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FFL: Week 11 | NFL: Week 11

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 6

Fri Oct 11 11:56am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Ryan is a top play for Week 6


Week 6 brings our first slate with four teams on a bye. It will leave us with fewer choices than we have been accustomed, but that doesn’t mean you can’t still come away a winner in DFS. Here are some players to consider across the price scale, as well as a few to avoid, while compiling your entry.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Matt Ryan, ATL at ARI ($6,200): There are six other quarterbacks who are priced higher than Ryan, but his upside is as high as any of them based on this matchup. He’s attempted at least 43 passes in four of five games this season and has already racked up 11 touchdown passes, including three games in which he had three scores each. Facing him will be a Cardinals’ defense that has allowed 12 touchdown passes, which is tied for second-most in the league. Ryan looks to be in line for a monster performance.

Cheap target: Gardner Minshew II, JAC vs. NO ($5,700): Minshew Mania has taken the league by storm. With top free-agent signing Nick Foles (collarbone) out, Minshew has not only helped the Jaguars remain competitive, but he’s thrived. He has produced two touchdown passes in three straight games and has yet to throw an interception through his four starts. While his yardage totals might not always be off the charts, he could provide value against a Saints defense that has allowed the 10th-highest passer rating (100.9).

Player to avoid: Joe Flacco, DEN vs. TEN ($5,700): If there is an argument to be made for playing Flacco, I don’t see it. Yes, he’s cheap. However, he’s thrown an interception in four straight games and has thrown one or no touchdown passes in four of five contests this season. The Titans have allowed only eight touchdown passes all season while recording five interceptions, so it makes much more sense to roll with Minshew considering he can be had for the same price.

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Mark Ingram, BAL vs. CIN ($7,300): Despite the Ravens not looking all that impressive lately, this has the makings of one of the more lopsided games of the week. The Bengals have been just awful, compiling a 0-5 record in part because of injuries, but also because of terrible offensive line play. Their defense has been torched on the ground, allowing the second-most rushing yards per game to go along with seven rushing touchdowns. No need to overthink this one, Ingram carries an incredibly high floor into this matchup.

Cheap target: Kenyan Drake, MIA vs. WAS ($5,000): As far as unappealing games go, this is about as bad as it gets. Both the Dolphins and Redskins are searching for their first (and what could be their only) win of the season. The good news is that this game still has plenty of fantasy appeal, especially with Drake. The Dolphins’ top rusher could be in line for a productive afternoon with the Redskins allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game.

Player to avoid: LeSean McCoy, KAN vs. HOU ($5,900): Week 5 was one to forget for McCoy considering he logged a season-low 14 offensive snaps. He didn’t receive a single carry, finishing with two catches on two targets for 23 yards. He had issues with pass protection, which contributed to his limited role. Also, it doesn’t help his cause that both Damien Williams and Darrel Williams are healthy. Since he doesn’t come at much of a discount, McCoy’s limited upside doesn’t make him a viable target.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Julio Jones, ATL at ARI ($7,700): Stacking Ryan with Jones could be one of the more popular duos of the weekend. Despite coming off back-to-back disappointing games, Jones had 265 yards and four touchdowns through the Falcons’ first three contests. His ceiling is about as high as it gets serving as the Falcons’ top receiver in a game against a horrible secondary, so don’t hesitate to add him to your entry.

Cheap target: DeVante Parker, MIA vs. WAS ($4,300): Run defense hasn’t been the only problem for the Redskins since they have also allowed the most passing touchdowns (13). Despite underperforming in the early part of his career, Parker has actually shown some improvement by catching seven of 10 targets for 126 yards and a touchdown with Josh Rosen starting at quarterback the last two games. Preston Williams ($4,800) will probably be a more popular option in DFS among the Dolphins’ pass catchers, making Parker someone to target in tournament play.

Player to avoid: Nelson Agholor, PHI at MIN ($5,200): Agholor posted valuable back-to-back performances in Weeks 2 and 3, catching 16 passes for 157 yards and three touchdowns. The key was that he received 23 targets during that stretch. However, he only has one reception on four targets in two games since. With Alshon Jeffery now healthy, Agholor should continue to receive limited opportunities to contribute.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Austin Hooper, ATL at ARI ($5,500): Could the trio of Ryan, Jones and Hooper lead to some hefty DFS payouts? Hooper has certainly been impressive with the Falcons throwing the ball a lot, catching at least six passes in four of five games. He has received at least six targets in each contest, which is noteworthy since he only had six games with at least six targets all of last season. With the Cardinals giving up monstrous numbers to tight ends, Hooper is difficult to resist.

Cheap target: Will Dissly, SEA at CLE ($5,000): While he’s not overly cheap, Dissly makes a lot of sense at this reasonable price. After playing under 60 percent of the Seahawks’ offensive snaps in each of their first three games, he’s logged 79.4 percent and 89.2 percent of them, respectively, over the last two weeks. With at least 50-receiving yards in four straight games and four touchdowns already, he has a favorable opportunity to keep things rolling versus the struggling Browns.

Player to avoid: Delanie Walker, TEN at DEN ($4,500): It’s difficult for Walker to be productive on a reliable basis given the inconsistent play of Marcus Mariota. Walker has only received four targets across the last two games and has posted 39 receiving yards or fewer in three of five contests. Dissly has a much higher ceiling and isn’t that much more expensive, so it might not be best to take a chance on this being one of Walker’s better performances, especially since the Broncos has allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards per game.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Justin Ellis Nov 12 3:03pm ET

Free-agent DT Justin Ellis (Raiders) signed an undisclosed contract with the Baltimore Ravens on Tuesday, Nov. 12.

From TheHuddle

Cyrus Jones Nov 12 3:03pm ET

Baltimore Ravens CB Cyrus Jones was released on Tuesday, Nov. 12. Ravens also placed DL Daylon Mack (knee) on the Reserve/Injured list with a knee injury, according to sources.

From TheHuddle

Corn Elder Nov 12 2:53pm ET

New York Giants CB Corn Elder was signed off the Giants' practice squad by the Carolina Panthers on Monday, Nov. 11.

From TheHuddle

Jeremy Hill Nov 12 2:43pm ET

Free-agent RBs Jeremy Hill and Elijah McGuire worked out for the Houston Texans on Tuesday, Nov. 12.

From TheHuddle

Domata Peko Nov 12 2:33pm ET

Free-agent DT Domata Peko (Broncos) is reportedly 'working on a deal'to sign a contract with the Baltimore Ravens.

From TheHuddle

Matt Breida Nov 12 2:03pm ET

Updating previous reports, San Francisco 49ers RB Matt Breida (ankle) may miss time to let his aggravated ankle sprain heal. He'll seek a second opinion on the injury, which doesn't sound like a bad one.

Fantasy Spin: Tevin Coleman would receive a small boost with Breida out, but Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson would share reps with Coleman. Mostert is worth the speculative add, and Coleman could be an RB2 next week.

From TheHuddle

Tyler Lockett Nov 12 1:53pm ET

Updating a previous report, Seattle Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (shin) had to be treated immediately for a bruise on his shin that caused swelling, but head coach Pete Carroll expects Lockett to be fine.

Fantasy Spin: It sounds like he may have had a hematoma develop that needed drained. The Seahawks are on a bye this week, and it's possible that Lockett may not miss game action. Stay tuned.

From TheHuddle

Olivier Vernon Nov 12 1:03pm ET

Cleveland Browns DE Olivier Vernon (knee) and S Eric Murray (knee) are out of practice Tuesday, Nov. 12. Murray has been ruled out for the game Thursday, Nov. 14, and Vernon is unlikely to play as well.

From TheHuddle

Preston Brown Nov 12 10:33am ET

Cincinnati Bengals LB Preston Brown was released Tuesday, Nov. 12.

From TheHuddle

Tyler Lockett Nov 12 3:50am ET

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett didn't get to spend any time celebrating with his teammates after the huge win on Monday night because he was already on his way to the hospital. Lockett suffered a severe leg contusion on the final play of regulation, and while his fellows Seahawks were able to pull off the win in overtime, Lockett is actually being left behind in the Bay Area for treatment. Head coach Pete Carroll told the media after the game that everyone was extremely concerned about Lockett because the contusion caused immense swelling right after it happened, so the possibility of compartment syndrome is being considered. Lockett will get the bye to rest up, but until more is known, he is considered questionable moving forward.

From RotoBaller

Jason Myers Nov 12 3:50am ET

Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers caught plenty of bad press for missing a game-winning kick last week, but the offense bailed him out by scoring a touchdown in overtime. This week, it was Myers who did the saving. Myers blasted through three extra points and a pair of field goals, including a game-winning 42-yarder as time expired in overtime. Myers hasn't really lived up to his billing as a Pro Bowl kicker, especially lately, but he came through when it mattered most on Monday night. Hopefully, this will be a sign of things to come, and that missed game-winner against the Bucs will be seen as the turning point of his season.

From RotoBaller

Malik Turner Nov 12 3:40am ET

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Malik Turner had only been targeted twice since September coming into Monday night's game, but then Tyler Lockett suffered a severe leg contusion in the fourth quarter of the team's game against the 49ers. Of course, in football, when one man goes down, an opportunity opens for another. However, when Seattle received the ball to start overtime in their biggest game of the year, the first play didn't go to D.K. Metcalf, their star rookie, or Josh Gordon, their newly-acquired former stud. The first throw went to Turner, an undrafted free agent. When it was 3rd-and-16 and the game was on the line while Russell Wilson was running for his life, Turner's the jersey he saw and delivered a strike to. Turner then put on some fancy footwork to turn that pass that was a yard short into a 28-yard gain that put Seattle just outside SF's red zone. Turner's unlikely to play a big role after everyone gets a bye week to rest and recover, but if his number gets pulled, it looks like he's able to respond.

From RotoBaller

Jadeveon Clowney Nov 12 3:40am ET

It's real easy for a general manager to look like a genius when the guys he trades for play like stars against his team's biggest rivals. Jadeveon Clowney returned a fumble for a touchdown and knocked another ball loose. Quandre Diggs, playing in his first game as a member of the Seahawks, snatched a key interception. Overall, the Seahawks Defense went from looking overmatched to settling in, generated three turnovers, and bailed the offense out on numerous occasions en route to a huge win. Seattle still has a host of issues defensively, but if they can play like that on a regular basis, they can be back in the mix in the fantasy world.

From RotoBaller

Jacob Hollister Nov 12 3:30am ET

Seattle Seahawks tight end Jacob Hollister was on the receiving end of another Russell Wilson touchdown throw, but it's still unclear how the two of them made it happen or whether the pass was even directed to Hollister in the first place. With two tacklers bearing down on Wilson from three yards out, he lobbed a gentle floater into the center of the end zone while Tyler Lockett and Hollister were both being openly mugged by 49ers defenders. While Lockett ended up being tackled at the goal line, Hollister dove and snagged the ball with one hand as he fell to the ground. He also went on to catch seven other passes during the game and appears to be one of Wilson's favorite new receivers.

From RotoBaller

Josh Gordon Nov 12 3:30am ET

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Josh Gordon got to play in his first game with the team on Monday night and made a small but critical impact when he caught a pair of passes late in the game. Both catches came on third downs and got the respective first downs. Gordon looked like he was in ridiculous shape, but it will take a couple more games for his role to really be fleshed out. An injury to Tyler Lockett (leg contusion) possibly opens up some more opportunities, and a handy bye week next Sunday will allow Gordon some extra time to learn the playbook. He could still be useful yet.

From RotoBaller

D.K. Metcalf Nov 12 3:20am ET

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf had quite the game on Monday night. In a game that was likened to a heavyweight bout where both fighters were just slugging at each other over and over, Metcalf had stuff happening all over the chart. He suffered the loneliest feeling in the world when a big gainer turned into a fumble at the two-yard line, recovered by San Francisco. He then got the news that he was the team's new No. 1 receiver in overtime of the biggest game of his career when Tyler Lockett was sidelined with a serious leg contusion. Metcalf finished with six catches for 70 yards and no touchdowns, but the box score doesn't do his night justice. He'll get to mull it all over for the next two weeks due to the bye week. Welcome to the NFL.

From RotoBaller

Russell Wilson Nov 12 3:10am ET

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson got off to a slow start on Monday night, but when push came to shove, he continued to be the bane of 49ers fans everywhere. Wilson ended the evening with 232 yards passing, a touchdown, and an interception, but his clutch moments in the second half were truly the important part of the performance. Wilson, like many of the offensive players on the field, fumbled and made some poor decisions on third down, but a couple unbelievable throws and a critical 18-yard run in overtime helped seal San Francisco's first loss of the season. Wilson remains magnificent.

From RotoBaller

Chris Carson Nov 12 3:10am ET

In one of the toughest games of his career, Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson bashed and bounced his way to 89 yards and a touchdown in Seattle's win over the 49ers on Monday night. Tallying just 3.6 YPC, it seemed like Carson was constantly being hit. His long rush for the night was just nine yards, and he truly fought for every inch he gained. Carson contributed one of five Seahawks fumbles on the evening, but his was actually recovered, so it likely won't be the focus of this week's conversations about fumbling. Carson continues to be one of Seattle's focal points on offense, though he's probably going to be taking a lot of painkillers this week. Good thing they have a bye next week.

From RotoBaller

Matt Breida Nov 12 1:20am ET

San Francisco 49ers running back Matt Breida (ankle) aggravated his lingering ankle injury in Week 10 against the Seattle Seahawks. Breida was stuffed for just 18 yards on 10 carries while netting two catches for seven yards. Its unclear if he was limited all game, but backup runner Raheem Mostert was the primary change-of-pace back for Tevin Coleman in the second half. Breida is no stranger to playing hurt but hell have a short week to heal before facing the Arizona Cardinals in Week 11. Hell be a flex candidate if he suits up.

From RotoBaller

Kendrick Bourne Nov 12 1:10am ET

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Kendrick Bourne caught four of eight targets for 42 yards and a touchdown in Week 10 against the Seattle Seahawks. Bourne was rewarded with a 10-yard touchdown in the first quarter and received extra playing time throughout with wideout Emmanuel Sanders (ribs) exiting early. The third-year pro now has touchdowns in consecutive games but doesnt have the volume or pedigree to be a sustainable fantasy asset. Even if Sanders misses time, Bournes not someone to chase on the waiver wire.

From RotoBaller