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FFL: Week 8 | NFL: Week 8

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 2

Fri Sep 13 1:40pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Josh Allen provides value Week 2


The first week of action across the NFL was a fun one, especially from a DFS perspective with so many teams putting up massing scoring numbers. There were plenty of surprise performances, as well as some studs who came away with monster stat lines. Let’s dive into the action for Week 2 and see which players could help lead you to a profitable entry.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Patrick Mahomes, KC at OAK ($7,000): The Chiefs’ offense looked just as potent as last season when they hung 40 points on the Jaguars in Week 1. Mahomes was once again productive, throwing for 378 yards and three touchdowns. While he did suffer an ankle injury, he is expected to play Sunday against the Raiders. Losing Tyreek Hill (collarbone) is significant, but Mahomes still has plenty of weapons around him, making him the most appealing option in cash contests. 

Cheap target: Josh Allen, BUF at NYG ($5,800): While Allen and the Bills were moving the ball well in the early going against the Jets, turnovers resulted in them failing to score in the first half. Allen and the offense stepped up in the fourth quarter, eventually pulling out a one-point win. Allen’s 254 passing yards and one passing touchdown aren’t great, but he once again provided value on the ground with 38 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. This is a favorable matchup against a Giants’ defense that was torched by the Cowboys, leaving Allen as a prime target at this price. 

Player to avoid: Kirk Cousins, MIN at GB ($5,900): Cousins didn’t get to do much in the Vikings’ first game against the Falcons, completing 8-of-10 passes for 98 yards and a touchdown. They raced out to a big lead and rode Dalvin Cook to victory. The 10 pass attempts are certainly an anomaly, but the fact that Cook was heavily involved is not. The Vikings want to run the ball more and the Packers showed some promising improvement on defense against the Bears, making Cousins too risky here. I’d much rather save $100 and roll with Allen. 

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Saquon Barkley, NYG vs. BUF ($8,200): If the Giants are going to have any chance of winning games, it’s going to be on the shoulders of Barkley. That’s why it was surprising that he only received 11 carries against the Cowboys. He certainly made them count, racking up 120 yards. While his 19 receiving yards weren’t great, the six targets that he received is the stat to focus on. Expect him to receive more carries this week and have one of the highest floors at his position.

Cheap target: Matt Breida, SF at CIN ($5,900): Running backs are dropping like flies again on the 49ers. First, Jerick McKinnon (knee) was placed on IR for the second straight season. Then Tevin Coleman sprained his ankle against the Bucs. Even Breida had to leave that contest to get an IV. Breida is fine for this matchup, but Coleman won’t be able to play. With the lion’s share of the workload set to fall to him, Breida could provide tremendous value based on his ability to both rack up rushing yards and catch passes out of the backfield.

Player to avoid: Phillip Lindsay, DEN vs. CHI ($6,500): What we saw from the Broncos in their opener against the Raiders was not great for Lindsay’s prospects moving forward. He was on the field for 53.1 percent of their offense snaps while fellow running back Royce Freeman played 46.9 percent of the snaps. A time share against one of the best defenses in the league is certainly a matchup to stay away from.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Keenan Allen, LAC at DET ($6,800): Allen was his usual productive self against the Colts, catching eight of 10 targets for 123 yards and a touchdown. While that’s already a lot of targets, he could see even more this week with Hunter Henry (knee) out and Mike Williams (knee) trending in the wrong direction. That leaves Travis Benjamin, Dontrelle Inman and Virgil Green as his main competition for targets. Need I say more?

Cheap target: Cole Beasley, BUF at NYG ($4,000): Beasley and John Brown are two key additions for the Bills and they both played well in Week 1. Although Brown had the juicier overall numbers, Beasley still received nine targets. The Giants’ defense is very soft in the middle of the field, which is where Beasley thrives. His touchdown upside isn’t great, but look for him to accumulate a lot of receptions here.

Player to avoid: Courtland Sutton, DEN vs. CHI ($5,300): I’m basically avoiding everyone on the Broncos. If the Bears could hold Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to 10 points, think about what they could do against Joe Flacco and the Broncos, who were limited to 16 points by the Raiders on Monday. There will be other weeks in which the up-and-coming Sutton warrants consideration, but this isn’t one of them.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Travis Kelce, KC at OAK ($6,900): Kelce only caught three of his eight targets against the Jaguars, but he at least converted those receptions into 88 yards. With Hill now sidelined, Kelce is likely going to take on an even larger role within the offense. This is a prime matchup against the Raiders, who he torched for 230 yards and two touchdowns in two games last season.

Cheap target: Darren Waller, OAK vs. KC ($4,500): With Antonio Brown gone, Tyrell Williams takes over as the number one wide receiver for the Raiders. Their other options at the position aren’t great, which means Waller should be heavily involved at tight end. After catching seven of eight targets for 70 yards in Week 1, he has significant upside as the Raiders try to keep pace with the Chiefs’ high-powered offense.

Player to avoid: Eric Ebron, IND at TEN ($5,200): Ebron was one of the biggest surprises in fantasy last year with his 13 touchdown receptions. He started off this season slowly, catching one of three targets for eight yards versus the Chargers. While that’s bad, the really scary stat from a fantasy perspective is that he was only on the field for 39.7 percent of the Colts’ offensive plays compared to 68.3 percent for fellow tight end Jack Doyle. With Doyle now healthy, expect Ebron to continue to have a limited role.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Kyle Rudolph Oct 24 12:30am ET

Minnesota Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph is coming off a solid game in Week 7 as he tallied five catches for 58 yards and a touchdown against the Detroit Lions. It was his first touchdown and his first time exceeding 36 receiving yards on the season. Rudolph may see a slight increase in targets due to receiver Adam Thielen (hamstring) being out, but he still shouldn't be trusted in standard leagues. Rudolph remains an unexciting touchdown-dependent TE2 in Week 8's home matchup against the Washington Redskins.

From RotoBaller

Alexander Mattison Oct 24 12:00am ET

Minnesota Vikings running back Alexander Mattison has gotten at least seven carries in 5-of-7 games this year, though he hasn't quite emerged as a player to consider starting as he's still the clear backup to Dalvin Cook. That being said, Mattison could be in line for a sizeable workload this week as the Vikings are favored by 16 points in a home matchup against the Washington Redskins. The Redskins Defense is more vulnerable through the air, but the Vikings will undoubtedly lean on the rushing attack as they still run at the second-highest rate in the league. Start Mattison if you're in desperate need of a deep-league FLEX option as there's a good chance that he sees at least 10 carries and does something meaningful with them. He's also not the worst dart-throw in daily formats if you're multi-entering into tournaments.

From RotoBaller

Theo Riddick Oct 23 11:13pm ET

Denver Broncos TE Jake Butt (knee) and Theo Riddick (shoulder) are eligible to return to practice this week, but head coach Vic Fangio said Wednesday, Oct. 23 that he isn't going to practice either of them this week.

From TheHuddle

Dede Westbrook Oct 23 11:00pm ET

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Dede Westbrook (neck, shoulder) did not practice on Wednesday. Marqise Lee (ankle), who missed Week 7, was limited. Westbrook was questionable for last Sunday's game but played and went over 100 yards against the Bengals injured and ineffective secondary. He'll have a good chance of playing this Sunday as long as he practices later this week. The matchup will be just as nice, too, as the Jags will face off with Gang Green's struggling defense. If he plays, Westbrook has clear WR2 upside. If he's inactive, Chris Conley would be on the DFS and deep league streaming radar.

From RotoBaller

Minnesota Vikings Oct 23 11:00pm ET

The Vikings Defense gave up 30 points in a win over the Detroit Lions in Week 7 but still rank sixth in yards per game allowed and points per game allowed. They also have seven interceptions, 19 sacks, four fumble recoveries, and a safety on the season. They're presented with a golden matchup against Case Keenum and the Washington Redskins on Thursday night in Week 8. The Redskins are averaging a miserable 12.9 points per game and their offensive line is no match for Danielle Hunter and the Vikings imposing defensive front. Look for the Vikings to force mistakes and pick up plenty of sacks and start them with confidence in Week 8.

From RotoBaller

Jalen Hurd Oct 23 11:00pm ET

San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan said he's not optimistic that wide receivers Trent Taylor (foot) and Jalen Hurd (back) will make it back this season after they both had "a couple setbacks." Obviously neither wideout should be stashed in season-long leagues, but Hurd has appeal to those in dynasty/keeper setups. The 49ers just traded for Emmanuel Sanders on Monday, too, so it would've been unrealistic to expect either Taylor or Hurd to make an impact in single-year leagues even if they returned. Sanders is expected to be in three-wide sets immediately with Marquise Goodwin and Dante Pettis in Week 8 against the Panthers.

From RotoBaller

Kirk Cousins Oct 23 10:50pm ET

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has been silencing his critics the past three weeks, throwing for 977 yards and an impressive 10/1 TD/INT ratio. He's also coming off back-to-back outings with four touchdowns in wins over the Lions and Eagles. Cousins will be missing Adam Thielen (hamstring) this week, but it shouldn't matter much in an exploitable matchup against the Washington Redskins at home. The Redskins Defense has already given up 14 passing touchdowns and they've been absolutely shredded by competent passing offenses all season. The only reason for pause is the potential cap of Cousins' volume as the Vikings are favored by a whopping 16 points. Start Cousins as a low-end QB1 option as he should be able to keep the streak going through the air in a soft matchup.

From RotoBaller

Evan Engram Oct 23 10:43pm ET

New York Giants TE Evan Engram is a possible player to be moved at the NFL trade deadline next week, but an AFC scout believes the fact Engram cannot stay healthy hurts his value. 'He's hurt way too much, but he's a big problem when he's healthy,' the scout said. 'His speed makes him a matchup nightmare. I don't know if (the Giants are) using him right, but another team could.'

Fantasy Spin: Engram is just 25 years old and the team could pick up his fifth-year option, which would put him under control through 2021. But if they decide not to pick up the option and move Engram, there would likely be plenty of takers. He has wide receiver ability in a tight end body, again, when healthy.

From TheHuddle

Janoris Jenkins Oct 23 10:43pm ET

New York Giants CB Janoris Jenkins remains the most valuable and likely piece the team has to sell because cornerbacks are prized possessions, beat writer Ralph Vacchiano suggests. 'He's still good. And in this pass-happy league, everyone needs cornerbacks,' one NFL scout said last week.

From TheHuddle

Rhett Ellison Oct 23 10:43pm ET

New York Giants TE Rhett Ellison could move up to the top spot on the depth chart if the team elects to move TE Evan Engram at the NFL trade deadline. Ellison is reportedly a favorite of head coach Pat Shurmur, and the team could deal Engram and use Ellison in a limited pass-catching role where he's been effective at times.

Fantasy Spin: Even if Ellison were to slide up to the top spot of the depth chart, he has proven to have limitations. Expect 40-50 yards per game with an occasional touchdown, and that might be the ceiling of his fantasy production. That all hinges on whether or not the team parts with Engram, which isn't a certainty.

From TheHuddle

Patrick Mahomes Oct 23 10:30pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs left tackle Eric Fisher (hernia) and defensive tackle Chris Jones (groin) both were limited in practice on Wednesday. Fisher has been out the last five game, while Jones has missed two straight. Fisher's return would be a positive development, as he might be blocking the blind side of backup Matt Moore if the Chiefs hold Patrick Mahomes (knee) out for another week. Jones' return would also be a welcomed addition with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers coming into town on Sunday night. The 25-year-old has 11 total tackles, two sacks and one fumble recovery in five games after setting a career high with 15.5 QB takedowns a year ago.

From RotoBaller

Dalvin Cook Oct 23 10:30pm ET

Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook is leading the league with 725 rushing yards, a 5.5 yards per carry average, and eight rushing touchdowns. He's RB2 in half-ppr scoring (Christian McCaffrey). You're starting him without hesitation in Week 8 against the Washington Redskins, who are allowing 134.4 yards per game on the ground. Cook could easily finish as the top running back of the week with the Vikings favored by 16 points at home (and with McCaffrey facing the 49ers Defense). The Vikings still run at the second-highest rate in the NFL and could lean on Cook even more in the absence of stud receiver Adam Thielen (hamstring). Cook remains an RB1 and he should be a priority play in daily formats as well.

From RotoBaller

Eric Ebron Oct 23 10:20pm ET

Indianapolis Colts tight end Eric Ebron saw his stock rise last week when he caught four of his five targets for 70 yards and one touchdown. He had 49 more yards than fellow tight end Jack Doyle, and he's been out-playing him all year. The Denver Broncos have some good safeties, but Ebron is better than he's been this year. As quarterback Jacoby Brissett continues to look his way, he maintains some value every week. Consistency is key for tight ends, and you can have some faith in Ebron this week.

From RotoBaller

Jack Doyle Oct 23 10:20pm ET

Indianapolis Colts tight end Jack Doyle had high hopes coming into the season. Heading into Week 8, it's becoming more clear that he won't be having the bounce-back season he was hoping for. Doyle has 25 targets on the year, but he has just 17 catches for 149 yards and one touchdown. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett looks his way on a regular basis, but it's not down the field. It's also not in the red zone. Doyle gives you a safe option to score more than zero every week, but he's not going to light it up, especially in a bad matchup with the Denver Broncos. Teammate Eric Ebron has been the better option at the position. Doyle should be avoided this week.

From RotoBaller

Olabisi Johnson Oct 23 10:20pm ET

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Olabisi Johnson had a productive game stepping in for Adam Thielen (hamstring) in Week 7, catching 4-of-8 targets for 40 yards and a touchdown in the win. The rookie out of Colorado State is now in line for a spot-start as the second receiver in Week 8 as Thielen has been ruled out against the Washington Redskins and their forgiving defense. It's not crazy to project a usable target share again in an advantageous matchup at home, especially considering Johnson has received at least four targets in three of his last four games played. It's also worth noting that Kirk Cousins and the Vikings passing game has been on fire for three games straight. Johnson can be considered a WR3/WR4 and should be in consideration for deep leagues this week.

From RotoBaller

George Kittle Oct 23 10:13pm ET

San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle leads the team in receptions and receiving yards by a wide margin, but he now has some company with the addition of WR Emmanuel Sanders. QB Jimmy Garoppolo believes the addition of Sanders could take some pressure off of Kittle, who opposing defenses have keyed on. 'Yeah, it'll be interesting to see how defenses line up,' Garoppolo said Wednesday, Oct. 23. 'If they change anything, tilt the safeties toward him, whatever it is. Yeah, we'll have to adjust during the game and see how that goes.'

Fantasy Spin: Kittle's production isn't expected to take a hit with the addition of Sanders as the team's No. 1 wideout. In fact, there might be fewer double teams on the star tight end, if Sanders can stay healthy and be the type of receiver he was in Denver.

From TheHuddle

Jimmy Garoppolo Oct 23 10:13pm ET

San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo is excited about the addition of WR Emmanuel Sanders, and he said he is willing to help get the receiver up to speed quickly. 'I'll do my best to, but receiver-quarterback is a little bit different in what you have to learn, specifics and that nature,' Garoppolo said Wednesday, Oct. 23. 'But yeah, anything I can do to help him. I'm going to put in the extra time with him, whatever it takes, really.'

Fantasy Spin: The addition of Sanders gives the team an NFL-caliber No. 1 receiver, something they have honestly been lacking, with perhaps a bunch of secondary or tertiary options trying to fill the role. George Kittle is the team's leading receiver in catches and yardage by a wide margin. The addition of Sanders is great for the fantasy appeal of Garoppolo, although he still remains more of a QB2 in most fantasy leagues of 12 or more teams.

From TheHuddle

Aldrick Rosas Oct 23 10:00pm ET

New York Giants kicker Aldrick Rosas is on the verge of being streamable this week against the Lions. The former Pro Bowler hasn't had much success this year and has yet to make more than one field goal in a game all season. However, he's in a good matchup. The Giants figure to move the ball against a banged-up Lions Defense, and they will need to push the tempo to keep up with quarterbackMatthew Stafford and the Lions offense. Rosas still isn't a recommended option, but he can be considered in deep leagues.

From RotoBaller

Zach Pascal Oct 23 10:00pm ET

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Zach Pascal has seen his stock consistently grow over the past few weeks. He's still not a player that you can have a ton of confidence in starting, but he does have some flex consideration this week. His size allows him to be a mismatch against most corners, and the Denver Broncos don't have a guy that can match up with him consistently in that regard if cornerback Chris Harris Jr. shadows wide receiver T.Y. Hilton. If you're missing wideouts due to injuries or bye weeks, Pascal gives you upside thanks to his touchdown production and big-play ability.

From RotoBaller

Jacoby Brissett Oct 23 9:50pm ET

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett went off on the Houston Texans in Week 7. In Week 8, his matchup gets more difficult against the Denver Broncos. Through seven games, Denver has yet to allow a player to clear 300 passing yards, and no quarterback has thrown for more than two touchdowns against them. The Colts have a lot of pieces on offense, especially with the emergence of wide receiver Zach Pascal, but expectations for Brissett should be tempered this week. He's still a starter in two-quarterback leagues, but you have better options at QB in standard formats.

From RotoBaller