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FFL: Preseason | NFL: Week 1

RealTime Fantasy Sports Experts Poll

Thu Jul 29 10:58am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

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Julio Jones has some concerns


So we thought it would be a good idea to poll the staff here at RealTime Fantasy Sports to get their thoughts on some key fantasy questions for the coming season. We hit all the top categories, helping you figure out some of their top targets and players to avoid for the coming season. Below are the results as well as some thoughts on a few of those selections.

  J. Paur Thompson H. Paur Galloway Barner Glaser Wiegert
Fantasy MVP Prescott Mahomes Barkley McCaffrey J. Allen McLaurin Mahomes
Top Target J. Taylor Adams Herbert Lamb McLaurin J. Taylor Chubb
Early-round Bust Henry J. Taylor Elliott Harris Barkley Kamara Barkley
Favorite Rookie D. Smith Pitts Pitts Moore Harris Chase Harris
Last-round Flyer J. Palmer Funk A. Miller Bateman St. Brown Meyers Dillon
Comeback Player Beckham Prescott Barkley Prescott Golladay Sutton McCaffrey
Fading Star J. Jones J. Jones J. Jones Evans J. Jones Evans M. Jones
Breakout QB Burrow Burrow Burrow Lance Hurts Burrow Herbert
Breakout RB Dobbins Jv. Williams Gibson Gibson Dobbins Dobbins M. Davis
Breakout WR Samuel Aiyuk Jeudy Pittman Jr. Pittman Jr. Shenault Jefferson
Breakout TE Fant Hockenson Fant Pitts Kmet I. Smith Trautman
Draft Position  10 9 12 1 5 1 1


Jeff Paur
Senior Writer
Favorite rookie: DeVonta Smith   
When I look at Smith, I think of Justin Jefferson from last season. He is setup for similar success in my view. Of all the rookie receivers, Smith has the easiest path for targets. He should be the No. 1 receiver in this offense from day one and can rack up the catches and yards on a weekly basis.

Last-round flyer: Josh Palmer
I'm not sold on Mike Williams at all. He has not lived up to his high draft status and produced inconsistent numbers since entering the league. I expect more of the same from Williams, which could open the door for Palmer. He is a talented rookie that could be a top red-zone threat in the offense. I think he is worth a late-round shot in the Chargers high-powered passing game. 

Chris Thompson
Staff Writer
Top target: Davante Adams
The player I'm targeting in all my leagues is Davante Adams. He was the top scoring receiver last year by 30 points and that's with missing 2-plus weeks. If Aaron Rodgers is his quarterback like I expect, his ceiling this year is significantly higher than any other receiver. If Rodgers is not his quarterback, his floor still puts him in the top-three receivers off the board. He was going in the mid-first round last year and I've been scooping him up in the second round in drafts this year. If the Rodgers news firms up the way I expect it to this week he should move back to the first round and not be quite the value he has been, but he's not a player I'll be overlooking.

Early-round bust: Jonathan Taylor
The problem I have with Jonathan Taylor is not Jonathan Taylor. I love his talent and future in this league. My problem is the system he's in with three other very qualified running backs and one unqualified quarterback. I'm not sold on Carson Wentz and I'm worried about Taylor having to share the backfield with Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines while the offense struggles to not look like the dumpster-fire Eagles offense last year. Those concerns are not ones I'm willing to risk a top six pick on.

Henry Paur
Contributor
Fantasy MVP: Saquon Barkley 
Barkley has proven he is as talented as any running back in the game. I think he will come back stronger than ever this year, proving everyone wrong. 

Breakout running back: Antonio Gibson
He is going to be the running back from day one this year. You saw what he did down the stretch. Gibson can build on that. I think his receptions will be way up.

Dane Galloway
Staff writer
Last-round flyerRashod Bateman
Ravens first round draft pick, current ADP of 193.85. Elite athlete, better size than Marquise Brown. The Ravens will always be a run-first offense, but Bateman should start as their WR2 over Watkins and has the talent to be the No. 1 receiver in Baltimore come Week 17.

Breakout receiver: Michael Pittman Jr.
Pittman was the Colts' second round pick in 2020 and showed flashes of his sky-high ceiling when he was healthy in his rookie season. The aging T.Y. Hilton will not be able to keep Pittman from putting up big games. He has every opportunity to break out as one of the elite receivers in the NFL when he is not hampered by injuries and Phillip Rivers.

Mike Barner
Contributing Writer
Favorite rookie: Najee Harris
Harris has a clear path to be not only the Steelers starting running back, but also receive a ton of carries. Yes, the Steelers offensive line is suspect, to say the least. However, they still have a lot of weapons on offense, so they should be able to move the ball, setting up Harris with plenty of scoring opportunities.

Fading star: Julio Jones
This pick feels like low-hanging fruit, but Jones is still my selection. He always seems to be battling some sort of injury and now he’s playing on a team that has been more run-heavy than his former squad in the Falcons. Playing alongside the emerging A.J. Brown could further limit his upside.

Logan Glaser
Staff Writer 
Fading star: Mike Evans
Evans has been seeing a decrease in targets every year, including a career low of 108 in 2020. Last year, Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin both missed time, but with both players healthy to begin the season, I'm expecting Evans to receive under 100 targets for the first time in his career.

Draft position: 1
It's really hard to not want the 1.01 selection to begin the draft. There's a lot of top tier players with question marks for this season, but McCaffrey is not one. I'll gladly take 1.01 and McCaffrey to begin the draft.

Charlie Wiegert
Contributing Writer
Fantasy MVP: Patrick Mahomes
I’m not going to overthink this one!  He’s spent the offseason strengthening himself and would like nothing more than helping the Chiefs win another Super Bowl.  Not only will he lead the league in passing yards, he’ll continue to use his legs to score touchdowns and keep plays alive.  Andy Reid knows how to use him best, and he will design plays to make this superstar even better.  Mahomes also has a supporting cast to make him successful.

Breakout running back: Mike Davis
And you can probably get Davis the third round.  He’s being overlooked. If you look at the job he did last year taking over for Christian McCaffery, he can be a bell cow running back. He’s a three-down back, and the Falcons are looking for playmakers with Julio Jones gone.  I expect they’ll be playing from behind a lot this year with their porous defense, so Davis will be a PPR star.  Plus, opportunity knocks. The Falcons don’t have any other running backs to really challenge him for playing time.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Ja'Lynn Polk Apr 26 7:50pm ET
Ja'Lynn Polk

The New England Patriots selected Washington wide receiver Ja'Lynn Polk with the No. 37 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. New England has often been predicted to pick a wide receiver in Round 2 after landing their QB of the future in Round 1, and that's exactly what they did. Despite sharing the field with stud wide receiver Rome Odunze in 2023, Polk caught 69 passes for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns during Washington's run to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Given the weak wide receiver room in New England, he's another rookie wideout who could become his team's No. 1 wide receiver in short order. He has the ability to start at X-receiver immediately.

From RotoBaller

Keon Coleman Apr 26 7:30pm ET
Keon Coleman

The Buffalo Bills have selected Florida State wide receiver Keon Coleman with the No. 33 overall pick (second round) in the 2024 NFL Draft. The 20-year-old was rumored to have a chance at being drafted in the first round, but Buffalo traded back twice and still landed him. The 6'4", 215-pound pass-catcher is a contested-catch specialist and racked up 18 touchdowns in his last 24 games with Florida State and Michigan State. With Stefon Diggs gone to Houston, Coleman could step in right away and act as Josh Allen's No. 1 wide receiver. This is a great landing spot, and Coleman is very much in the first-round conversation of upcoming rookie drafts in all formats.

From RotoBaller

Ladd McConkey Apr 26 7:30pm ET
Ladd McConkey

The Los Angeles Chargers selected University of Georgia wide receiver Ladd McConkey with the No. 34 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft on Friday. McConkey is viewed as one of the best route runners in this wide receiver class, and the Chargers had a dire need at wideout after moving on from Mike Williams and Keenan Allen this offseason. Although McConkey's numbers over the last three years aren't all that impressive (119 receptions for 1,687 yards and 14 touchdowns), it's worth noting he battled injuries as a senior, and he dominated at the NFL Combine. With Quentin Johnston struggling to make an impact as a rookie, McConkey could make a run to be Justin Herbert's go-to target.

From RotoBaller

Deebo Samuel Apr 26 6:20pm ET
Deebo Samuel

The San Francisco 49ers have listened to calls on All-Pro wide receiver Deebo Samuel, but sources are saying that the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots are considered highly unlikely to trade for him. After the first round of the 2024 NFL draft was completed on Thursday night, a report surfaced that the Niners were more likely to trade Samuel than Brandon Aiyuk. There has been a lot of trade talk around both Aiyuk and Samuel this offseason, and the Niners' first-round pick of receiver Ricky Pearsall at No. 31 on Thursday night made it look like a trade was more likely to happen. The Bills and Patriots have the first two picks in the second round, respectively, so if neither of them can pull off a trade for Samuel before Round 2 starts, they could both go with pass-catchers in what is a deep and talented class in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Brian Callahan Apr 26 5:00pm ET
Brian Callahan

Former Alabama offensive tackle JC Latham was selected with the seventh overall pick by the Tennessee Titans in the 2024 NFL draft. Tennessee had a glaring need at left tackle, but Latham played on the right side for Nick Saban in Tuscaloosa. However, Titans head coach Brian Callahan said Latham is eager to play on the left side and has the traits to do so. Tennessee had one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL last season, but with Latham, second-year guard Peter Skoronski, and newly signed center Lloyd Cushenberry starting up front, the unit could be one of the biggest improvers in 2024. This bodes well for all of Tennessee's fantasy-relevant offensive skill players.

From RotoBaller

Matthew Stafford Apr 26 4:40pm ET
Matthew Stafford

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is seeking a reworked deal that includes more guaranteed money, according to NFL Insider Ian Rapaport. The 36-year-old has three years left on his current deal, though the Rams have a potential out following the 2025 season. The four-year contract that he signed ahead of the 2022 season included $130 million in total guarantees. The Super Bowl-winning QB has been present at voluntary workouts this offseason and a holdout does not appear to be imminent, but this is a situation worth monitoring. After posting nearly 4,000 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions en route to a playoff berth in 2023, Stafford believes he has plenty left in the tank.

From RotoBaller

MarShawn Lloyd Apr 26 4:30pm ET
MarShawn Lloyd

Former Southern California and South Carolina running back MarShawn Lloyd is viewed as a top-five running back in the 2024 NFL Draft class, and NFL insider Tom Pelissero believes he could be the first ball carrier selected. The 23-year-old missed his entire freshman season at South Carolina with a torn ACL and handled just 196 touches for 1,021 yards and 12 total touchdowns over his next two seasons. He transferred to Southern Cal for the 2023 campaign and posted 820 rushing yards (7.1 YPC), 232 receiving yards (17.8 YPR), and nine total touchdowns. He turned heads at the 2024 NFL Combine with a 4.46 forty-yard dash time at 220 pounds, and in a weak running back draft class, that might have been enough to push him into the RB1 spot for some NFL squads.

From RotoBaller

Spencer Rattler Apr 26 4:20pm ET
Spencer Rattler

Former Oklahoma and South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler was once viewed as a potential first-round pick after being a five-star recruit in the high-school class of 2019. His career did not go as expected, but he's thought to be the next-best quarterback on the board in the 2024 NFL draft. The first round saw six signal-callers selected in the top 12 picks, and any other teams looking to take a flyer on a quarterback likely have Rattler on their radar. The Around The NFL staff at NFL.com expects the 23-year-old to be selected in Round 3, but the run of quarterbacks on Day 1 could push him up to Round 2. Rattler threw for 10,807 yards, 77 touchdowns, and eight interceptions in 48 games with the Sooners and Gamecocks.

From RotoBaller

Jaycee Horn Apr 26 3:00pm ET
Jaycee Horn

The Carolina Panthers officially picked up the fifth-year option for standout cornerback Jaycee Horn on Friday, according to sources. Despite playing in only six games in 2023 due to a hamstring injury, Horn will have his fifth-year option picked up. The 24-year-old former eighth overall pick by Carolina in 2021 out of South Carolina had 27 tackles (20 solo) and five passes defensed in his six starts last season. He's only played in 22 games in his first three years in the league due to injuries, so picking up Horn's fifth-year option was far from a guarantee. In his three years in the NFL, Horn has produced 85 tackles (60 solo), four interceptions and 13 passes defensed in 22 starts. The Panthers are taking a bit of a gamble and are hoping the defensive back can avoid the injury bug moving forward.

From RotoBaller

Deebo Samuel Apr 26 2:40pm ET
Deebo Samuel

The Buffalo Bills have interest in trading for San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel, according to league sources. Now that the first round of the 2024 NFL draft is in the books, Niners wideout Brandon Aiyuk is less likely to be traded than Samuel, who has a 2025 salary cap number over $20 million. Not only are the Bills extremely desperate for a receiver after trading Stefon Diggs and losing Gabe Davis in free agency this offseason, but they acquired extra picks in this year's draft by trading down twice late in the first round on Thursday night. A move to Buffalo would immediately make Samuel the team's top wideout for Pro Bowl quarterback Josh Allen and allow him to retain plenty of fantasy value given his after-the-catch abilities. Stay tuned.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 26 2:30pm ET
Drake Maye

Rookie quarterback Drake Maye, who was taken third overall in this year's NFL draft by the New England Patriots on Thursday night, will initially compete with veteran Jacoby Brissett for the starting job in 2024. The Patriots also have former fourth-rounder Bailey Zappe and Nathan Rourke on their QB depth chart. "To go back to Bill [Belichick's philosophy], I don't think many rookies are ready to just jump in and play," first-year head coach Jerod Mayo said. "At the end of the day, our philosophy is the best players will play. We will compete and the best player will start." The 21-year-old started 26 games over the last two years for the Tar Heels and threw for 8,018 yards, 63 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. Maye was more productive in 2022 and has plenty to work on. Meanwhile, he has a pretty weak supporting cast in the receiver room, so fantasy managers taking the leap on him in dynasty/keeper leagues will want to be patient.

From RotoBaller

Tony Pollard Apr 26 2:20pm ET
Tony Pollard

Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones said former Texas running back Jonathon Brooks had the best pre-draft interview of any young prospect Jones has spoken to in 30 years. "We got him high, high (on our board). He's a good player," Jones said. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are getting close to a reunion with running back Ezekiel Elliott. The team's top RBs right now are Rico Dowdle and Deuce Vaughn after Tony Pollard left in free agency this offseason, so Dallas is definitely looking to add to the position in both free agency and the draft. Brooks could come off the board at No. 56 overall to the Cowboys and could be in line to see a substantial backfield role in his first year in the NFL if he were to land in Dallas. At this point in his career, Zeke is merely a complementary weapon. The biggest question mark with Brooks is that he's coming off a torn ACL.

From RotoBaller

Stefon Diggs Apr 26 2:20pm ET
Stefon Diggs

The Buffalo Bills traded down twice on Thursday night to drop out of the first round of the NFL draft and now hold the 33rd pick, the first selection in the second round. There are a few players they really like who are under consideration, but they've already received calls from teams considering trading up. After trading down twice on Thursday night, the Bills moved up 38 spots in the later rounds with their first trade and 59 spots with their second swap. Buffalo was criticized heavily for trading back twice late in the first round, only to see both the Chiefs and Panthers take receivers with those picks. The Bills are desperately in need of receiving help after trading Stefon Diggs and losing Gabe Davis in free agency this offseason, but they could still select one they are high on at No. 33 overall.

From RotoBaller

Deebo Samuel Apr 26 2:10pm ET
Deebo Samuel

The New England Patriots had preliminary trade discussions on San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel prior to the start of the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night, according to a source. Niners receiver Brandon Aiyuk has been in trade talks all offseason, but Samuel's name has surfaced of late, and a report on Thursday night suggested he's now more likely to be dealt by San Fran than Aiyuk. The 49ers also took wideout Ricky Pearsall with their first-round pick (31st overall) on Thursday night, suggesting they could be beefing up their receiver room in the event they trade one of Samuel or Aiyuk. The Patriots are desperate to add a receiver, especially after taking rookie quarterback Drake Maye third overall in the first round. Samuel's fantasy stock would take a big hit if he were to move to New England.

From RotoBaller

Ezekiel Elliott Apr 26 2:10pm ET
Ezekiel Elliott

The Dallas Cowboys could draft a running back on Day 2 of the 2024 NFL draft on Friday night with one of their three picks, but that choice won't change the expectation that free-agent running back Ezekiel Elliott will return to Dallas' backfield in 2024 to complement and help mentor a rookie. Dallas Morning News' Michael Gehlken is reporting that Elliott's signing with the Cowboys is increasingly imminent. Elliott's agent met with Dallas on Wednesday, and the Cowboys have been connected with the 28-year-old RB throughout the offseason. The Cowboys lost Tony Pollard to free agency this offseason but have Rico Dowdle and Deuce Vaughn. If Elliott were to return to Big D, he'll be in a complementary role and will be an RB3/flex, at best, in fantasy after putting up a career-low 3.5 yards per carry in 2023 with New England.

From RotoBaller

Xavier Legette Apr 26 4:13am ET
Xavier Legette

Dynasty | The Carolina Panthers selected wide receiver Xavier Legette with the final pick of round one in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: The Carolina Panthers moved up and secured the final pick of round one to draft Legette 32nd overall. It's a tricky landing spot for his value as he'll have an immediate chance for playing time but also a project being paired with a quarterback who has a whole lot of question marks moving forward. Legette looks like a boom or bust rookie draft pick who will likely go in round two of most rookie drafts moving forward.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Trey Hendrickson Apr 26 12:30am ET
Trey Hendrickson

Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Trey Hendrickson requested a trade on Wednesday, according to his agent, Harold Lewis, as he seeks more long-term security after the two sides settled on a one-year extension last year worth $21 million. However, a source said that the Bengals are not interested in trading Hendrickson. It's not surprise that Hendrickson is looking for a new deal after posting a career-high 17.5 sacks, which was second in the NFL behind Pittsburgh's T.J. Watt. It was the highest total for a Bengals player since sacks became a statistic in 1982. He also finished 11th in pass-rush win rate as an edge rusher and created the second-most sacks (18) in the league. Contract issues aside, Hendrickson is going to be a very coveted defensive lineman in IDP fantasy formats this fall after his big 2023 campaign.

From RotoBaller

Brandon Aiyuk Apr 26 12:20am ET
Brandon Aiyuk

The San Francisco 49ers are "more likely" to trade wide receiver Deebo Samuel than Brandon Aiyuk during this year's 2024 NFL draft, according to a source. Aiyuk's name has been mentioned in trade rumors all offseason, but now Samuel is the more likely pass-catcher to be dealt. Samuel, 28, is two years older than Aiyuk but has more versatility in the offense. However, Samuel also has a salary cap hit north of $20 million in 2025. Aiyuk is looking for a new long-term deal as he heads into the fifth and final contract of his rookie deal, but the Niners have been hesitant to give him a market deal given their other financial commitments. San Francisco took rookie pass-catcher Ricky Pearsall with the 31st overall pick in the first round on Thursday night, potentially foreshadowing a trade of either Samuel or Aiyuk in the coming days.

From RotoBaller

Justin Herbert Apr 26 12:20am ET
Justin Herbert

In recent weeks, both the New England Patriots and Minnesota Vikings reached out to the Los Angeles Chargers to see if they had any interest in trading quarterback Justin Herbert, according to league sources. The answer they got very quickly was "a flat no." Not only do the Chargers love Herbert, but they also would have had to take on a $63.5 million salary cap charge in 2024 at a time they have $32.3 million of cap space. Meanwhile, the Patriots took QB Drake Maye third overall and the Vikings took QB J.J. McCarthy 11th overall in the first round of this year's NFL draft. There's still a lot to like about the 26-year-old Herbert, but it's hard to ignore the fact that he lost Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams this offseason and is now in a run-first offense under new head coach Jim Harbaugh and offensive coordinator Greg Roman.

From RotoBaller

Caleb Williams Apr 26 12:13am ET
Caleb Williams

Dynasty | The Chicago Bears drafted USC quarterback Caleb Williams with the top overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: As expected. The Bears made this all but a certainty when they traded Justin Fields to the Steelers earlier this off-season. Williams will immediately take over the franchise and will be in a unique situation as a rookie starter with an offense that isn't exactly lacking talent. The likes of Keenan Allen, DJ Moore and D'Andre Swift should be enough to keep his dynasty value high even as he learns the position. Williams should be immediately installed as a low-end QB1 and an easy pick at the top of a Superflex league rookie draft.

From Dynasty League Fantasy