule isn’t a huge concern. But it is something to keep in mind when picking early in drafts. If you are debating between Ekeler and another high-profile back, you might want to lean the other way because of this playoff schedule.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at email@example.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
San Francisco 49ers tight end Charlie Woerner (core muscle) was removed from the PUP list on Sunday. The 2020 sixth-round selection out of Georgia had surgery during the offseason. However, he's buried deep on the depth chart, with a big chunk of his workload reserved for the special teams unit. Still, if George Kittle or Tyler Kroft miss time this season, there's a chance Woerner could receive more snaps. But even then, his fantasy expectations will remain low.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson (knee) came off the Physically Unable to Perform list, per head coach Matt LaFleur. The rookie had an offseason procedure and hasn't been active throughout training camp thus far. He will be eased back into action, performing individual drills. However, his status for Week 1 remains up in the air. Nevertheless, while Watson figures to see plenty of attention from Aaron Rodgers this season, he will probably need some time to work out any rust caused by his lengthy absence. As a result, he may not be a starting fantasy option early in the season, although he could pick things up as the year progresses.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson (knee) will be removed from the Physically Unable to Perform list, per head coach Matt LaFleur. The rookie had an offseason procedure and hasn't been active throughout training camp thus far. He will be eased back into action, performing individual drills. However, his status for Week 1 remains up in the air. Nevertheless, while Watson figures to see plenty of attention from Aaron Rodgers this season, he will probably need some time to work out any rust caused by his lengthy absence. As a result, he may not be a starting fantasy option early in the season, although he could pick things up as the year progresses.
Green Bay Packers tight end Robert Tonyan (knee) came off the PUP list on Sunday to start drilling individually, according to head coach Matt LaFleur. The 28-year-old tore his ACL in Week 8 last season during a matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and wasn't available for the remainder of the year. While it's still not certain if he'll be in uniform for Week 1, he's at least moving in the right direction. Nevertheless, his workload may be limited even if he's good for the season opener. However, Tonyan is a familiar face for quarterback Aaron Rodgers, so he could progressively get more targets and snaps throughout the 2022-23 campaign.
Miami Dolphins cornerback Trill Williams (knee) suffered a torn left ACL during Saturday's preseason matchup against the Buccaneers. He will miss the 2022-23 season. The 22-year-old was forecasted to backup Xavier Howard and Byron Jones (leg). However, Williams had a chance to see more action, at least for a game or two, if Jones wasn't recovered enough from leg surgery to be ready for Week 1. Still, even if the Syracuse alum had remained healthy, he wasn't expected to see any interest from most IDP managers.
Green Bay Packers tight end Robert Tonyan (knee) will come off the PUP list on Monday and start drilling individually, according to head coach Matt LaFleur. The 28-year-old tore his ACL in Week 8 last season during a matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and wasn't available for the remainder of the year. While it's still not certain if he'll be in uniform for Week 1, he's at least moving in the right direction. Nevertheless, his workload may be limited even if he's good for the season opener. However, Tonyan is a familiar face for quarterback Aaron Rodgers, so he could progressively get more targets and snaps throughout the 2022-23 campaign.
Dynasty | Bills rookie receiver Khalil Shakir totaled 92 yards on 5-of-5 receiving Dynasty Analysis: Shakir continues to garner a following from the dynasty community and his production in his first professional game will only accelerate his climb. While not expected to be a starter in week one, Shakir continues to receive high praise in camp and could mix in with the starters in four-wide sets. Found as DLF's rookie WR16, he'll remain a name to watch as training camp rolls on.
Dynasty | Texans rookie running back Dameon Pierce rushed for 49 yards on five carries Dynasty Analysis: Pierce looked the part of no less than an early-down starter on his five totes, one of them being a 20-yard scamper. The running back position is somewhat of a wide open proposition for the Texans in 2022 with Marlon Mack and veteran Rex Burkhead expected to lead the way. Given Pierces profile and youth, however, it will be no surprise to see the rookie garner starter's touches by mid-season. Pierce is listed as DLF's rookie RB5 and our RB39 overall.
Dynasty | Chargers rookie running back Isaiah Spiller rushed for 34 yards on 10 carries Dynasty Analysis: He also caught his lone target for 10 yards. Spiller is locked in a battle for the backup role behind Austin Ekeler but still looks to be behind Joshua Kelley at this juncture. As DLF's rookie RB7, there's little question the 21-year-old has starting upside but his drafted situation in L.A. will require patience from his dynasty coaches. It's a long training camp and general belief is that it will be Spiller backing up Ekeler by the end of the season, but without injury above him on the depth chart, there's little runway for material production in 2022.
Atlanta Falcons head coach Arthur Smith isn't overly concerned about Drake London (knee) missing a substantial amount of time. The rookie didn't practice on Sunday after injuring his knee during Friday's preseason matchup against the Detroit Lions. Fortunately, the injury isn't considered serious. While Smith hasn't specified how long London is expected to be out, there's a chance he could be ready for Week 1. Still, until there is a definitive update, fantasy managers can consider playing it safe by looking for another fantasy wideout in drafts heading into the start of the regular season.
Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Jalen Guyton hauled in both his targets for six yards during Saturday's 29-22 preseason loss to Los Angeles Rams. Guyton is battling with teammate Joshua Palmer to earn a starting role in this electrifying offense. Guyton possesses elite speed but will need to do more with his talent to earn consideration from the coaching staff. His skill set pairs well with the big arm of Justin Herbert, which could produce some big plays and spike weeks for fantasy managers if he can become more involved.
Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin had one reception for 17 yards in the preseason loss to the Carolina Panthers. McLaurin's lone reception was the longest completion for Carson Wentz on a day where the signal-caller was pretty efficient. The 26-year-old is entering his fourth season with what most would say is the best quarterback of his career so far. If the two can build a strong connection, new statistical heights may be in the cards for the talented wideout. While McLaurin is currently a high-end WR2, he certainly has WR1 upside.
Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell passed for 145 yards while completing nine of his 16 attempts during the preseason loss to Carolina. He also added three carries for 19 yards and two touchdowns. Howell saw no action for the entire first half but took over for most of the second. The fifth-round rookie did his best to make the game close as he led two fourth-quarter touchdown drives, resulting in two rushing touchdowns for himself. As a player projected to be a first-round pick at one point, Howell has a shot at taking over the backup quarterback job from Taylor Heinicke before the start of the season. If his impressive play continues, his fantasy stock could be on the rise as an insurance policy for Carson Wentz in deep Superflex leagues.
Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson carried the ball six times for 26 yards and one touchdown during Saturday's preseason loss to Carolina. He also added two receptions for 15 yards. The 23-year-old rookie started the day behind Antonio Gibson but quickly saw work due to Gibson's struggles with ball security. Robinson took full advantage of his opportunity by gaining 10 yards on his first carry and then nine yards on his first reception. The former Alabama running back is still expected to be listed behind Gibson on the depth chart, but there may be some consideration for a more prominent role if he continues to perform well throughout the preseason.
Washington Commanders running back Antonio Gibson carried the ball four times for two yards along with one reception for two yards in Saturday's loss to the Carolina Panthers. The 24-year-old had a rough start as his second carry resulted in a fumble, leading to him being quickly replaced by Brian Robinson. Gibson's ball security is still an issue, and the coaching staff seems to feel comfortable with what they have in Robinson. There's still time for the third-year back to regain trust, but he may be on his way to losing touches in this backfield. Be cautious when considering him during drafts.
Washington Commanders wide receiver Curtis Samuel saw two targets in Washington's loss to the Carolina Panthers. The former Buckeye was the recipient of Carson Wentz's first pass of the game, racking up six yards before converting on third down off an eight-yard reception. His 14 total yards weren't much, but it was encouraging to see the 26-year-old back on the field after an injury-riddled 2021. With Samuel also getting work with the first team, he could be a nice speculative pick late in drafts heading into the season.
Miami Dolphins QB Teddy Bridgewater (back) did not play in preseason Week 1 because of back tightness, according to head coach Mike McDaniel on Sunday, Aug. 14. The injury isn't thought to be serious, though.
Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Joshua Palmer failed to record a catch despite receiving four targets during Saturday's 29-22 preseason loss to Los Angeles Rams. The sophomore receiver had a decent stretch at the end of last year, producing 15 receptions for 185 yards and three touchdowns in their final five games. Palmer has also received plenty of praise during training camp and currently projects to be the third option behind Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, which should be a meaningful role for fantasy managers. That said, Palmer will need to do more in his next game to ensure Jalen Guyton doesn't steal work and give the Chargers' coaching staff a reason to take him off the field.
Los Angeles Chargers backup quarterback Chase Daniel completed 11 of his 17 pass attempts for 117 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions during Saturday's 29-22 preseason loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Daniel was in command of an offense that was missing most of its starters. His touchdown throws included an accurate 41-yard strike to wide receiver Joe Reed and a short three-yard dump-off that receiver Michael Bandy took the remaining thirteen yards to the house. While he doesn't figure to see any regular season action, barring injury, it's beneficial to know that he could sustain the fantasy value of the Chargers' superstars, at least temporarily, should anything happen to Justin Herbert.
Los Angeles Chargers rookie running back Isaiah Spiller rushed the ball 10 times for 34 yards while adding one reception for 10 yards during Saturday's 29-22 preseason loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Spiller dropped to 123rd overall in the draft, largely because of his poor performance at the combine, but he could flourish in this high-octane offense if he can cede work from Austin Ekeler. However, before this becomes a possibility, he'll need to fend off Joshua Kelley and Larry Rountree III. It was promising to see Spiller receive a target, but his inefficiency on the ground will need to improve to make an impact for fantasy managers this year.