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RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 10

Fri Nov 8 1:21pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Brees is a top DFS target


We have a tricky slate of DFS ahead of us for Week 10 with six teams on a bye. With the Texans, Patriots and Eagles among the teams who won’t play, we will be missing several of the top options at various positions. With that being said, that doesn’t mean you can’t still come out of it a winner. Here are some players to consider at various price points, as well as some to avoid, while creating your entry.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Drew Brees, NO vs. ATL ($6,500): Brees wasted no time making an impact in his return from a thumb injury, completing 34-of-43 passes for 373 yards and three touchdowns in Week 8 against the Cardinals. The only other full game that he played this season came against the Texans in Week 1 when he threw for 370 yards and two touchdowns. Those are two teams who have struggled to defend the pass, which has certainly helped Brees’ cause. He’ll get another great matchup out of the bye with the Falcons tied for the third-most touchdown passes allowed (19) in the league.

Cheap target: Daniel Jones, NYG at NYJ ($6,000): We saw the good side of Jones in Week 8 when he torched the Lions for 322 yards and four touchdowns. However, turnovers have mostly been a problem since he took over for Eli Manning. He again struggled in that department against the Cowboys last week, fumbling twice and throwing an interception to go along with only one touchdown. Rookie quarterbacks can be inconsistent like that, so Jones is no sure-fire option in DFS. However, facing a Jets team that just allowed three touchdown passes to Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins last week is awfully enticing.

Player to avoid: Baker Mayfield, CLE vs. BUF ($5,700): The Browns have lost four straight games and enter this contest as one of the more disappointing teams in the league at 2-6. Mayfield isn’t the only reason for their struggles, but it hasn’t helped that he hasn’t thrown for more than one touchdown in a game all season. Facing a Bills team that has allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game likely won’t help matters.

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Christian McCaffrey, CAR at GB ($8,600): At this point, the only reason not to deploy McCaffrey in your lineup is if you’re looking to be a contrarian in tournament play. He had another monster game last week against the Titans, rushing 24 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns. He already has 13 total touchdowns this season to go along with 881 rushing yards and 363 receiving yards. The Packers have allowed the ninth-most rushing yards per game and are tied for the third-most rushing touchdowns allowed. Buckle up and enjoy the ride. 

Cheap target: David Montgomery, CHI vs. DET ($6,000): The Bears have finally unleashed their promising rookie, giving him 41 carries and nine targets over their last two games. He’s rewarded their faith in him with 223 total yards and three touchdowns. With Mitchell Trubisky struggling, the Bears would be wise to keep feeding Montgomery, especially considering the Lions have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game.

Player to avoid: Joe Mixon, CIN vs. BAL ($5,800): The Bengals are shaping up to be the worst team in the league with their offensive line being one of their many weaknesses. They haven’t opened many holes for Mixon, who has only 320 yards on 101 carries. While he does have three receiving touchdowns, he is still looking for his first rushing score of the season. The last time he faced the Ravens, they held him to 10 yards on eight carries. Considering they have allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game, overall, things are once again looking bleak for Mixon.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Michael Thomas, NO vs. ATL ($8,000): A Brees/Thomas stack will eat up a significant portion of your budget, but it will be difficult to resist in cash contests. Even with Brees sidelined for most of the season, Thomas has 73 receptions for 875 yards. His volume has been off the charts with at least 11 targets in six of his eight games. Don’t expect the Falcons to be the team that slows him down.

Cheap target: Christian Kirk, ARI at TB ($5,000): Kirk might be one of my favorite cheap targets at any position. Throw his two catch, eight-yard performance last week out the window. He was facing the 49ers, who have one of the best defenses in the league. Now he’ll take on the Bucs, a team that has allowed the second-most passing yards per game. The Cardinals have shown a propensity for wanting to get the ball in Kirk’s hands, giving him at least eight targets in four of the six games he has played.

Player to avoid: D.K. Metcalf, SEA at SF ($6,200): Metcalf is coming off the best performance of his young career after catching six passes for 123 yards and a touchdown versus the Bucs last week. While Kirk might benefit from that matchup in Week 10, Metcalf has to face the same 49ers team that shut down Kirk and the Cardinals’ offense. Add in Metcalf’s rising price tag and this might not be the week to add him to your entry.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Austin Hooper, ATL at NO ($6,100): It looks like we are finally experiencing the Hooper breakout campaign that many of us have been yearning for. Last season was the most productive of his career, but he’s on pace to blow past those numbers with 52 catches and 591 yards through eight games. He’s already hauled in five touchdowns, which is one more than all of last season. In a position that has a lot of volatile options, Hooper’s consistency is extremely appealing.

Cheap target: Mike Gesicki, MIA at IND ($3,300): If you want to spend elsewhere, taking a chance on Gesicki isn’t that crazy of an idea. He is coming off of his best performance of the season, catching all six of his targets for 95 yards against the Jets in Week 9. The Dolphins lost one of their top wide receivers in Preston Williams (knee) during that game, who has since been placed on IR. With the potential for an expanded role in the offense moving forward, Gesicki is at least an option in tournament play.

Player to avoid: Jimmy Graham, GB vs. CAR ($4,500): There’s not a lot to see here with Graham. While he’s had an impressive career, he’s a shell of the player that he once was. He’s posted 20 or fewer receiving yards in three of his last four games and has caught more than four passes in a game only one time all season. I’d argue that Gesicki has similar upside, so I can’t justify spending the extra $1,200 for Graham.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Melvin Ingram Dec 16 2:30am ET

Los Angeles Chargers defensive lineman Melvin Ingram was behind the only happy moment for the Chargers Defense on Sunday as they got otherwise got thrashed by the Vikings. Late in the second quarter, with LA trailing by just two points, Ingram snagged a poorly-thrown pass to nab the only positive turnover of the day for the Chargers. The team would go on to give the ball away seven times, and their defense was wholly outmatched throughout the entire contest as they fell by a final score of 39-10. The Chargers defense is usually better than that, as that was the first game this season where the team lost by more than one score. Look for them to bounce back against the Raiders next week.

From RotoBaller

Mike Williams Dec 16 2:20am ET

The Los Angeles Chargers aren't a great football team this season, but it's hardly the fault of wide receiver Mike Williams. Williams put up another strong day with 71 receiving yards and a touchdown on Sunday, but LA got blasted by the Minnesota Vikings. Williams' score was the only touchdown of the day for the Chargers, who committed seven turnovers in the loss. Williams is now at 912 receiving yards on the season, and he'll likely eclipse the 1,000-yard notch before the season is out, joining teammate Keenan Allen in the club. The third-year wideout has proven this season that he can be a superstar in this league, though he's also reinforced that superstar wide receivers don't necessarily translate to team success at the same time.

From RotoBaller

Hunter Henry Dec 16 2:20am ET

Los Angeles Chargers tight end Hunter Henry did something in Week 15 that he hasn't done since the second game of his NFL career: cough up a fumble. After catching a pass deep in his own territory early in the fourth quarter, a defender stuck his hand right into the ball as he dragged Henry to the ground, and the ball popped out and straight into the waiting arms of another Vikings defender. Fortunately, Henry's mistake wasn't a back-breaking one since the Chargers were already down 22 points at the time and committed six other turnovers on the day. Henry will look to get back on track when the team hosts the Raiders next week.

From RotoBaller

Austin Ekeler Dec 16 2:10am ET

Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler was one of a couple members of the Chargers team that still looked like a stud on Sunday, even though his team was getting run over by the Vikings. Ekeler rushed seven times for 19 yards and caught five passes for another 62 yards while remaining turnover-free. Unfortunately, Ekeler wasn't able to find the end zone, but the 81 scrimmage yards are still a nice consolation prize. Ekeler has been one of the team's standout players this year even though they've been a downtrodden squad overall. A wonderful playmaker, Ekeler has added a lot of fun and excitement to an otherwise disappointing team.

From RotoBaller

Keenan Allen Dec 16 2:10am ET

Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen hasn't been the loudest receiver on the block this season, but he's still put in the work and ground his way up over the 1,000-yard mark once again. Allen topped the millennial mark in Week 15 by posting nine catches for 99 yards in the team's blowout loss to Minnesota. Allen ranks fifth in the league in receptions and 11th in yards, though his five touchdowns are tied for second-fewest amongst 1,000-yard wideouts this year. It's hard to believe how bad the Chargers team has been this season with how well Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler have played for the entire season, but it's evidence that big numbers to those guys don't necessarily translate to wins.

From RotoBaller

Philip Rivers Dec 16 2:00am ET

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers flip-flopped back to the bad setting on Sunday when he threw three interceptions and lost a fumble against the Vikings. Rivers did rack up 307 passing yards in the blowout loss, but his four turnovers were a large part of why LA got demolished. The rest of the squad coughed up three more turnovers to cause the team to tie the all-time record for most turnovers in a single game. Rivers is third in the league in passing yards, but his 18 interceptions are second-most as well. The yards are nice, but the turnovers are more than a little responsible for the team's woeful record. With all attention turned to next year's draft, the question will now be whether the team will turn to Tyrod Taylor in the final two games or if Rivers will even get to finish out the season.

From RotoBaller

Melvin Gordon Dec 16 2:00am ET

Los Angeles Chargers running back Melvin Gordon was one of the team's primary sources of turnovers on Sunday as he coughed up the ball on two separate occasions, both times deep in his own territory. Gordon is usually one of the most sure-handed backs in the league, and he's never lost two fumbles in a single game before this week. In fact, he's only fumbled twice three other times in his career, and it's only happened one other time since his rookie season. The Chargers were stomped in every facet of the game on Sunday, so Gordon's fumbles were just one of the many issues the team had. Hopefully, he'll be able to bounce back from them and light up Oakland next week.

From RotoBaller

Jacob Hollister Dec 16 1:40am ET

Seattle Seahawks tight end Jacob Hollister caught all three passes slung his way on Sunday, but they only added up to 23 yards and no scores. Hollister burst onto the scene earlier this year when Will Dissly hit the IR with a torn Achilles, but he's cooled down as the weeks have gone on. He's faced a few tough matchups, but he's also having to deal with the thing all players struggle with at some point, which is that teams are starting to adjust to him. As teams get tape on opposing players, they learn their moves, they learn their sets, and they start to account for them. The test will now be whether Hollister can make the appropriate adjustments to his game to get more chances. That remains to be seen.

From RotoBaller

Jason Myers Dec 16 1:40am ET

Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers drilled a 30-yarder in Sunday's win over the Panthers to improve to five straight games without missing a field goal. Unfortunately, he faded his first extra point attempt into the right upright, giving him a missed XP for the second week in a row. That said, he made the other three on the day to finish with a solid performance. He finished the season 12-of-13 on field goals on the road, and he has yet to miss from inside the 40-yard line all year. Myers is no Justin Tucker, but he's been a solid kicking addition for the Seahawks this season.

From RotoBaller

D.K. Metcalf Dec 16 1:30am ET

Seattle Seahawks rookie wide receiver D.K. Metcalf made a strong leaping catch over his man late in the first quarter to bring in his sixth touchdown of the season on Sunday. Metcalf climbed the ladder to snag the perfectly placed pass by Russell Wilson, giving him his first score in six weeks. Metcalf was only targeted four times in the day, one of which was on an ill-fated trick play pass thrown by Josh Gordon where Metcalf was double covered and not open in any way, shape, or form. With Tyler Lockett rounding back into form, Metcalf will likely recede back into being a home run hitter more often than not, but he's proven that he can work as a possession receiver when needed.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Lockett Dec 16 1:20am ET

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett seemed to finally be healthy as he ripped apart the Carolina Panthers Defense on Sunday. Lockett hauled in eight of the nine passes thrown his way for 120 yards and a touchdown, giving him his first big game in six weeks. Surprisingly enough, Lockett told reporters after the game that his shin contusion and the lingering flu bug are actually still impacting him, which was an unexpected confession after such a big performance. With Lockett nearing full strength, Seattle becomes a lot more dangerous team heading into the playoffs. Expect Lockett to be a main part of their offense week-in and week-out as he nears 1,000 receiving yards for the first time in his career.

From RotoBaller

Josh Gordon Dec 16 1:20am ET

The Seattle Seahawks are never boring, and they're certainly not predictable when it comes to players like wide receiver Josh Gordon. Coming into Sunday's game against Carolina, Gordon had caught all of six passes for the Seahawks so far in four weeks with the team, and he had only been targeted 10 times. In Week 15, Gordon was only targeted once, but it was for a 58-yard bomb that was an absolutely magnificent throw by Russell Wilson. Ever more surprisingly, the newest and rarely-used member of the squad was then tagged late in the third quarter to be the passer in a trick play. Gordon promptly threw a deep interception into double coverage. Maybe they'll have him do an onside kick next week.

From RotoBaller

Russell Wilson Dec 16 1:10am ET

With one of his best performances of the year, Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson helped lead Seattle to the win over Carolina on Sunday. While Wilson's 286 yards and two touchdowns weren't the type of flashy numbers that folks love to see from the QBs nowadays, his solid approach included a 77% completion rate and his second-highest passer rating of the season. Wilson had been coming off the back of some recent sub-par performances, so this was a welcome change of pace. He also led Seattle to a 7-1 road record this year, the best in their franchise history. Wilson has clearly been surpassed by Lamar Jackson in the MVP race, but he's still a huge part of why the Seahawks have already clinched a playoff berth.

From RotoBaller

Chris Carson Dec 16 1:10am ET

Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson was tasked with being the solo shot in the backfield once again after Rashaad Penny hit the IR with a torn ACL, and he came to play. Carson destroyed the Panthers Defense on Sunday as he carried the ball 24 times for 133 yards, a new career-high. He also ran in a pair of touchdowns and exploded for huge yardage on the regular against the Panthers. He's now at 1,190 rushing yards this season, another career-high, and he'll be expected to remain one of the focal points of Seattle's offense for the rest of the season. Expect the Seahawks' success to ride heavily on his shoulders as the regular season winds up and the postseason begins.

From RotoBaller

Jadeveon Clowney Dec 16 12:50am ET

The Seattle Seahawks Defense came up big with a win over Carolina even though they were banged up to start the game and lost more firepower as the game went on. Already missing Jadeveon Clowney (flu) and Mychal Kendricks (hamstring), Seattle lost both Bobby Wagner and Quandre Diggs to sprained ankles during the game. Afterwards, Wagner told reporters that his ankle was fine and was cracking jokes while walking without a limp, but head coach Pete Carroll said Diggs' injury seemed to be more serious. Diggs may miss next week's game against Arizona.

From RotoBaller

Diontae Johnson Dec 16 12:00am ET

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson tied for the team lead in catches in Week 15, coming down with five catches for 62 yards. He was targeted seven times, good for second on the team. Johnson made some big plays in this one and should be primed for another good game next week against the Jets secondary.

From RotoBaller

Nick Vannett Dec 16 12:00am ET

Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Nick Vannett played well in Week 15, catching five passes for 40 yards. He was targeted six times. With Vance McDonald (concussion) forced to miss the game, Vannett was the main tight end for the Steelers offense. His five catches tied for the team lead in catches. He'll be a solid TE2 with a decent floor for as long as McDonald is out.

From RotoBaller

Pittsburgh Steelers Dec 16 12:00am ET

The Pittsburgh Steelers Defense was okay against the Buffalo Bills in a Week 15 loss. They allowed 17 points, but recorded a sack and an interception. The Steelers defensive unit will have a better matchup in Week 16 against a scuffling New York Jets team. They'll be a solid fantasy option for fantasy championship week.

From RotoBaller

Devlin Hodges Dec 15 11:50pm ET

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Devlin Hodges did not play well in a Week 15 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Hodges completed 23 of his 38 pass attempts for 202 yards and one touchdown. He threw four interceptions, some at critical times in the game. The Steelers take on the Jets next week and should fare slightly better through the air, but Hodges still won't be much of a fantasy option for the fantasy championships.

From RotoBaller

Buffalo Bills Dec 15 11:50pm ET

The Buffalo Bills Defense was excellent in a Week 15 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. They recovered a fumble, collected four interceptions, allowed just 10 points, and got four sacks. It was an all-around impressive performance by Buffalo, who will have a tougher contest next week against the New England Patriots.

From RotoBaller