Guest of the League
Auction action Est. 2020
Draft Masters - FFL: Week 7 | NFL: Week 7

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 2

Fri Sep 17 12:57pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Related photo caption below

Rodgers primed for rebound


The common themes of Week 1 were upsets and injuries. The injuries will have the biggest impact on the DFS landscape heading into Week 2. With that in mind, here are some players to consider for your entries.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers, GB vs. DET ($6,600): There’s no sugarcoating it, Rodgers was a disaster against the Saints in Week 1. He completed only 15-of-28 attempts for 133 yards, two interceptions and no touchdowns. Considering he completed 70.7 percent of his passes and had only five interceptions all of last season, expect him to bounce back in short order. This matchup certainly points to him playing well given that the Lions already had a weak secondary and have now lost their top cornerback Jeff Okudah to a ruptured Achilles.

Dak Prescott, DAL at LAC ($6,800): Unlike Rodgers, Prescott stormed out of the gate with an excellent performance against the Buccaneers. Although the Cowboys couldn’t pull out the win, he finished with 403 passing yards, three touchdowns and one interception. The Cowboys did lose Michael Gallup (calf) in that contest, but Prescott has no shortage of quality pass catchers with Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb still in the fold. In what could be a high-scoring game against the Chargers, Prescott has the potential to thrive.

Player to Avoid

Jimmy Garoppolo, SF at PHI ($5,700): After the 49ers selected Trey Lance in the first round of the draft, the writing was on the wall for Garoppolo. Still, he held onto his starting job for at least Week 1, which was a favorable matchup against the Lions. He took advantage, finishing with 314 yards and a touchdown. Things should be much tougher in Week 2, though, against an Eagles defense that can put pressure on the opposing quarterback and that has Darius Slay patrolling the secondary.

Running Backs

Nick Chubb, CLE vs. HOU ($7,800): Yes, the Texans beat the Jaguars soundly Sunday. However, facing the Browns will be a much more difficult task. The Browns could race out to a big lead early, so the game script could favor a heavy workload for Chubb. He’s already coming off of a productive season debut when he rushed 15 times for 83 yards and two touchdowns versus the Chiefs.

Darrell Henderson, LAR at IND ($5,700): The Rams brought in Sony Michel to provide depth at running back, but he only had one carry in his first game with the team. Meanwhile, Henderson rushed 16 times for 70 yards and a touchdown. He has a firm grip on the starting job, especially while Michel continues to try and familiarize himself with his new team.

Player to Avoid

Mike Davis, ATL at TB ($5,600): This is more about Davis’ matchup than his current role with the Falcons. There’s no question that he’s their lead back after he received 15 carries and six targets in Week 1. The problem is, he has to face a Buccaneers defense that allowed the fewest rushing yards per game last season. When they played the Cowboys in Week 1, they held Ezekiel Elliott to 33 yards on 11 carries. I’m staying far, far away from Davis.

Wide Receivers

Davante Adams, GB vs. DET ($7,800): With Rodgers laying an egg against the Lions, Adams was left with an underwhelming five catches for 56 yards. He finished with seven targets, which was an aberration for him given that he had at least nine targets in all but two of the games that he played in this season. A Rodgers-Adams stack will be pricey, but it could be well worth it.

Courtland Sutton, DEN at JAX ($5,500): Jerry Jeudy suffered an ankle injury against the Giants last week that landed him on injured Reserve. His loss is a big one for the Broncos, who looked to have an improved offense in Week 1 with Teddy Bridgewater under center. Jeudy’s absence could mean more targets are coming for Sutton, who could only muster three targets in their first game. The Jaguars’ passing defense certainly looked porous in Week 1, allowing 291 yards and two touchdowns to Tyrod Taylor.

Player to Avoid

Deebo Samuel, SF at PHI ($6,700): Talk about a strong start to the season. The Lions had no answer for Samuel, who caught nine of 12 targets for 189 yards and a touchdown. The 12 targets were certainly encouraging for his prognosis moving forward, but his overall stat line was aided by the matchup. With Slay possibly shadowing him in this matchup, it might be difficult for him to contribute enough to justify his salary.

Tight Ends

T.J. Hockenson, DET at GB ($5,200): The Lions don’t have much talent at wide receiver, which means plenty of targets should be headed Hockenson’s way this season. That was the case in Week 1 when he hauled in eight of his 10 targets for 97 yards and a touchdown. With the Lions’ suspect defense possibly set to put them in a deep hole, a lot of pass attempts in the second half could lead Hockenson to another juicy stat line.

Noah Fant, DEN at JAX ($4,400): With an improved situation at quarterback, Fant could be primed for a breakout campaign. He was certainly busy against the Giants, catching six of his eight targets for 62. Like Sutton, he could also benefit from the absence of Jeudy, as well as this favorable matchup against the Jaguars.

Player to Avoid

Hunter Henry, NE at NYJ ($4,400): The Patriots completely remade their offense during the offseason, which included bringing in Henry and Jonnu Smith at tight end. Having those two talented players at the position might be good for the team, but it’s not for fantasy since they should limit each other’s opportunities. Henry finished Week 1 with only three targets, while Smith posted five of them. Fant has a more significant role with the Broncos and checks in with the same salary, so taking a chance on Henry isn’t necessary.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

RTSports Weekly: Week 6

Player Notes
Mac Jones Oct 22 12:10pm ET
Mac Jones

New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones has only produced two multi-touchdown games through the first six games of the season. The rookie quarterback has not exceeded 275 passing yards in a single game since the season opener. Despite that, Jones will get an excellent matchup against the New York Jets in Week 7. A defense that ranks 23rd in pass DVOA so far in 2021. There isn't a ton of fantasy value here, but Jones could have some streaming appeal for QB needy fantasy managers in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

A.J. Brown Oct 22 12:10pm ET
A.J. Brown

Tennessee Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown (illness) said on his Twitter account that his body continues to reject any food he eats as he tries to get past a bout of food poisoning that had him questionable to play last Monday night in Week 6. Brown didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday and could draw another questionable tag in Week 7 against the Kansas City Chiefs. It's been a rough week for the 24-year-old, and he looked to be under the weather in the first half of Monday's game before exploding for seven catches on nine targets for 91 yards in the second half. We ultimately expect him to play this Sunday in an excellent matchup against the Chiefs. As long as Brown is active, he needs to remain in all fantasy lineups.

From RotoBaller

Damien Harris Oct 22 12:10pm ET
Damien Harris

New England Patriots running back Damien Harris is coming off his best rushing performance of the season. Last week, Harris rushed for 101 yards on 18 carries and found the end zone for the second straight week. The hope is that he'll be able to carry that momentum into the Week 7 matchup with the New York Jets. A defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to running backs this season. Fantasy managers should feel comfortable with Harris as a RB2 for this week.

From RotoBaller

Antonio Brown Oct 22 12:00pm ET
Antonio Brown

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle) didn't appear to be practicing Friday during the portion open to the media. Brown, who has been dealing with a sprained ankle, wasn't able to practice Wednesday and Thursday- and appears to be trending towards another absence to close out the week. Brown should be considered doubtful for Sunday's game against the Bears at this point. If officially ruled out, fellow wideouts Chris Godwin and Mike Evans could see more targets headed their way.

From RotoBaller

Sterling Shepard Oct 22 11:50am ET
Sterling Shepard

New York Giants wide receiver Sterling Shepard (hamstring) was downgraded from a full to limited participant Thursday, and he has reportedly endured a setback with his hamstring issue. Giants beat writer Ralph Vacchiano noted that head coach Joe Judge didn't seem so sure about Shepard's practice status for Friday's session after expressing optimism about fellow pass-catchers Evan Engram (calf) and Darius Slayton (hamstring). Of course, nothing is official until the Giants release their practice report later, but it sure sounds like Shepard could find himself on the wrong side of questionable heading into the game against the Panthers. With Saquon Barkley (ankle), Kenny Golladay (knee), and Kadarius Toney (ankle) all heading towards absences, the Giants' entire offense could be an easy fade for fantasy purposes. However, Engram and Slayton could both see increased volume in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Dallas Goedert Oct 22 11:50am ET
Dallas Goedert

Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert (illness) appeared to be practicing during the portion available to media viewing at Friday's session. Goedert didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday but was activated off of the reserve/COVID-19 list, suggesting that he would be on track for Sunday if he could return to practice in some capacity. That appears to be the case regardless of the designation heading into a favorable matchup against a Raiders defense that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. Goedert could be headed for elite-level usage sans Zach Ertz and look like a strong play in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

DeeJay Dallas Oct 22 11:40am ET
DeeJay Dallas

Seattle Seahawks running back DeeJay Dallas has been playing sparingly through his first season and a half, but he could see some major snaps in Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints. Chris Carson (neck) and Alex Collins (groin) are both dealing with injuries. Carson was placed on Injured Reserve, and Collins failed to practice on Thursday. Dallas played 34 percent of the snaps in the team's Week 6 game, and his nine total touches, including five receptions, were second only to Collins. The matchup against the Saints isn't the best, as they've allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this year, but he could still see solid value in PPR formats due to his work in the receiving game if Collins is unable to play.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Lockett Oct 22 11:40am ET
Tyler Lockett

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett has been a volatile asset in fantasy with an extremely high ceiling thanks to his connection with quarterback Russell Wilson, but he doesn't have that same outlook in Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints. With Geno Smith under center in Week 6, Lockett caught two of his seven targets for 21 yards, and he just wasn't getting those deep shots that he would often get with Russ. The offense is going to be funnelled to teammate D.K. Metcalf and the running backs, which will leave Lockett's fantasy managers hoping that he breaks one big play down the field. He has flex value with the rest of the stars that are on bye weeks or the injured list, but don't count on a big week out of him.

From RotoBaller

D.K. Metcalf Oct 22 11:40am ET
D.K. Metcalf

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf was the team's top target last week, and he figures to maintain that spot in Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints. Metcalf caught six of his seven targets a week ago, and he was turned into somewhat of a possession receiver rather than a downfield threat with Geno Smith at quarterback. With his size and athleticism, he can fill that role, and he'll have a size advantage over all of the Saints defensive backs. With the Seattle running backs dealing with injuries, we could see a heavier emphasis on passing the ball, which would lead to more opportunities for Metcalf. He's not quite in the WR1 category this week, but he's still a solid WR2 or flex option for your fantasy lineups.

From RotoBaller

Jason Myers Oct 22 11:40am ET
Jason Myers

Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers was a top-10 kicker a season ago, but he's trending in the wrong direction heading into Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints. Myers is the No. 22 kicker in fantasy heading into Week 7, and his offense is struggling to maintain their productivity due to injuries. With a beaten up running game, quarterback Geno Smith will be forced to throw the ball more, and that just doesn't seem to be the way the Seahawks want to win games. The Saints have yet to allow an opponent to score 30 or more points this year, but this Seattle unit without Russell Wilson(finger) is unlikely to change that. There are several fantasy viable kickers on byes this week, but Myers doesn't seem like a viable fill-in option.

From RotoBaller

Geno Smith Oct 22 11:30am ET
Geno Smith

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith was serviceable against a tough Pittsburgh Steelers defense last week, and his matchup isn't much easier in Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints. Through five games, the Saints have allowed just five passing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks, and they've given up the 11th-fewest passing yards. In his first start in four years, Smith threw for only 209 yards in a losing effort, and he was rarely pushing the ball down the field. His offensive line should have a decent chance of keeping him upright, as the Saints are second-to-last in sacks with eight, but he needs to do a better job of keeping the offense on schedule. This is not one of the weeks to be starting Smith unless you have no other options.

From RotoBaller

Rob Gronkowski Oct 22 11:30am ET
Rob Gronkowski

Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) wasn't practicing during the portion of Friday's session open to the media. Gronkowski, who hasn't practiced yet this week, seems trending towards another absence this Sunday against Chicago. With O.J. Howard (ankle) back on the practice field- it's looking like he and Cameron Brate will handle the tight end duties once again. Howard seems to be building some chemistry with Tom Brady, as he is coming off a game where he hauled in six passes for 49 yards and a touchdown.

From RotoBaller

Tua Tagovailoa Oct 22 11:20am ET
Tua Tagovailoa

Head coach Brian Flores spoke to reporters Friday morning, expressing confidence in Tua Tagovailoa as his starting signal-caller amid trade rumors that have swirled this week. Tagovailoa was involved in some reports suggesting a three-team deal involving the Texans and star quarterback Deshaun Watson, who has been on the trade block. Flores seemed to dismiss those reports, stating that the team is pleased with their current quarterback situation. Tagovailoa had his best game of the year last week, completing 33 of 47 passes for 329 yards with two touchdowns and an interception, adding 22 yards on the ground. The vote of confidence from the organization could serve him well heading into a favorable matchup against a poor Falcons defense.

From RotoBaller

Tommy Tremble Oct 22 11:00am ET
Tommy Tremble

Carolina Panthers tight end Ian Thomas and tight end Tommy Tremble will take on the Giants in Week 7. Both players split the playing time relatively evenly last week, as Thomas played 54 percent of the snaps compared to Tremble's 51 percent. The Giants have allowed four touchdowns to the position, so one of these two could find the end zone in Week 7. Given that the Panthers have shown some creativity with Tremble at the goal-line, he looks like the slightly better bet of the two to produce a decent line.

From RotoBaller

Parris Campbell Oct 22 11:00am ET
Parris Campbell

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Parris Campbell (foot) underwent foot surgery on Friday and could miss the rest of the season. The 24-year-old exited Monday's win over the Texans early with a foot injury. He was placed on injured reserve earlier this week. Campbell caught 10-of-17 targets for 162 yards and the one touchdown in five games this year. According to Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network, Campbell underwent surgery on Friday, potentially ending his season. While Campbell is sidelined, T.Y. Hilton, Zach Pascal, and Michael Pittman should see an uptick in targets.

From RotoBaller

Aaron Jones Oct 22 10:40am ET
Aaron Jones

Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones continues to produce for fantasy managers. He rushed 13 times for 76 yards and caught all four targets for 34 yards and a touchdown in the Packers' 24-14 win over the Chicago Bears in Week 6. The 26-year-old has found the end zone six times over his last six games this season. Jones has made the most out of his receptions out of the backfield, averaging 8.9 YAC per reception, seventh among all running backs. Washington is ranked 28th in rush DVOA and allows 20 fantasy points per game to opposing team's running backs. Jones should be busy on Sunday and is set up to have a massive performance in a plus matchup against Washington in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Robby Anderson Oct 22 10:10am ET
Robby Anderson

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Robby Anderson has struggled this season heading into a favorable matchup against the Giants. Anderson has caught just 15 of 40 targets for 190 yards and two touchdowns, posting a career-worst 37.5 percent catch rate. However, 29 of those 40 targets have come in the past three weeks, as the speedy wideout has seen his involvement in the offense skyrocket with Christian McCaffrey (hamstring) sidelined. Anderson should remain heavily involved with fellow receiver Terrace Marshall Jr. (head) trending in the wrong direction for Sunday's game. With a potentially elite target share incoming and a matchup against a Giants defense that has allowed the eighth-most touchdowns to wideouts on tap- Anderson could be poised for his best game of the year.

From RotoBaller

Aaron Rodgers Oct 22 10:00am ET
Aaron Rodgers

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers could have another massive fantasy day in Week 7 against the Washington Football Team. Washington has been unable to stop the pass and has given up the most yards through the air. The future Hall of Famer has been terrific in 2021, throwing for 1,436 yards and a 12:3 TD: INT ratio along with 27 rushing yards and two scores over six games in 2021. Rodgers is a surefire QB1 and is set to finish as a top-5 fantasy QB in a plus matchup against Washington.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Oct 22 9:50am ET
D.J. Moore

Carolina Panthers wide receiver D.J. Moore has morphed into an elite receiver this season. Moore ranks among the top-seven wideouts in targets, receptions, and receiving yards while on pace to smash his previous career-high of four touchdowns- he currently has three. The former 2018 first-round pick draws a potentially tricky one-on-one matchup this week against Giants corner James Bradberry, though New York's defense as a whole has struggled to contain the passing game. Moore has proven he can win any matchup and should be started as an elite WR1 this week.

From RotoBaller

Chuba Hubbard Oct 22 9:40am ET
Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers running back Chuba Hubbard gets a great matchup in Week 7 against the Giants. New York ranks 27th in rush DVOA- and has allowed an average of 29.13 fantasy points per game to running backs, the fifth-most in the league. Hubbard has been a workhorse over the last two weeks, as he has played at least 65 percent of the snaps while averaging 23 touches per contest. In another potential boost to the rookie's value, head coach Matt Rhule spoke this week about making the Panthers a more run-first team moving forward. With RB1-level volume, Hubbard looks poised for a top-15 finish in Week 7.

From RotoBaller