Wed Aug 17 2:35pm ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Kupp piled up the red zone looks
It is always a good idea to take a close look at the red-zone statistics from the previous season. Players that get more looks in the red zone can carry more fantasy value. There are always a few surprises and other takeaways with these numbers. We thought we would take a closer look, examining the top targets in the red zone for receivers and tight ends. Plus, we take a look at the quarterbacks that threw the ball most often inside the 10-yard line. Lastly, we wanted to see all the players with the most carries inside the 10-yard line. Enjoy!
Red Zone WR Targets | ||
1. | Cooper Kupp | 37 |
2. | Stefon Diggs | 34 |
3. | Davante Adams | 27 |
4. | Chris Godwin | 25 |
5. | Keenan Allen | 23 |
Tyreek Hill | ||
Hunter Renfrow | ||
6. | Diontae Johnson | 21 |
7. | Justin Jefferson | 20 |
8. | D.K. Metcalf | 19 |
Mike Williams |
TAKEAWAYS: It is not a surprise to see Cooper Kupp top this list. He was the top fantasy receiver last year and had a monster year. . . . .Stefon Diggs was one of two receivers to have 30-plus red-zone targets. He had a career high in touchdowns last year because of all the added looks in the red zone. . . . .One surprise on the list is Hunter Renfrow. He is not your typical red-zone receiver, but he got the looks last year. He scored nine touchdowns on all those targets and was a top-10 fantasy receiver. Can he repeat those targets with Davante Adams around? Adams was third on this list. Something has to give, right? . . . . .The Chargers had two receivers finish on the list, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. The Chargers are a team to target come draft day because of their prolific passing attack that could be even better this year.
Red Zone TE Targets | ||
1. | Mark Andrews | 20 |
Cameron Brate | ||
Pat Freiermuth | ||
2. | Tyler Higbee | 18 |
Dawson Knox | ||
3. | Hunter Henry | 17 |
4. | Tyler Conklin | 16 |
Travis Kelce | ||
5. | Kyle Pitts | 14 |
TAKEAWAYS: It is not a surprise to see Mark Andrews tied for first in red-zone targets at tight end. He led all of tight ends in fantasy scoring. He is setup to be the top target in the Ravens once again this year. . . . .There are some surprises on this list including Cameron Brate. He didn’t even start for the Bucs but had 20 red-zone targets. The problem is he converted all those targets to just four touchdowns. It is something to keep in mind come draft day, especially with Rob Gronkowski’s status still up in the air. . . . .Pat Freiermuth was a rookie last year but quickly emerged as a top target in the red zone. He has the ideal size to be a threat to score often. This could be a breakout year for Freiermuth, who should start from day one in year two. . . . .Kyle Pitts cracks the top 10 for red-zone targets at tight end despite scoring just once. This is a good sign for him going forward. It wasn’t for a lack of chances that he didn’t score much his rookie year. Look for those touchdown numbers to climb.
Red Zone Pass Attempts (inside the 10) | ||
1. | Tom Brady | 60 |
2. | Josh Allen | 56 |
3. | Matthew Stafford | 54 |
4. | Justin Herbert | 53 |
5. | Aaron Rodgers | 51 |
6. | Patrick Mahomes | 50 |
7. | Ben Roethlisberger | 40 |
8. | Carson Wentz | 38 |
Matt Ryan | ||
9. | Kyler Murray | 36 |
TAKEAWAYS: For the second straight season, Tom Brady tops the list of pass attempts inside the 10. This should not come as a big surprise. Brady is great at the play-action fake and has always thrown the ball often around the goal line. His touchdown ceiling remains very high in this offense. . . . .It is good to see Kyler Murray make the top 10 because he has the reputation of running often when inside the 10. His dual threat ability, especially in the red zone, makes Murray an exciting fantasy option for the coming season. . . . .Three veterans, Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Wentz and Matt Ryan, had their chances inside the 10 last year. This is a good sign for their fantasy values, especially Ryan. He now plays in Wentz’s offense from last year.
Red Zone Rush Attempts (inside the 10) | ||
1. | Jonathan Taylor | 41 |
2. | Damien Harris | 30 |
3. | James Conner | 28 |
4. | Dalvin Cook | 26 |
Joe Mixon | ||
5. | Austin Ekeler | 25 |
Antonio Gibson | ||
Leonard Fournette | ||
6. | Sony Michel | 24 |
David Montgomery | ||
7. | Nick Chubb | 22 |
Jalen Hurts |
TAKEAWAYS: The top fantasy back in the game was the clear leader in rush attempts inside the 10. Jonathan Taylor is going first overall this season and these numbers help solidify that spot at the top. . . . .Damien Harris is second on the list, which might be a little surprising to some. He is ahead of some really good fantasy backs. Harris has a few question marks for the coming year but he might be a little undervalued at this point, having an ADP of 72.23. . . . .It might be good news for Cam Akers, who missed most of last year, to see Sony Michel get 24 carries inside the 10. This bodes well for Akers for the coming season. He could rack up the touchdowns. . . . .There is only one non-running back on this list and it is Jalen Hurts. This is really intriguing for the fantasy value for Hurts. The dual threat quarterback could score a lot of touchdowns in what should be an improved offense this season.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
The Green Bay Packers selected USC running back MarShawn Lloyd with the 88th pick in the NFL draft. Lloyd is credited for having great acceleration and the ability to bounce outside the tackles. He averaged over seven yards per carry last season, which showcases his big-play ability. The 23-year-old ran for 820 yards and nine scores last season. Lloyd joins a running back room that just welcomed Josh Jacobs, which will limit his fantasy value early on, but he could grow into a part-time contributor over the course of his rookie season.
From RotoBaller
The Pittsburgh Steelers have selected University of Michigan wide receiver Roman Wilson with the No. 84 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The 22-year-old was one of J.J. McCarthy's favorite targets on the national champion Wolverines. He caught 49 passes for 789 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2023, showcasing his speed, hands, and route running skills on a national stage. The Steelers have been looking for wide receiver help ever since trading Diontae Johnson to the Carolina Panthers. Wilson could immediately slot into the Steelers' No. 2 wide receiver role alongside George Pickens, giving him appeal in both redraft and dynasty leagues.
From RotoBaller
The Cardinals selected University of Illinois tight end Tip Reiman with the No. 82 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. He played four years at Illinois, totaling 420 yards and five touchdowns off 41 catches. While the 22-year-old has plenty of positive attributes, he wasn't as productive at the collegiate level as others in his class. With that said, Reiman will have a chance to carve out playing time in Arizona, a team in a transition phase. However, he'll need to compete for snaps with Trey McBride, one of the league's emerging tight ends.
From RotoBaller
The Bengals selected Alabama wide receiver Jermaine Burton with the No. 80 pick in the 2024 NFL draft. The 22-year-old began his collegiate career at Georgia. However, he played at Alabama in the last two seasons. During his time with the Crimson Tide, he totaled 79 catches for 1,479 yards and 15 touchdowns. He also averaged 20.5 yards per catch as a senior. It will be tough for anyone to get consistently involved offensively with Ja'Marr Chase and potentially Tee Higgins in the equation. However, If Burton gets snaps, he could flourish catching passes from Joe Burrow, one of the best quarterbacks in the National Football League.
From RotoBaller
The Los Angeles Rams have selected University of Michigan running back Blake Corum with the No. 83 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The national champion is the third running back off the board following Texas' Jonathon Brooks and Florida State's Trey Benson. He totaled 2,905 scrimmage yards and a whopping 47 touchdowns over his last two seasons. He's not a major contributor in the passing game but clearly carves out plenty of work on the ground and near the goal line. Kyren Williams is still Los Angeles' top running back, but Corum should carve out a role and could even have immediate fantasy appeal given his nose for the end zone.
From RotoBaller
The Arizona Cardinals selected Florida State running back Trey Benson with the 66th overall pick in the NFL Draft. Benson could be the most complete running back in the draft class. He excelled at breaking tackles, setting the single-season FBS record by forcing 0.51 missed tackles per run. The 21-year-old also possesses great breakaway speed with 14 runs of 20 or more yards (ninth in FBS). Last season, Benson ran for 906 yards on the ground and 227 through the air and 15 total scores. He will join veteran James Connor, who could limit his fantasy value early on, but he should be an early second-round pick in dynasty rookie drafts.
From RotoBaller
The New York Jets traded up with the Carolina Panthers to select Western Kentucky wide receiver Malachi Corley. Corley led the nation in yards after catch over the past two seasons, has great elusiveness, and had the most receptions in the FBS over the past three seasons with 253. The 22-year-old can threaten vertically as well and should be a strong deep threat option for Aaron Rodgers. Corley joins a wide receiver room with star Garrett Wilson and newly acquired Mike Williams. Corley could be a sleeper pick in fantasy this season as he could slot in as the number two option with the injury-prone Mike Williams.
From RotoBaller
The Commanders selected Kansas State tight end Ben Sinnott with the No. 53 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The 21-year-old is coming off the best collegiate season of his career, totaling 49 catches for 676 yards and six touchdowns. While he's still young, he has the tools needed to be a potent pass-catcher moving ahead. Of course, Sinnott will have to contend with Zach Ertz for playing time. It could also take Jayden Daniels some time to find his rhythm in Washington, meaning Sinnott might not be productive immediately.
From RotoBaller
With the No. 41 pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Saints selected Alabama cornerback Kool-Aid McKinstry. New Orleans traded with Green Bay for this pick, so the 21-year-old will fill a void on the defensive side of the ball. McKinstry, a 2023 All-American, played three seasons at Alabama. He totaled 93 tackles (62 solo), adding two picks, two sacks, and 23 passes defensed. With the Saints looking to finish atop the NFC South in 2024-25, McKinstry should play a pivotal role right out of the gate.
From RotoBaller
The Indianapolis Colts selected Texas wide receiver Adonai Mitchell with the No. 52 overall pick of the second round in the 2024 NFL Draft. Mitchell was rumored to be taken as high as the middle of Round 1, but he ultimately fell a bit and landed with quarterback Anthony Richarson. Mitchell spent two seasons at Georgia before transferring to the Longhorns, where he racked up 55 receptions for 845 yards and 11 touchdowns while playing alongside Xavier Worthy and J'Tavion Sanders. With Michael Pittman Jr. in town, Mitchell might be capped in the WR2 role, but the development of Richardson will dictate how much upside he may have.
From RotoBaller
The Carolina Panthers traded with the Indianapolis Colts to move up to the 46th spot to select Texas Longhorns running back Jonathon Brooks (knee). He was behind Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson on the Texas depth chart for two seasons. However, he broke out in 2023 with 1,139 yards and 10 rushing scores and was named second-team All-Big 12. The 20-year-old tore his ACL late in the season but should be ready for training camp. Brooks joins a crowded running back room with Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders, which could limit his fantasy value early in the season, but he should be a late first-round pick in dynasty rookie drafts.
From RotoBaller
Dynasty | The 23rd overall pick in the draft, Brian Thomas, Jr., gives Trevor Lawrence a premier downfield threat. Dynasty Analysis: After losing Calvin Ridley to free agency, Lawrence was facing a dearth of receiving options like he hadn't seen in his three year career. Bringing in Brian Thomas, Jr. may even prove to be an upgrade for Lawrence as he looks to bounce back from a disappointing season. Lawrence was able to maintain a top 10 ranking among DLF rankers, but has been closer to dropping below his QB9 rank than rising back into the top five. The selection of Thomas might not move the needle for Lawrence's immediate dynasty value, but should give him every opportunity to outperform his projections.
Dynasty | The Buffalo Bills drafted FSU wide receiver Keon Coleman with the first pick of the second round in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Coleman was shut out of the first round but landed in a great spot, taken with the first pick of the second round by the Buffalo Bills. It's a dream scenario for Coleman, who lands with an elite quarterback in dire need of new weapons after losing so many this off-season. Coleman has work to do for sure but his landing spot is going to place him in the first round of virtually every rookie draft.
Dynasty | Ladd McConkey was drafted by the Chargers with the second pick of the second round in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: McConkey was taken early in the second round by the suddenly receiver-needy Chargers. A precise route runner with serious quickness, McConkey is going to be thrown into action early and often this season. He had a meteoric rise after the NFL Draft Combine and that, combined with a great landing spot, should keep him right around the turn of rounds one and two in rookie drafts.
Dynasty | Kelce is the sneaky winner of the defending champs' first round selection of WR Xavier Worthy. Dynasty Analysis: Adding another burner opposite Marquise "Hollywood" Brown gives the Chiefs the fastest receiving corps in the league. While neither WR expects to command an overwhelming target share, the biggest benefactor will be TE Travis Kelce as he operates in the wide open spaces of the middle of the field. Kelce's dynasty value has been creeping downward due to his age (34), dropping from his long time throne as QB1 all the way to QB6 in DLF's dynasty rankings. With the field-stretching speedsters on the perimeter opening up the field, Kelce is a virtual lock to outperform most of the tight ends currently ranked ahead of him.
Dynasty | After getting a new left tackle in round one, Justin Herbert's stock continues to rise as the Chargers trade up for Ladd McConkey. Dynasty Analysis: Even after the team used it's fifth overall pick to protect Herbert's blindside, skepticism remained due to a lack of weaponry. But the Chargers moved up three spots to acquire a new top pass catcher (and Keenan Allen replacement in the slot), Ladd McConkey. The Chargers likely aren't done building the offense around Herbert, but with just those two draft picks, the franchise has made their quarterback a dynasty value. DLF's QB6 has QB1 overall upside with his own skillset and a little help from his supporting cast.
Dynasty | The Patriots drafted Washington wide receiver Ja'Lynn Polk in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: As expected, Polk was drafted right in the middle of a big receiver run in the NFL Draft, going to the Patriots early in round two. He was the tenth receiver taken but amazingly the 37th overall pick, which just shows the depth of this draft. Polk lands in a desirable spot as the Patriots depth chart at receiver is a mess. He'll need to grow together with Drake Maye but some patience could be rewarded here. Polk looks like a pretty solid pick in round two of conventional rookie drafts.
The New England Patriots selected Washington wide receiver Ja'Lynn Polk with the No. 37 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. New England has often been predicted to pick a wide receiver in Round 2 after landing their QB of the future in Round 1, and that's exactly what they did. Despite sharing the field with stud wide receiver Rome Odunze in 2023, Polk caught 69 passes for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns during Washington's run to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Given the weak wide receiver room in New England, he's another rookie wideout who could become his team's No. 1 wide receiver in short order. He has the ability to start at X-receiver immediately.
From RotoBaller
The Buffalo Bills have selected Florida State wide receiver Keon Coleman with the No. 33 overall pick (second round) in the 2024 NFL Draft. The 20-year-old was rumored to have a chance at being drafted in the first round, but Buffalo traded back twice and still landed him. The 6'4", 215-pound pass-catcher is a contested-catch specialist and racked up 18 touchdowns in his last 24 games with Florida State and Michigan State. With Stefon Diggs gone to Houston, Coleman could step in right away and act as Josh Allen's No. 1 wide receiver. This is a great landing spot, and Coleman is very much in the first-round conversation of upcoming rookie drafts in all formats.
From RotoBaller
The Los Angeles Chargers selected University of Georgia wide receiver Ladd McConkey with the No. 34 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft on Friday. McConkey is viewed as one of the best route runners in this wide receiver class, and the Chargers had a dire need at wideout after moving on from Mike Williams and Keenan Allen this offseason. Although McConkey's numbers over the last three years aren't all that impressive (119 receptions for 1,687 yards and 14 touchdowns), it's worth noting he battled injuries as a senior, and he dominated at the NFL Combine. With Quentin Johnston struggling to make an impact as a rookie, McConkey could make a run to be Justin Herbert's go-to target.
From RotoBaller