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FFL: Week 11 | NFL: Week 11

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 7

Fri Oct 18 10:05am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Engram poised for big Week 7


With the Browns, Panthers, Steelers and Buccaneers all on a bye for Week 7, we are missing some of the most impactful players in the world of DFS. However, that doesn’t mean there still aren’t a lot of great options to consider. Let’s break down each position and discuss both some players to target and some to keep out of your lineup-making process.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Jared Goff, LAR at ATL ($6,100): Goff might not be the most expensive quarterback on the slate, but he’s certainly one of the most appealing ones. Despite compiling just 78 passing yards last week against the 49ers, he can be productive in the right matchup. Case in point, he had 517 passing yards and two touchdowns in Week 4 against a bad Bucs’ secondary. The Falcons have been almost as dreadful, allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game in the league and 15 touchdown passes.

Cheap target: Gardner Minshew II, JAC at CIN ($5,800): I had Minshew here last week, as well, but he flopped with 163 yards and a pick against the Saints. Don’t let one bad performance get you down on Minshew Mania. This is a prime spot for him to bounce back with a great stat line considering the Bengals will likely be without two of their top cornerbacks in Dre Kirkpatrick (knee) and William Jackson (shoulder).

Player to avoid: Teddy Bridgewater, NO at CHI ($5,800): Minshew wasn’t the only quarterback to have a quiet performance in that Saints-Jaguars game. Bridgewater wasn’t as bad, but he finished with only 240 passing yards and one touchdown. He’s thrown for 240 yards or fewer in three of his four starts and has two games with one or no touchdown passes. Facing a Bears’ defense that is one of the stingiest in the league is not the time to deploy Bridgewater in DFS.

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Leonard Fournette, JAC at CIN ($7,200): The secondary won’t be the only area of concern for the Bengals. They have been chewed up by opposing running backs, allowing the most rushing yards per game and the most rushing touchdowns. Fournette has been a workhorse with 115 carries and 36 targets, leaving him with a tremendously high floor in this matchup.

Cheap target: Devin Singletary, BUF vs. MIA ($5,700): Singletary hasn’t been on the field since going down with a hamstring injury in Week 2. The good news is the bye week seems to have helped him since he’s been listed as a full participant in practice. While he’ll still have to share the workload with Frank Gore, being priced this low makes him a viable target against a Dolphins defense that has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game.

Player to avoid: Melvin Gordon, LAC at TEN ($6,700): It hasn’t been pretty in two games since Gordon returned from his contract holdout. The Chargers have given him 20 carries, but he’s only turned that into 49 yards while failing to find his way into the end zone. Austin Ekeler will continue to steal some snaps from him and the Titans have only allowed three rushing touchdowns this season, so I’m not taking a chance on Gordon at this price. Pay the extra $500 and roll with Fournette.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Cooper Kupp, LAR at ATL ($7,100): With Goff tanking last week, Kupp had only four catches for 17 yards on six targets. Considering he had at least 101 receiving yards in each of his previous four contests, I’m largely ignoring last week’s dud. With the Falcons’ struggles to defend the pass already detailed, a Rams stack with Goff and Kupp has a great chance to be profitable.

Cheap target: John Brown, BUF vs. MIA ($5,600): The addition of Brown to the Bills’ offense has been seamless so far, catching 28 of 39 targets for 390 yards and a touchdown through five games. He hasn’t received fewer than five targets in any game, reaching at least 10 targets two times. The Dolphins have allowed 14 touchdown passes and the seventh-most passing yards per game, leaving Brown with plenty of upside at this reasonable price.

Player to avoid: Terry McLaurin, WAS vs. SF ($5,600): If there is someone to be excited about on the Redskins, it’s McLaurin. The rookie looks like one of the building blocks for the franchise, posting 23 catches, 408 yards and five touchdowns through five games. However, the 49ers defense has been excellent, resulting in them allowing the fewest passing yards per game. There will be plenty of weeks down the road in which you’ll want to target McLaurin, but this isn’t one of them.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Evan Engram, NYG vs. ARI ($5,900): The Giants sorely missed Engram last week against the Patriots. He’s been one of the staples of their offense, posting 33 receptions, 373 receiving yards and two touchdowns across five games. He hasn’t received fewer than seven targets in any contest and should be back this week for a prime matchup against a Cardinals’ defense that has been destroyed by opposing tight ends. No need to overthink this one.

Cheap target: Hunter Henry, LAC at TEN ($5,000): In need of some help in the passing game, the Chargers finally got some relief last week with the return of Henry. He immediately made his presence felt, catching eight of nine targets for 100 yards and two touchdowns. While the two touchdowns will likely be hard to replicate this week, the target share shouldn’t. With that kind of volume, he can provide value at this price.

Player to avoid: Eric Ebron, IND vs. HOU ($4,400): Since we’re talking about volume, now’s a good time to bring up Ebron. He hasn’t been overly involved in the Colts’ offense with only 20 targets through five games. That has resulted in three games in which he caught only one pass. While he’s always a threat in the red zone, having a healthy Jack Doyle will continue to limit his opportunities. Henry has significantly more upside, and while the $600 price difference is nothing to sneeze at, it isn’t large enough to warrant rolling with Ebron.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Kyler Murray Nov 17 9:30pm ET

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray went 24-for-33 for 150 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions and rushed for a score in the 36-26 loss to the San Francisco 49ers in Week 11. He rushed eight times for 67 yards. It was a great performance considering it was against one of, if not the best defense in the league. Murray has now played two solid games against them, which is an outstanding sign for his development. He has established himself as a QB1, and he should be stashed through his bye next week.

From RotoBaller

David Johnson Nov 17 9:30pm ET

Arizona Cardinals running back David Johnson received no carries or targets in Week 11. That could go down as one of the biggest surprises all week. Johnson had been battling an ankle injury, but he was taken off the injury report. Unless something comes out about him still being limited due to injury, he has taken a serious backseat to Kenyan Drake. Johnson should remain owned in all leagues, and if he's dropped by an owner, scoop him immediately. The Cardinals are on a bye next week, and more should be learned before then.

From RotoBaller

Kenyan Drake Nov 17 9:30pm ET

Arizona Cardinals running back Kenyan Drake rushed 16 times for 67 yards and caught six receptions for 13 yards in Week 11. He was kept out of the end zone, but it was a solid showing in point-per-reception leagues against one of the best defenses in football. Running back David Johnson didn't have a rush or a target in the game for a mysterious reason, but one thing is for sure. Drake has taken over as the lead back, and he'll be an RB2 option after the bye week against the Los Angeles Rams.

From RotoBaller

Christian Kirk Nov 17 9:30pm ET

Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Christian Kirk had six receptions for 41 yards in Week 11 against the San Francisco 49ers. His nine targets led the team. It was a rough matchup, but he still posted 10 points in point-per-reception leagues. Kirk will have the week off before facing the Los Angeles Rams Dec. 1. He'll remain a WR3 option.

From RotoBaller

Larry Fitzgerald Nov 17 9:30pm ET

Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald had five catches for 37 yards and a touchdown in Week 11, but he also lost a fumble. The score was his first one since Week 3. Fitzgerald has been catching just enough to be worth using in point-per-reception formats, but his yardage and touchdowns haven't been up to snuff. He'll remain a flex option after the bye week.

From RotoBaller

Andy Isabella Nov 17 9:30pm ET

Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Andy Isabella had just one catch for six yards in Week 11 against the San Francisco 49ers. Isabella flirted with fantasy relevance with big plays in recent weeks, but he didn't quite make it. The Cardinals are on a bye next week, and Isabella doesn't have roster viability.

From RotoBaller

Latavius Murray Nov 17 9:10pm ET

New Orleans Saints running back Latavius Murray struggled to make an impact in Week 11 against the stingy run defense of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The 29-year-old posted 10 carries for 27 yards and two catches for five yards. Murray's physical, ground-and-pound style wasn't as successful against this defense as Alvin Kamara's elusive, scat-back style. The seventh-year veteran was out-touched by Kamara in this game 23-12. The positive for Murray is he'll likely be locked into around 10-12 touches each game, giving him flex value depending upon the matchup. Next week against the Carolina Panthers looks like a good one, as they've surrendered the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs this year.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Eifert Nov 17 9:10pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert caught three of his four targets for 21 yards in Week 11 against the Raiders. The Bengals managed to move the ball well on the ground in the game, but quarterback Ryan Finley struggled mightily through the air, completing just 13 passes. Eifert has some value in deep leagues but Finley's inexperience and struggles make him hard to trust as a starter for now. Eifert has failed to top 25 receiving yards in five of his past six games, which is a very uninspiring trend.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Boyd Nov 17 9:10pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd was a complete non-factor in Week 11 against the Raiders. He had just one catch in the game but he failed to gain any yards on it. His only positive yardage came on a 10-yard rush, his only rushing attempt in the game. Bengals quarterback Ryan Finley completed only 13 passes in the game, so it's no surprise that Boyd wasn't able to come through with a decent game. Boyd had been mostly consistent all year until this game, so hopefully he can bounce back against the Steelers in Week 12.

From RotoBaller

Hunter Renfrow Nov 17 9:00pm ET

Oakland Raiders wide receiver Hunter Renfrow caught five passes for 66 yards as the team edged the Bengals 17-10 in their home victory. The Clemson product finished only one behind Darren Waller in targets with six as he recorded his fourth-straight game with four or more catches. Renfrow has emerged as a favored target for Derek Carr, and is starting to produce a safe floor in PPR formats. His ceiling is capped, however, as the third passing option on a team that chooses to run the ball nearly 50% of the time. Renfrow is an intriguing dynasty stash but is a WR4 at best in PPR redraft leagues. He'll look to continue his solid production next week when the Raiders travel to face the Jets

From RotoBaller

Joe Mixon Nov 17 9:00pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon was the lone bright spot in an otherwise dreadful offensive showing for the Bengals in Week 11. Mixon carried the ball 15 times for 86 yards and a touchdown and added a 17-yard reception for his only catch of the day. This was one of Mixon's better performances of the season as he'd only topped 80 rushing yards twice before this game. He has a tough matchup against the Steelers in Week 12, but is still worthy of an RB2 start or at least flex consideration in most leagues due to his workload alone.

From RotoBaller

Giovani Bernard Nov 17 9:00pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovani Bernard carried the ball three times for 30 yards and added a 16-yard reception in Week 11. The Bengals managed 173 total rushing yards in the game, but most of it came from fellow running back Joe Mixon, while quarterback Ryan Finley also added 47 yards. Bernard is the clear No. 2 behind Mixon in the offense and would warrant some appeal if something were to happen to Mixon, but for now, Bernard can be left on the waiver wire.

From RotoBaller

Auden Tate Nov 17 9:00pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Auden Tate led the Bengals in receiving in Week 11, catching four of his six targets for 56 yards. Tate has now topped 50 receiving yards in four of his past five games. Tate was fortunate that his line ended up decent on a day where quarterback Ryan Finley completed just 13-of-31 passes for 115 yards. No other Bengal had more than 21 receiving yards. Tate is a viable WR3 or flex option most weeks and is worth rostering in all leagues of 12 or more teams.

From RotoBaller

New England Patriots Nov 17 8:50pm ET

The Patriots Defense might not have single-handedly carried your team this week as they've done in previous weeks, but they still managed to have a solid fantasy day against the Eagles in Week 11. The Patriots held the Eagles to 10 points in the game while recovering a fumble and sacking Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz five times. The Ravens have been the only team to eclipse 14 points against the Patriots, who will look to keep things rolling against the Cowboys in Week 12.

From RotoBaller

Nick Folk Nov 17 8:50pm ET

New England Patriots kicker Nick Folk hit all three of his field goal attempts in Week 12 against the Eagles. He wasn't heavily challenged in the game as none of his attempts were longer than 39 yards. Folk is now a perfect 5-for-5 in two games with the Patriots. He should be owned in all leagues and counted on as a reliable starter until further notice.

From RotoBaller

Ryan Finley Nov 17 8:50pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Ryan Finley completed just 13-of-31 passes for 115 yards and an interception in Week 11 against the Raiders. He also lost a fumble and was sacked five times. He managed to rush for 47 yards in the game, which helps make his day look a little better, but it was still a rough day all around to put it nicely. The Bengals' offense is in a tough spot right now and they have an even tougher matchup lined up against the Steelers in Week 12.

From RotoBaller

Alvin Kamara Nov 17 8:50pm ET

New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara tallied 75 rushing yards on 13 attempts and caught all 10 targets for 47 yards against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Kamara looked healthy and found room to run against the league's best rushing defense. The Pro Bowler has full control of the backfield, as he's received 35 touches to Latavius Murray's 19 the last two weeks. Kamara did fumble early in the game and had a touchdown called back due to a holding penalty, though neither occurrence should concern fantasy managers. Ball security won't be an issue for him moving forward- and the touchdowns will come, given his huge role in the offense. He'll be an RB1 next week against the Carolina Panthers, who have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

From RotoBaller

N'Keal Harry Nov 17 8:40pm ET

New England Patriots rookie wide receiver N'Keal Harry saw some action for the first time of the year in Week 11 against the Eagles. He was targeted four times in the game and caught three passes for 18 yards. The Patriots struggled to move the ball all game in Week 11, but it's encouraging to see that Harry was targeted as many times as Mohamed Sanu in the game. Harry is someone to keep an eye on going forward in all league types and is of course a must-own player in all dynasty and keeper leagues.

From RotoBaller

Phillip Dorsett Nov 17 8:40pm ET

New England Patriots wide receiver Phillip Dorsett scored his team's only touchdown in Week 11. The score came on a trick play as he was the recipient of a 15-yard pass from fellow wide receiver Julian Edelman. Apart from the score, it was a quiet day for Dorsett. In total, he caught three passes for 33 yards and a touchdown on five targets. He's now been held under 50 receiving yards in five straight games. He's a potential WR3 or flex in deep leagues going forward but he has a relatively low floor as we've seen.

From RotoBaller

Darren Waller Nov 17 8:40pm ET

Oakland Raiders tight end Darren Waller caught five passes for 78 yards on Sunday as the team went on to defeat the Bengals 17-10 in Week 11. He also rushed once for a two-yard loss and was vultured by Foster Moreau's TD grab in the second quarter as he's now left fantasy owners wanting more for the third-straight week. The positive takeaway is Waller led the offense with seven targets, including a pass in the end zone that went off his fingertips for an incompletion. The 2019 breakout has come down to earth recently, averaging three catches and 45 yards over his last four games after averaging 7/80 through the team's first six games. He still remains a top weapon in this passing offense, and will be a mid-range TE1 in Week 12 versus the Jets.

From RotoBaller