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FFL: Week 11 | NFL: Week 11

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 7

Fri Oct 18 10:05am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Engram poised for big Week 7


With the Browns, Panthers, Steelers and Buccaneers all on a bye for Week 7, we are missing some of the most impactful players in the world of DFS. However, that doesn’t mean there still aren’t a lot of great options to consider. Let’s break down each position and discuss both some players to target and some to keep out of your lineup-making process.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Jared Goff, LAR at ATL ($6,100): Goff might not be the most expensive quarterback on the slate, but he’s certainly one of the most appealing ones. Despite compiling just 78 passing yards last week against the 49ers, he can be productive in the right matchup. Case in point, he had 517 passing yards and two touchdowns in Week 4 against a bad Bucs’ secondary. The Falcons have been almost as dreadful, allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game in the league and 15 touchdown passes.

Cheap target: Gardner Minshew II, JAC at CIN ($5,800): I had Minshew here last week, as well, but he flopped with 163 yards and a pick against the Saints. Don’t let one bad performance get you down on Minshew Mania. This is a prime spot for him to bounce back with a great stat line considering the Bengals will likely be without two of their top cornerbacks in Dre Kirkpatrick (knee) and William Jackson (shoulder).

Player to avoid: Teddy Bridgewater, NO at CHI ($5,800): Minshew wasn’t the only quarterback to have a quiet performance in that Saints-Jaguars game. Bridgewater wasn’t as bad, but he finished with only 240 passing yards and one touchdown. He’s thrown for 240 yards or fewer in three of his four starts and has two games with one or no touchdown passes. Facing a Bears’ defense that is one of the stingiest in the league is not the time to deploy Bridgewater in DFS.

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Leonard Fournette, JAC at CIN ($7,200): The secondary won’t be the only area of concern for the Bengals. They have been chewed up by opposing running backs, allowing the most rushing yards per game and the most rushing touchdowns. Fournette has been a workhorse with 115 carries and 36 targets, leaving him with a tremendously high floor in this matchup.

Cheap target: Devin Singletary, BUF vs. MIA ($5,700): Singletary hasn’t been on the field since going down with a hamstring injury in Week 2. The good news is the bye week seems to have helped him since he’s been listed as a full participant in practice. While he’ll still have to share the workload with Frank Gore, being priced this low makes him a viable target against a Dolphins defense that has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game.

Player to avoid: Melvin Gordon, LAC at TEN ($6,700): It hasn’t been pretty in two games since Gordon returned from his contract holdout. The Chargers have given him 20 carries, but he’s only turned that into 49 yards while failing to find his way into the end zone. Austin Ekeler will continue to steal some snaps from him and the Titans have only allowed three rushing touchdowns this season, so I’m not taking a chance on Gordon at this price. Pay the extra $500 and roll with Fournette.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Cooper Kupp, LAR at ATL ($7,100): With Goff tanking last week, Kupp had only four catches for 17 yards on six targets. Considering he had at least 101 receiving yards in each of his previous four contests, I’m largely ignoring last week’s dud. With the Falcons’ struggles to defend the pass already detailed, a Rams stack with Goff and Kupp has a great chance to be profitable.

Cheap target: John Brown, BUF vs. MIA ($5,600): The addition of Brown to the Bills’ offense has been seamless so far, catching 28 of 39 targets for 390 yards and a touchdown through five games. He hasn’t received fewer than five targets in any game, reaching at least 10 targets two times. The Dolphins have allowed 14 touchdown passes and the seventh-most passing yards per game, leaving Brown with plenty of upside at this reasonable price.

Player to avoid: Terry McLaurin, WAS vs. SF ($5,600): If there is someone to be excited about on the Redskins, it’s McLaurin. The rookie looks like one of the building blocks for the franchise, posting 23 catches, 408 yards and five touchdowns through five games. However, the 49ers defense has been excellent, resulting in them allowing the fewest passing yards per game. There will be plenty of weeks down the road in which you’ll want to target McLaurin, but this isn’t one of them.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Evan Engram, NYG vs. ARI ($5,900): The Giants sorely missed Engram last week against the Patriots. He’s been one of the staples of their offense, posting 33 receptions, 373 receiving yards and two touchdowns across five games. He hasn’t received fewer than seven targets in any contest and should be back this week for a prime matchup against a Cardinals’ defense that has been destroyed by opposing tight ends. No need to overthink this one.

Cheap target: Hunter Henry, LAC at TEN ($5,000): In need of some help in the passing game, the Chargers finally got some relief last week with the return of Henry. He immediately made his presence felt, catching eight of nine targets for 100 yards and two touchdowns. While the two touchdowns will likely be hard to replicate this week, the target share shouldn’t. With that kind of volume, he can provide value at this price.

Player to avoid: Eric Ebron, IND vs. HOU ($4,400): Since we’re talking about volume, now’s a good time to bring up Ebron. He hasn’t been overly involved in the Colts’ offense with only 20 targets through five games. That has resulted in three games in which he caught only one pass. While he’s always a threat in the red zone, having a healthy Jack Doyle will continue to limit his opportunities. Henry has significantly more upside, and while the $600 price difference is nothing to sneeze at, it isn’t large enough to warrant rolling with Ebron.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Le'Veon Bell Nov 13 9:20pm ET

New York Jets running back Le'Veon Bell (knee, illness, ribs) did not practice on Wednesday. Bell should be able to play in Week 11 against the Redskins, but he's clearly not 100 percent. He found the end zone last Sunday, but his overall line still had to be considered a disappointment considering he was going up against the Giants Defense. He has another great opportunity with Washington next up on the schedule, making him a low-end RB1 for fantasy owners. Hopefully this is the game that Bell breaks out in his first season with the Jets.

From RotoBaller

Robby Anderson Nov 13 9:20pm ET

New York Jets wide receivers Robby Anderson (back, shoulder) and Demaryius Thomas (hamstring, knee) were both limited in practice on Wednesday. Barring a setback this week, both players should be able to play in Week 11 in a nice matchup against the Redskins. Anderson has been a bust this year with quarterback Sam Darnold taking a step back. He has just one touchdown in nine games and has only three catches for 44 yards the last two weeks. Until Darnold displays some chemistry downfield with Anderson, he'll be a boom/bust WR4/5. Thomas had a useful six catches for 89 yards in the Week 10 win, but he's also more of a WR4/5 in this shaky offense.

From RotoBaller

Will Fuller Nov 13 9:10pm ET

Houston Texans wide receiver Will Fuller (hamstring) returned to practice on Wednesday and was a limited participant. There's no guarantee that Fuller will return for the first time since Week 7, but we'll track his practice status the rest of the week. If he returns against the Ravens this Sunday, Fuller will be a boom/bust WR3 for a game that could easily be high-scoring. Fuller's return would push Kenny Stills back to the slot and Keke Coutee back to fourth on the receiver depth chart. DeAndre Hopkins has performed better this year with Fuller sidelined.

From RotoBaller

Dede Westbrook Nov 13 9:10pm ET

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Dede Westbrook (neck, shoulder) was a full participant in practice on Wednesday and is on track to return in Week 11 against the Colts for the first time since Oct. 27 against the Jets. With quarterback Nick Foles (collarbone) also returning in Week 11, Westbrook has some real potential to return to fantasy relevance as a WR3 this weekend. He has 32 receptions on 55 targets for 383 yards and one touchdown in eight games in 2019. Westbrook's return will hurt Chris Conley the most.

From RotoBaller

George Kittle Nov 13 9:00pm ET

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (ankle, knee), wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders (ribs) and kicker Robbie Gould (quadriceps) all missed practice on Wednesday. Kittle and Gould sat out on Monday night. All three could be game-time decisions in Week 11 against the Cardinals, making it tough on fantasy owners with the late afternoon start. Ross Dwelley and Chase McLaughlin shouldn't be in starting lineups, despite the great matchup, if Kittle and Gould miss a second straight game. Kittle is a must-start if he's active, but you'll need to have a backup plan. Sanders might have the best chance of playing and is being listed as day-to-day for now. Deebo Samuel, Kendrick Bourne and Marquise Goodwin would have bigger roles if Sanders is ruled out, but only Samuel should be trusted for starting lineups.

From RotoBaller

Marquise Brown Nov 13 9:00pm ET

Baltimore Ravens rookie wide receiver Marquise Brown (ankle) was limited in practice on Wednesday. Brown was targeted just four times in the blowout win over the Bengals in Week 10 and played limited snaps, but he made them count for 80 yards and his fourth touchdown of the season. The speedy deep threat should be fine to play in Week 11 in another great matchup against Houston's banged-up and inconsistent secondary. Brown is a boom/bust receiver in a run-first offense, but he has a good chance to hit his ceiling as a WR3 again this weekend.

From RotoBaller

Drew Brees Nov 13 8:50pm ET

New Orleans Saints Pro Bowl offensive guard Andrus Peat (arm) underwent surgery on Wednesday for a broken arm that he suffered in Week 10, and he's expected to be out for six weeks, according to a source. It's bad news for a Saints offense that surprisingly struggled to protect quarterback Drew Brees against a bad Falcons offense last Sunday. It's a downgrade for Brees and running back Alvin Kamara moving forward, but they should be able to rebound nicely in Week 11 against the Buccaneers.

From RotoBaller

Jordan Howard Nov 13 8:50pm ET

Philadelphia Eagles running back Jordan Howard (shoulder) was listed as a limited practice participant on Wednesday. Howard should be able to play coming off the team's by week, but his practice participation the rest of the week should be monitored. If he plays against the Patriots in Week 11, Howard will remain on the RB2/3 borderline as Philly's top back. If he's limited or sits out this weekend, rookie Miles Sanders would have RB2 upside as a potential three-down back.

From RotoBaller

Parris Campbell Nov 13 8:40pm ET

Indianapolis Colts tight end Jack Doyle (shoulder) and rookie wide receiver Parris Campbell (hand) both missed practice on Wednesday. Doyle has scored in back-to-back weeks while accumulating 66 yards on six catches. He's been a touchdown-dependent TE2 for fantasy owners while sharing time with Eric Ebron. His Week 11 status will be important, as Ebron would be firmly on the TE1 map against the Jaguars if Doyle isn't able to play. Campbell had surgery on his hand, missed last Sunday's game and is expected to miss at least one more game. Zach Pascal and Chester Rogers have been the team's top two receivers the last several weeks, but that could change if T.Y. Hilton (calf) is able to make his return. It's unlikely that Campbell will make much noise the rest of the way with Hilton and Devin Funchess (clavicle) coming back soon.

From RotoBaller

Giovani Bernard Nov 13 8:40pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovani Bernard (knee) wasn't listed on the Week 11 injury report after reportedly suffering a sprained knee in the Week 10 loss to the Ravens. It's good news for the Bengals offense, but it probably won't matter this weekend against the Raiders. If anything, Bernard's presence is bad news for Joe Mixon. Bernard has had zero standalone fantasy value behind Mixon for the winless Bengals. He's merely a weak handcuff option for those that own Mixon.

From RotoBaller

Alex Erickson Nov 13 8:40pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Alex Erickson (back) did not practice on Wednesday. Erickson has benefitted from A.J. Green (ankle) not playing at all this season, securing 25 of 38 targets for 343 scoreless yards in eight games. Still, he hasn't been fantasy relevant as the No. 3 receiver in an offense that is now being led by rookie quarterback Ryan Finley. With Green looking likely to miss another game in Week 11 against the Raiders, Stanley Morgan Jr. might be needed to step up in three-receiver sets behind Tyler Boyd and Auden Tate.

From RotoBaller

David Montgomery Nov 13 8:30pm ET

Chicago Bears rookie running back David Montgomery (ankle) is on the Week 11 injury report and was limited in practice on Wednesday. It's likely nothing serious, but it's worth keeping an eye on heading into the weekend. The rookie hasn't been great in his first year, averaging 3.6 yards per carry, but his volume out of the backfield can't be argued with. He'll be on the RB2 map for Sunday night's game against the Rams if he's active. If he's surprisingly ruled out, Tarik Cohen will have RB2 upside in this backfield.

From RotoBaller

Trey Burton Nov 13 8:30pm ET

Chicago Bears tight end Trey Burton (calf) did not practice on Wednesday. Burton has been a non-factor in both real life and fantasy in 2019, catching just 14 passes (24 targets) for 84 yards in eight games. He's gone catchless on just two targets the last two weeks, so he's obviously not on the fantasy radar even if he's healthy. Adam Shaheen and Ben Braunecker would split tight end repetitions in Week 11 on Sunday night against the Rams if Burton is unable to suit up. Neither would be attractive TE2 streamers in this dysfunctional offense.

From RotoBaller

Chris Thompson Nov 13 8:30pm ET

Washington Redskins running back Chris Thompson (toe) is still "out with injury," according to interim head coach Bill Callahan. Tight end Vernon Davis (concussion) remains in the league's concussion protocol coming out of the bye week. Thompson has been out since Week 6 and has no timetable for a return from his turf toe injury. With Derrius Guice now back, Thompson's value has dried up in PPR leagues in this bad offense. Davis has been out since Sept. 29 and also has no timetable for return. He needs to be on the waiver wire in all leagues. Jeremy Sprinkle hasn't been able to take advantage of his opportunity in Davis' absence, and that will likely continue with rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins under center the rest of the way.

From RotoBaller

Devin Funchess Nov 13 8:10pm ET

Indianapolis Colts head coach Frank Reich said that wide receiver Devin Funchess (clavicle), who was put on Injured Reserve after the season opener, returned to practice on Wednesday ahead of Week 11 against the Jaguars. Funchess had three catches for 32 yards against the Chargers in Week 1, and he could have a significant role down the stretch for the Colts in a crowded receiver room that features T.Y. Hilton, Zach Pascal, Chester Rogers, Marcus Johnson and Parris Campbell. He could return to game action sometime within the next three weeks, but whether he can handle contact in practice will be the determining factor. For now, continue to leave Funchess to the waiver wire.

From RotoBaller

Adam Thielen Nov 13 8:10pm ET

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen (hamstring) missed practice on Wednesday. Thielen is headed for his second straight missed game with the team's bye week coming in Week 12. You should prepare to be without him in Week 11 against the Broncos. Stefon Diggs has had two slow weeks with Thielen injured, and that could continue this Sunday with Chris Harris Jr. expected to shadow him. Olabisi Johnson, Laquon Treadwell and tight ends Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith Jr. should continue to see bigger roles in the passing game if Thielen misses another contest. Check with his practice status the rest of the week.

From RotoBaller

James Conner Nov 13 8:00pm ET

Pittsburgh Steelers running back James Conner (shoulder) practiced in full all week and was taken off the final injury report for Week 11 against the Browns on Thursday night. Conner will return after missing the last two weeks, and he should be in a workhorse role in a solid matchup against Cleveland's weak run defense. Consider James a solid RB1 in his return, while Jaylen Samuels will move to a backup role. He's only worth considering in deep PPR leagues as an RB3/flex with Conner back in the fold.

From RotoBaller

Ricky Seals-Jones Nov 13 8:00pm ET

Cleveland Browns tight end Ricky Seals-Jones (knee) was able to practice in full on Wednesday, but he's questionable for Thursday night against the Steelers in Week 11. Defensive end Olivier Vernon (knee) missed practice all week and has been ruled out. RSJ sat out in Week 11 and will be a game-time decision. He has just nine catches (14 targets) for 155 yards and two touchdowns in five games this year, so you should be looking elsewhere already. Demetrius Harris would have a bigger role if Seals-Jones doesn't play, but he's merely a desperation TE2. Vernon's absence is good news for Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph and running back James Conner.

From RotoBaller

Derek Carr Nov 13 8:00pm ET

Oakland Raiders quarterback Derek Carr will be on the streaming radar in Week 11 as the lowly Cincinnati Bengals travel to the West coast for Sunday's game. The Bengals Defense has been awful this season, giving up the third-most fantasy points to the QB position, including five-straight 20 or more point performances. On the flip side, Carr seems to be improving every week in his second season under head coach Jon Gruden as he's sporting career-bests in completion rate (70.8%), and QB rating (104.4). The only worry for the veteran this week is if the offense leans more on Josh Jacobs and the ground game as the Bengals are just as bad at defending the run as they are the pass. Carr has displayed a high floor so far in 2019, but the ceiling will be much higher than usual in this salivating matchup.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Lockett Nov 13 8:00pm ET

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett (leg) flew back to Seattle on Wednesday after spending the last two days in a hospital, according to a source, and the expectation is that Lockett will be ready to face the Eagles in Week 12 after having the bye week to rest up. The 27-year-old had a dud of a game with three catches for 26 yards on Monday night in the win over the 49ers. He doesn't always see a lot of volume in this run-first offense, but he's as efficient as they come and can blow up any given week, evidenced by his 13-catch, 152-yard, two-touchdown game in Week 9 against the Buccaneers. He'll have WR1 upside against Philly's secondary in Week 12 if he's able to get cleared.

From RotoBaller