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NFL Playoffs League - FFL: Preseason | NFL: Week 1

Lineup Prep: Week 3

Wed Sep 21 10:32am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

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Montgomery can keep hot ways


The offenses around the league got going last week, seeing some huge fantasy performances. It was only a matter of time, right? You have to wonder if the slow start from some of these teams and offenses has to do with teams resting starters during the preseason. It might take some time for some of these offenses to get going as they get used to play with each other. Just something to keep in mind next year. Don’t fly off the handle, making rash decisions after a week or two of action. Sometimes it takes time for these teams and players to get going.

Now for my random thoughts for the week. . . . . 

The Bears offense might be one of the most disappointing fantasy starts for me this year. I really thought this unit could take some steps forward this year, and Darnell Mooney would be an elite fantasy option. He still has time to turn it around, so I like him as a buy-low candidate, but you have to be concerned with what you have seen to date. The offensive line has been terrible and the entire offensive scheme seems to be out of whack. Cole Kmet was another target of mine in this offense and he hasn’t caught a pass. How does that even happen? This hast just been a frustrating situation to watch. 

I have been slow to embrace takings receivers in the first round of drafts. Well, that might finally be changing for me after the start to this year. The running back position has been pretty bad, especially the top picks in the draft. Meanwhile, nearly all of the receivers picked early are producing and producing big. There is just a lot less risk when it comes to the receiver spot. The running back position is a lot more volatile. Things could change as the season progresses, but I’m starting to be a believer of going receiver early in drafts. 

I know he is third in quarterback scoring right now, but I don’t trust Carson Wentz at all. I do think he will continue to have some big games in this offense, but I also think he will disappear at times. I consider him more of a top QB2. The good news is he has some good pieces around him and an offense that seems to suit him pretty well. Remember, he played the Jaguars and Lions to open his season, two favorable matchups. He is going to come back down to earth. Plus, we all know how erratic he can be any given week. You just never know what you are going to get with him.

This year’s rookie crop of receivers is sure living up to the hype. These youngsters have been great and should just keep getting better. This class might go down as one of the best ever at the receiver spot. Garrett Wilson, Jahan Dotson, Chris Olave, Treylon Burks and Drake London are all making an impact already. These guys are quickly acclimating to the pro game and could be elite fantasy players sooner than later. 

I am a little worried about Derrick Henry. He has 34 carries for 107 yards in two games. He also has just a catch, so his fantasy production has not been good. He looks huge and can still break tackles with the best of them, but I don’t think he looks quite as explosive as he has in the past. He has time to get it going but you have to wonder if his age and returning from a major foot injury is finally catching up with him. 

The Eagles sure look like the real deal after two games. Jalen Hurts seems to have taken his game to a new level, making plays all over the field as a passer and runner. The addition of A.J. Brown has been huge for this offense and Hurts. And the running game has been near unstoppable with Miles Sanders and Hurts leading the way. This is a balanced offense with a ton of playmakers. Philadelphia is the real deal and could contend for a Super Bowl title. 

D’Andre Swift had seven touches and finished with 16.7 fantasy points last week. This guy is unreal. Let’s hope he can get healthy in a hurry and get those touches back up. If that happens, he can be the top fantasy running back in the game this season. He might be the most explosive back in the game right now. As always, health seems to be the only thing holding him back. Get that ankle better!

News and Notes: The Bucs signed receiver Cole Beasley on Tuesday, Sept. 20. He gives the team some much needed depth at the position and could quickly find his way into the lineup. . . . .The 49ers promoted running back Marlon Mack to the active roster on Tuesday. He adds some depth to the 49ers backfield, likely serving as the No. 3 back for the team. . . . .Bucs receiver Mike Evans was suspended one game because of his fight during the Week 2 contest. He is appealing the suspension, though, and should know his status for this week’s game before the week is out.  

HOT PLAYS

Kirk Cousins, QB, Vikings. Look for Cousins to rebound in a big way this week. He had a tough matchup on the road last week against a good Eagles team. He did not play well and never seems to play well when on a prime time game. Well, that won’t be the case this week when he gets the Lions. Detroit has been involved in shootouts to start the season. The Lions allow the third most fantasy points to quarterbacks and are 27th overall against the pass. Don’t hesitate to put Cousins back in your lineup Week 3. 

Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles. Sanders is off to a fast start to this season. The Eagles are still rotating backs, but Sanders is getting the most work right now. He has 30 carries his first two games and double-digit fantasy points each of those games. He has at least 85 total yards each of his first two games and multiple receptions each of those games. Sanders should continue to post good numbers this week against the Commanders. Washington allows the sixth most fantasy points to running backs. 

Tyler Higbee, TE, Rams. The tight end position is a disaster right now, but Higbee has been a bright spot. He had 14.1 fantasy points last week and been targeted 20 times in two game. Sure, he has some drops, but he is getting a lot of looks and posting consistent numbers. He is a legit TE1 for fantasy teams. He can produce once again for fantasy teams this week against the Cardinals, a team that has struggled to stop the tight end to start the year. Arizona allows the most fantasy points to tight ends 

Jakobi Meyers, WR, Patriots. Meyers has double-digit fantasy points each of his first two games. He is the top targets in the Patriots passing game. He had 13 targets last week and finished with nine receptions for 95 yards. He is a consistent target in the Patriots passing game. Meyers can keep up his solid production in Week 3 against the Ravens. Baltimore is a disaster against the pass and allow the most fantasy points to receivers. 

David Montgomery, RB, Bears. Montgomery was one of the few bright spots for the Bears last week. He had a 100-yard game last week, rushing 15 times for 122 yards. He has at least 17 touches each of his first two games. He is getting a lot of work and should get plenty again this week in an offense that has been a mess. Montgomery has been producing and should post good numbers against the Texans. Houston is 30th against the run, allowing 163-rushing yards per game.

COLD PLAYS 

Jarvis Landry, WR, Saints. Landry had a great showing in the opener but did next to nothing last week against a very good Bucs defense. He had four receptions and played the least amount of snaps (68 percent) out of the big three Saints receivers. He isn’t really a plug and play fantasy option in his current role and at this stage of his career. Landry is probably best to sit this week against the Panthers, a team that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to defenses. 

Devin Singletary, RB, Bills. Singletary is getting the most playing time at running back for the Bills to start the season. He played 59 percent of the snaps Week 1 and 54 percent last week. This is good news for Singletary. The bad news is he is yet to top 50-rushing yards and has not hit double-digit fantasy points just yet. He is a hard player for fantasy teams to trust, especially this week against the Dolphins. Miami allows the fewest fantasy points to running backs after two games. 

Tom Brady, QB, Bucs. It is always hard to bet against Brady, but things don’t look great for him this week. He is going to be without Mike Evans (suspended) and his other main targets are hurting. It could be another long week for Brady throwing the ball. He is yet to have more than 14 fantasy points in a game this year and still doesn’t have multiple touchdowns in any game. It is probably best to just leave Brady on your bench, especially this week against the Packers. Green Bay is fourth overall against the pass and looked great defensively last week, not allowing the Bears to do anything through the air. 

Melvin Gordon, RB, Broncos. Gordon has double-digit carries each of his first two games, but is yet to have double-digit fantasy points. It seems a changing of the guard might finally be happening in Denver. Gordon played 32 percent of the snaps last week compared to Javonte Williams playing 65 percent. Gordon is going to be a hard play for fantasy teams going forward. He will be boom or bust. The Broncos play the 49ers in Week 3, a team that allows the seventh fewest fantasy points to running backs. 

Zach Ertz, TE, Cardinals. Ertz got a lot of targets last week, getting 11 looks in the game. He played well, catching eight passes for 75 yards. Ertz had just two catches in Week 1, though, so he hasn’t been great all season. He can be hit or miss, especially in a tough matchup. And this week’s game against the Rams is a tough one for Ertz. In two games against the Rams last year, Ertz had eight receptions for 63 yards. He had fewer than double-digit fantasy points each of those games. The Rams allow the second fewest fantasy points to tight ends after two games this year. 

SLEEPERS

Dameon Pierce, RB, Texans. Pierce was much more involved in the offense in Week 2. He played 62 percent of the snaps at running back and had 15 carries for 69 yards against a good Broncos defense. His fantasy numbers weren’t great, but he got a lot of work and was on the field often. If that is the case again this week, Pierce should produce his best numbers to date. Pierce gets a Bears defense that is dead last against the run, allowing 189.5-rushing yards per game. 

Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR, Browns. Peoples-Jones was a bust last week, failing to catch a pass. He did play 78 percent of the snaps, though, so he was on the field often. And he played 83 percent of the snaps in the opener and caught six passes for 60 yards on 11 targets. Don’t get too down on him after a bad game. He is getting plenty of playing time and should see an uptick in targets in Week 3 against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 30th overall against the pass and allow the fourth most fantasy points to receivers.

Marcus Mariota, QB, Falcons. Mariota is 12th overall in fantasy quarterback after two games. He has showed his fantasy potential, having multiple touchdowns last week against a good Rams defense and 72-rushing yards in the opener. Mariota has a high floor because of his ability to make plays with his legs. He can be a good spot play this week, especially this week against Seattle. The Seahawks are 24th overall against the pass, allowing 257-passing yards per game. 

Chase Claypool, WR, Steelers. Claypool leads the Steelers receivers in playing time, playing 92 percent of the snaps each of his first two games. He has not done much with his playing time, having four receptions each of his first two games. Claypool is getting the looks, though, so that is a positive. He has 12 targets in two games and been on the field a ton. It just seems a matter of time before he posts a big game. And we think that might happen this week against the Browns, a team that allows the seventh most fantasy points to receivers. 

Jordan Mason, RB, 49ers. Mason is yet to have a carry this year, but is set to take over as the No. 2 back for the 49ers because of injury. The 49ers backup played 39 percent of the carries last week. This bodes well for Mason, who showed well in the preseason and earned the trust of his coaching staff with his play. The 49ers get a struggling Broncos team this week. Mason has some potential as a flex play in deeper formats. He could post some decent total yardage numbers in this matchup. 

High/Low Scoring Games

Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low scoring games for the coming week. In high scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.

High Scoring Games: Bills/Dolphins, Eagles/Commanders, Jaguars/Chargers, Chiefs/Colts, Lions/Vikings, Rams/Cardinals.

Low Scoring Games: Steelers/Browns, Falcons/Seahawks, Texans/Bears, Cowboys/Giants.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Zay Jones May 13 9:52am ET
Zay Jones

Dynasty | The Cardinals have signed wide receiver Zay Jones. Dynasty Analysis: Jones has had some nice moments over his seven seasons in Buffalo, Las Vegas, and Jacksonville, though he's never posted more than 823 receiving yards or seven touchdowns in any given season. Jones could be viable opposite Marvin Harrison, Jr. if he can beat out Michael Wilson but that's no given. At this point, Jones looks like a roster worthy player but a potential roster clogger at the same time.

Ja'Tavion Sanders May 12 12:00pm ET
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Carolina Panthers rookie tight end Ja'Tavion Sanders said his goal in the NFL is to be as good as former All-Pro Greg Olsen. Sanders, a converted receiver at Texas, averaged 49.5 catches a year with the Longhorns with an average of 648 yards and 3.5 touchdowns. His role with the Panthers is not clear yet, but head coach Dave Canales said on Saturday that Sanders will play both the "F" and the "Y" roles, dependent on pass plays versus 12 personnel. "He's a guy, you can move around a little bit more, maybe play him in the slot a little bit," Canales said, adding, "we look for those versatile type of tight ends." The 21-year-old was taken with the 101st overall pick in the fourth round this year but could immediately become the team's best pass-catching tight end over both Tommy Tremble and Ian Thomas. Still, fantasy managers in single-year leagues in 2024 should temper expectations for Sanders in Carolina's offense.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye May 12 11:20am ET
Drake Maye

New England Patriots first-year head coach Jerod Mayo said that rookie quarterback Drake May, who was taken third overall in last month's NFL draft, "has a lot to work on." Saturday's practice featured a heavy emphasis on footwork fundamentals, with Maye spending the first few periods of practice taking snaps directly under center instead of the shotgun, which he mostly used the last two years at North Carolina. "The guy can sling it, man," said wide receiver Ja'Lynn Polk, the second-round pick from the University of Washington. "He's very confident. He's a leader, very vocal; he's setting the tone in practice, trying to get guys moving around and operating at a high level." Maye is expected to compete with veteran Jacoby Brissett for starting duties in 2024. The Patriots aren't going to rush Maye's development, so he's more of a dynasty/keeper asset in fantasy this year than a redraft one.

From RotoBaller

Bo Nix May 12 11:20am ET
Bo Nix

Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton said he liked what he saw from rookie quarterback Bo Nix during practices at the team's rookie minicamp over the weekend. "He had two or three down the field throws [Saturday]," Payton said. "It's almost like watching a good golfer when you watch his game ... there's a patience to how he plays, the ball comes out." The Broncos took Nix 12th overall, which many thought was a massive reach, and hope he will become their next franchise signal-caller. With only Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson to compete with, Nix has a clear path to the starting job right away in his first season in the NFL, but the Broncos aren't getting ahead of themselves. "We'll figure it out, we'll figure it out ... We'll have a rotation and we'll go from there," Payton said when asked how the team's QB competition will unfold in the weeks ahead.

From RotoBaller

Tommy Sweeney May 12 11:10am ET
Tommy Sweeney

Free-agent tight end Tommy Sweeney signed an undisclosed deal with the Chicago Bears on Sunday after a tryout at their rookie minicamp, according to a source. Sweeney was with the New York Giants most of last year but sat out after he collapsed and had a "medical event" on the practice field. The 28-year-old was originally drafted in the seventh round (228th overall) by the Buffalo Bills in 2019 out of Boston College. All three of his NFL seasons came with Buffalo, and Sweeney has caught a total of 18 passes for 165 yards and one touchdown on 26 targets in just 24 games played (four starts). Sweeney will be competing for a roster spot in training camp this summer among a tight end group in Chicago that already includes Cole Kmet, Gerald Everett, Stephen Carlson and rookie Brenden Bates.

From RotoBaller

Ezekiel Elliott May 12 9:53am ET
Ezekiel Elliott

Dallas Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy said the team will use a running back by committee approach this season, unlike the feature back approach used during RB Ezekiel Elliott's first tour of duty with the team. McCarthy said that he has not seen any drop off in the way Elliott moves but thinks it wouldn't be fair to give him a workload similar to what he saw in the early seasons of his career.

Fantasy Spin: Elliott had the least productive season of his career with New England in 2023, with career lows in carries (184), rushing yards (642), touchdowns (three) and yards per carry (3.5). Although he is expected to have a larger role in the Dallas offense in 2024, his days as an RB1 fantasy option are likely over. Elliott is most likely to see the field in short-yardage and goal line situations, making him worthy of consideration as an RB3 in many fantasy leagues. RBs Rico Dowdle and Deuce Vaughn are behind Elliott on the Cowboys' depth chart but their fantasy value remains uncertain, as it remains to be seen how many offensive snaps they will see in a typical game.

From TheHuddle

Bud Dupree May 11 9:20pm ET
Bud Dupree

Free-agent linebacker Bud Dupree has reportedly signed a two-year deal with the Los Angeles Chargers. Dupree met with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Atlanta Falcons in addition to the Chargers. The 31-year-old has played with both the Steelers and Falcons during his career so it appears Dupree was looking for a new home. The veteran linebacker still has something left in the tank. He recorded 6.5 sacks last season with Atlanta. Those 6.5 sacks were the most for Dupree since the 2020 season. His addition should be a solid boost for this defensive unit heading into next season.

From RotoBaller

Phillip Dorsett May 11 9:00pm ET
Phillip Dorsett

The Denver Broncos have released wide receiver Phillip Dorsett. The veteran wideout was already a longshot to make the roster. The 31-year-old joined the Broncos last season and failed to make a catch during his two appearances. Dorsett has bounced around quite a bit throughout his time in the league. Dorsett is viewed more as a depth option than an actual impact player on a roster. He could sign elsewhere before the season starts, but his chances of having fantasy value are low.

From RotoBaller

Albert Wilson May 11 8:40pm ET
Albert Wilson

Free-agent wide receiver Albert Wilson has decided to retire from professional football after seven seasons. Wilson joined the Kansas City Chiefs as an undrafted free agent ahead of the 2014 season. He spent four seasons with the Chiefs, and Wilson achieved a career-high 554 receiving yards during his final season with the team. After that, Wilson joined the Miami Dolphins for the next three seasons. He was fairly lackluster during his time with the Dolphins. He bounced around with the Raiders and Vikings but hasn't seen the field since the 2021 season. Wilson will finish his career with 218 receptions, 2,499 yards, and 12 touchdowns.

From RotoBaller

Rashee Rice May 11 7:13pm ET
Rashee Rice

Dynasty | Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice is under investigation in relation to a night club assault,. Dynasty Analysis: An adventurous off-season continues for Rice, who already has a massive legal problem in relation to a street racing incident. This new investigation is looking like it's going to take some time to unravel but it's clear a suspension (and possibly a lengthy one) is coming sooner rather than later. Rice is a hold for now as his value is clearly in flux.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Martavis Bryant May 11 7:13pm ET
Martavis Bryant

Dynasty | The Cowboys have released wide receiver Martavis Bryant. Dynasty Analysis: Marty B will likely attempt to resume his comeback with another team as Dallas just couldn't hold on to him. Bryant was once a highly regarded dynasty asset but suspensions derailed his career before it could really even get going. Bryant will look to latch on elsewhere but it's hard to see him being a worthwhile dynasty pickup until he makes a final roster.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Allen Robinson May 11 7:13pm ET
Allen Robinson

Dynasty | The Giants have signed wide receiver Allen Robinson. Dynasty Analysis: Robinson had a 102/1,250/6 season for the Bears in 2020 but has fallen off the face of the earth since with just over 1,000 receiving yards and a total of four touchdowns in the three years since, including stops with Chicago, Los Angeles and Pittsburgh. Robinson is a fringe roster candidate at best at this point and while he has a chance to re-emerge in New York, don't hold your breath.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Bud Dupree May 11 7:13pm ET
Bud Dupree

Free-agent DE Bud Dupree (Falcons) agreed to a two-year deal worth $6 million with a total value of $10 million with the Los Angeles Chargers, according to sources Saturday, May 11.

From TheHuddle

Jarvis Landry May 11 2:00pm ET
Jarvis Landry

Free-agent wide receiver Jarvis Landry spent an hour running around catching passes as a tryout player at the Jacksonville Jaguars' rookie minicamp on Friday. Landry was one of the league's top receivers in the first seven years of his career, making five Pro Bowls with the Dolphins and Browns. He led the NFL in catches in 2017 with 112 and had three 1,000-yard seasons in that span. But Landry only played in 12 games in 2021 with Cleveland due to a knee sprain, and he had a career-low in catches (52) and receiving yards (570). He played in just nine games with the Saints in 2022 due to an ankle injury and sat out in 2023. Landry looked healthy on Friday and was pleased with his workout, but it remains to be seen if the Jags will add him as receiver depth in addition to Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis and first-round rookie Brian Thomas.

From RotoBaller

Jayden Daniels May 11 1:30pm ET
Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels didn't have any "wow" moments during his first rookie minicamp practice, but he still managed to impress fellow rookies and the coaching staff. "He's a stud," third-round receiver Luke McCaffrey said. "I know he's one heck of a quarterback and a lot of fun to play with from a personality standpoint. I've had a blast in these 24 hours with him. He's just fun to be around; he's good energy." Daniels was the No. 2 overall pick in last year's NFL draft and is expected to take over as the team's starter under center right away in Week 1 this fall. The 23-year-old former LSU Tiger is a dual-threat QB with plenty of athleticism, and he could be the most NFL-ready signal-caller of all the rookie QBs not named Caleb Williams. In Year 1, Daniels will be a low-end QB2 in fantasy with considerable upside for his rushing ability.

From RotoBaller

Xavier Legette May 11 1:20pm ET
Xavier Legette

Carolina Panthers rookie first-round wide receiver Xavier Legette, who was taken 32nd overall in this year's NFL draft last month, has had trouble connecting with the team's rookie quarterbacks so far in rookie minicamp practices. Legette has always had the size-speed combination -- his 4.39-second 40-yard dash tied for the sixth-fastest among wideouts at this year's scouting combine -- but he kept hearing that he had to improve as a route-runner as he took part in Senior Bowl practices and the combine. At 6-foot-1, 221 pounds, some questioned Legette's ability to drop his hips and quickly get out of his breaks. Legette has been compared physically to DK Metcalf, who Panthers head coach Dave Canales worked with in Seattle. At the very least, Legette will give second-year QB Bryce Young a speed, big-bodied target deep down the field in 2024, but expecting much more than that might be unwise in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Dan Quinn May 11 1:20pm ET
Dan Quinn

Washington Commanders head coach Dan Quinn said that second-round rookie defensive tackle Jer'Zhan Newton (foot) has an injury to his left foot -- not the same foot as his college season but the same injury -- and has surgery scheduled for next week. "Not giving any timelines for that," Quinn said. The 21-year-old had surgery in January on his right foot to fix a partial Jones fracture, but now he'll be forced to undergo a similar surgery on his other foot. It's not what you want to hear from a high draft pick as they head into their first NFL offseason. It remains to be seen when Newton will be able to practice with the team. Any missed time in training camp this summer would be a big blow to his development as he looks to carve out a role on the interior of Washington's defensive line in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Rome Odunze May 11 1:10pm ET
Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears rookie first-round wide receiver Rome Odunze (hamstring) is dealing with hamstring tightness and will sit out of Saturday's rookie minicamp practice. It's likely nothing to worry about in the long run, but it's also not a great start for Odunze as he looks to get going as a top-10 pick in this year's NFL draft. It's something to keep an eye on with the 21-year-old from Washington as we get deeper into the offseason and closer to training camp. The Bears took Odunze at No. 9 overall to give rookie quarterback Caleb Williams more weapons in the passing attack in addition to established veterans DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. Odunze was extremely productive in college and is ultra-athletic on the football field, but it's going to be tough for him to produce consistent numbers in Chicago's offense in his rookie season as long as both Moore and Allen stay healthy.

From RotoBaller

Albert Wilson May 11 11:33am ET
Albert Wilson

Free-agent WR Albert Wilson (Raiders) announced his retirement in a post on his Instagram account Friday, May 10.

From TheHuddle

Dane Cruikshank May 11 10:33am ET
Dane Cruikshank

The Atlanta Falcons signed free-agent DE Bradlee Anae (Jets) and free-agent S Dane Cruikshank (Titans) Saturday, May 11. Both players had tried out for the club Friday, May 10.

From TheHuddle