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From the Godfather: Week 11

Sat Nov 16 5:23pm ET
By CHARLIE WIEGERT
Contributing Writer

Week 11 has four teams on the bye: Tennessee, Seattle, Green Bay and the New York Giants

I’m not sure Miami can be considered the gimme still, having won two games while Cincinnati hasn’t won.  And Washington has only won a game.  The battle for the first pick in next year’s draft is slipping away from the Dolphins.

But let’s be clear, they still have the weakest talent in the league.  So yes, I like some Bills players this week and expect their defense to be a top play.  You can play Josh Allen, Devin Singletary, John Brown and Cole Beasley, and expect plus fantasy points from all.  And if you’re seeking a tight end, Dawson Knox could outpoint a lot of other tight ends this Sunday.  

Another gimme team this week should be the Raiders at home against the winless Bengals.  Cincy is bad on both sides of the ball, so the Raiders defense against the rookie quarterback could put up some points.  Josh Jacobs is a top running back play. Derek Carr is a quarterback streamer. And Darren Waller will be a top tight end play.  

The battle of good versus bad this week is San Francisco against Arizona.  The 49ers will rebound from last week’s first loss.  The Cardinals have played better the last few weeks, but they’ll be running into a buzz saw when they visit San Francisco.  Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo will be at his best with or without Emmanuel Sanders.  Deebo Samuel has become a reliable receiver and elusive runner after the catch, and a good play for fantasy managers this week.  It would be a bonus if George Kittle could return because Arizona’s defense makes most tight ends look like All Pros.

The other almost good versus bad is Carolina (almost good) against Atlanta (really bad).  I’m not sure how that game against New Orleans happened, but it wasn’t the real Atlanta team we’ve seen this year. I expect that team to be back against the Panthers.  Christian McCaffery is licking his chops. But in what is looking like a very one sided game, a smart approach might be not to overwork your best player.  Kyle Allen could have a big game throwing the ball, and both D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel can pass the century mark in receiving yards.  Plus, Greg Olsen will get his share and red-zone looks.  Not much to like on the Falcons side, but Brian Hill will see the ball a lot with Devonta Freeman out. The Panthers have allowed running backs 12 touchdowns the last four games, making Hill a great sleeper play.

There’s an interesting bad versus bad game this week with the Jets at Washington. I wouldn’t play anyone from either team. Tt could be ugly!

Quarterbacks: Other than those mentioned above, both Drew Brees and Jameis Winston could have big days in their shootout.  The experts predict a lot points being scored in this one, so both quarterbacks  are great plays.  And usually the losing team’s quarterback puts up the most points because they’re playing catch up, making Winston the better play.  A sleeper play could be Nick Foles returning to action for the Jaguars at Indianapolis. Foles' schedule the next four weeks is favorable, so if he’s available on your waivers, go get him.

Running Backs: Ezekiel Elliott and Josh Jacobs are going against two rushing defenses that can’t stop a cold.  Both will have 100-plus rushing days and should visit the end zone. Chargers running back Melvin Gordon gets a Chiefs rushing defense that made Derek Henry look all world last week.  The only thing that could slow him down is playing from behind.  A sleeper pick could be the Eagles back Miles Sanders going against New England.  With Jordan Howard banged up a bit, Sanders has the type game that could exploit the Patriots defense.

Wide Receivers:  Mike Thomas, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin should reap the benefit of the shootout, making all good plays.  D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel are a similar situation for the Panthers. Julian Edelman returns from the bye and will be unstoppable against the porous Eagles secondary.  A sleeper pick is Courtland Sutton, who could do well against the Vikings if they can find a quarterback to get him the ball. Ravens receiver Marquise Brown will have a big day against the Houston secondary because they don’t have anyone who can keep up with him. Look for Lamar Jackson to drop a couple bombs to him.

Tight Ends: This could be one of Eric Ebron’s two touchdown weeks, especially if Jack Doyle is limited against the Jags.  My sleeper pick is Houston’s Darren Fells at Baltimore.

Defense: Buffalo stays at top my list at Miami. And the Raiders will be good against the hapless Bengals.  But the top play is the Patriots, who have a history of extra good play after a bye and a loss.  I almost feel sorry for the Eagles.

Charlie Wiegert was the sixth person to be inducted in the Fantasy Sports Hall Of Fame in 2001. He is a founder of CDM Fantasy Sports and Fantasy Sports Trade Association. He has been playing and winning fantasy baseball leagues since 1984. If you have any questions for Charlie, email them to cwiegert@cdmsports.com. Follow him on Twitter @GFFantasySports.

Player Notes
Jamaal Williams Dec 15 6:00pm ET

Green Bay Packers running back Jamaal Williams was held to 26 rushing yards on eight totes and one catch for seven yards in a 21-13 win over the Chicago Bears. Williams, like Aaron Jones, couldn't find much room to operate between the 20s against Akiem Hicks and the Bears Defense. Unfortunately for the 24-year-old, Jones out-touched him 13-nine and scored twice in the red zone. It's also worth noting that Williams has seen only two targets the last two weeks after seeing 12 in Weeks 11 and 12. He'll look to bounce back in a tough matchup next week against the Minnesota Vikings.

From RotoBaller

Spencer Ware Dec 15 6:00pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs running back Spencer Ware was signed by the team roughly two weeks ago and is already making an impact on the field. Ware rushed seven times for 26 yards in the victory over the Denver Broncos. However, the Chiefs have a running back committee, so Ware has handcuffed fantasy value. Both LeSean McCoy and Darwin Thompson are going to see carries each week. He's not someone worth owning in basically any format. He'll have a tough matchup against the Bears Defense in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Dalvin Cook Dec 15 6:00pm ET

Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook (shoulder) has left the game and will not return after being tackled on a third-quarter run. He landed hard on the shoulder/chest area that has been giving him trouble in the last few weeks and will be held out for the remainder of the contest. With Alexander Mattison (ankle) also out, the backfield duties will now be split between Ameer Abdullah and Mike Boone in the second half. Cook had nine carries for 27 yards and three catches for 16 yards before exiting.

From RotoBaller

Mohamed Sanu Dec 15 5:50pm ET

New England Patriots wide receiver Mohamed Sanu caught two passes for only 13 yards in the Patriots 34-13 win over the Bengals. Sanu has been battling an ankle injury over the past few weeks and does not look 100%. Add to that the fact that Sanu is acclimating himself into a new offense and his fantasy value has fallen off the map. The veteran has very little value at present with only two games remaining in the season.

From RotoBaller

Darwin Thompson Dec 15 5:50pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs running back Darwin Thompson surprisingly led the team in carries during the Week 15 win over the Denver Broncos. He rushed eight times for 38 yards and caught one pass for one yard through the air. It appears the Chiefs are beginning to feel more comfortable with Thompson. However, LeSean McCoy and Spencer Ware will continue to be worked into the backfield. Thompson will have shaky RB3 or most likely RB4 value against the Bears next week.

From RotoBaller

New England Patriots Dec 15 5:50pm ET

The New England Patriots Defense picked off Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton four times in the team's 34-13 win in Week 15. The Patriots gave up an early touchdown but stiffened up from there as they dominated the rest of the game. Stephen Gilmore and J.C. Jackson recorded two interceptions each as the Patriots got a much-need win against a poor Bengals team. The defense now prepares for a huge game against a division rival, the Bills, next Saturday to kick off Week 16.

From RotoBaller

John Ross Dec 15 5:50pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver John Ross had just two catches for 24 yards during the loss to the Patriots on Sunday. Ross was only targeted three times on a day where Andy Dalton threw four interceptions. Since returning to the lineup after suffering a chest injury earlier in the season, the 24-year-old has only four receptions for 52 yards. He still has a shot to get things going over the team's final two games, but that chance could diminish if A.J. Green (ankle) returns at some point during that span.

From RotoBaller

Aaron Jones Dec 15 5:40pm ET

Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones carried the ball 13 times for 51 rushing yards with two touchdowns and wasn't targeted in a 21-13 win over the Chicago Bears. The Bears are a much better run defense with Akiem Hicks in the lineup, as they stifled Jones between the 20s. Jones broke free in the red zone twice, including a 21-yard run in the third quarter, complete with broken tackles. It wasn't the most productive day on the ground or through the air for Jones, but his nose for the end zone, 17 touchdowns this year, has made up for many sub-par days- and turned good outings into great ones. Up next is a Week 15 matchup with the Minnesota Vikings, who Jones gashed for 150 scrimmage yards and a touchdown back in Week 2.

From RotoBaller

Patrick Mahomes Dec 15 5:40pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes was able to bounce back after three straight mediocre performances. Mahomes completed 27 of 34 passing attempts for 340 yards and two touchdowns and one interception in the Week 15 victory. It wasn't a perfect game for Mahomes, but it was in snowy conditions. He was able to play very well despite the frustrating field conditions. Fantasy owners should feel confident that Mahomes will be a top tier option against the Bears in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

James White Dec 15 5:40pm ET

New England Patriots running back James White totaled only 62 yards from scrimmage but caught and ran for a 23-yard touchdown in the Patriots win over the Bengals in Week 15. The Patriots coasted to victory after a tight first half and explosive plays simply were not on the menu in this contest. White has been a disappointment in fantasy this season but his impact on the offense over the last month continues to increase. Of all the runners in the Patriots backfield, White is the one to deploy in fantasy lineups over the final few weeks.

From RotoBaller

N'Keal Harry Dec 15 5:40pm ET

New England Patriots wide receiver N'Keal Harry caught two passes for 15 yards with one touchdown in the Patriots 34-13 win over the Bengals. The rookie saw only four targets in the game and continues to be a raw talent in an experienced offense. But Harry has proved to be a threat in the red zone and capitalized on his size for a seven-yard touchdown reception. Harry's fantasy value should be reserved for dynasty and keeper leagues the rest of this season.

From RotoBaller

DeVante Parker Dec 15 5:40pm ET

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Devante Parker had another big game in a 36-20 loss to the New York Giants on Sunday, scoring 19 standard league points on four receptions and two touchdowns. Parker finished with 72 yards on the day, putting Miami on the board for the first time with a 20-yard touchdown in the first quarter, as well as giving the Dolphins their last points of the day with a 29-yard catch on their last drive of the game. In the middle of the breakout season fantasy owners have been waiting on, Parker now has eight touchdowns and 954 yards on 59 receptions in 2019. Even missing most of last weeks game after being concussed, Parker is one of the leagues hottest receivers and now has 75 points in his last five games. Next week, Parker and the Dolphins will face a bad Bengals team but one thats been sneakily good against wide receivers in fantasy, allowing just the 22nd-most points to them this season.

From RotoBaller

Rex Burkhead Dec 15 5:40pm ET

New England Patriots running back Rex Burkhead carried the ball six times for 53 yards, including a 33-yard touchdown run, in the Patriots romp over the Bengals in Week 15. Burkhead put the game away with the touchdown scamper and added two receptions for six yards in the game. Burkhead is third in the pecking order among Patriots running backs but the team has opted for a run-heavy attack the past few games. Burkhead is possibly worth a bench stash but is tough to trust the rest of the fantasy season.

From RotoBaller

LeSean McCoy Dec 15 5:40pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs running back LeSean McCoy was given another start, but was not able to do much with the opportunity. McCoy rushed six times for 16 yards in the Week 15 win over the Broncos. It was snowy conditions and head coach Andy Reid said he wouldn't push McCoy too hard. It doesn't sound like McCoy is going to be an asset to fantasy owners anymore. Both Spencer Ware and Darwin Thompson received more carries in this one. McCoy will be a desperation RB3 for a tough Week 16 matchup with the Bears.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Boyd Dec 15 5:40pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd caught just three of his seven targets for 26 yards during the loss to the Patriots on Sunday. Boyd was expected to see a small increase in production with Auden Tate (knee) recently landing on injured reserve, but he failed to produce. Instead, Boyd, along with the rest of the offense, stood by as Joe Mixon ran for 136 yards on 25 carries, while Andy Dalton threw four interceptions. A.J. Green (ankle) still hasn't ruled out returning at some point this year, and if he does come back over the next two games, Boyd will see his stock decrease.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Eifert Dec 15 5:30pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert had 44 yards on three catches during the Week 15 loss to New England. Eifert, who has just two touchdowns on the year, is a long way away from his 2015 version, where he compiled 72 receptions and 13 scores. With only two games left, Eifert does have a chance to get a little something going against the Dolphins in Week 16, but those looking for a streamer should look elsewhere before utilizing his services In any fantasy lineup.

From RotoBaller

Sony Michel Dec 15 5:30pm ET

New England Patriots running back Sony Michel was back in the team's offensive graces this week, posting a team-high 19 carries for 89 yards with 14 receiving yards in the Patriots victory over the Bengals. One week after having his snaps severely cut down, the second-year running back delivered some solid production. Teammate Rex Burkhead scored in the red zone but Michel was leaned on throughout the game to move the chains. While this doesn't automatically have Michel back in fantasy starting lineups, it does help his value heading into the final two games of the season.

From RotoBaller

Julian Edelman Dec 15 5:20pm ET

New England Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman caught only two passes for nine yards in the team's 34-13 win over the Bengals. In a game that was played conservatively by the Patriots from an offensive standpoint, Edelman laid a fantasy dud at the wrong time for owners. The team totaled only 128 yards of passing offense and merely tried to ice the game once they got up by 10 in the second half. Edelman has been as consistent as they come but certainly hurt fantasy teams in Week 15. He should be back to his normal production next week.

From RotoBaller

Tarik Cohen Dec 15 5:10pm ET

Chicago Bears running back Tarik Cohen caught seven passes for 57 yards and added 28 rushing yards in the team's 21-13 loss to the Packers. It was the most active game Cohen has seen in weeks and was able to add to his numbers with the team down multiple scores in the second half. It certainly has been a disappointing season for the talented speedster as his 85 yards from scrimmage is his highest mark of the season. Cohen lacks strong fantasy appeal heading into Week 16.

From RotoBaller

New York Giants Dec 15 5:10pm ET

The New York Giants Defense held the Dolphins to 20 points on Sunday, notched three sacks, recovered a fumble and recorded a safety. They were also unable to intercept Ryan Fitzpatrick, who had thrown an interception in three straight games and four of his last five. It was a solid day overall, but the Giants remain off the streaming radar, especially after releasing their top cornerback, Janoris Jenkins.

From RotoBaller