Guest of the League
GSOFFL Est. 2010
FFL: Playoff Week 1 | NFL: Week 14

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 11

Fri Nov 15 10:41am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Jackson should continue to roll


We are back to only four teams being on a bye for Week 11, leaving us with a few more options to choose from in DFS. While we generally have plenty of viable targets at most positions, tight end will be a little tricky to navigate with the dearth of quality candidates. Let’s dive into the slate and discuss some players to consider across the price scale, as well as a few to avoid.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Lamar Jackson, BAL vs. HOU ($7,100): This should be a fun game between two of the better quarterbacks in the league. Jackson is coming off of a steamrolling of the Bengals in which he threw for 223 yards and three touchdowns. He also chipped in 65 yards and a score on the ground. His ability to contribute in both areas leaves him with a high floor. To further strengthen his case, the Texans have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game in the league.

Cheap target: Derek Carr, OAK vs. CIN ($5,800): The Raiders pulled off a big win over the Chargers last week, but Carr had a quiet showing with 218 passing yards and one touchdown. Before that, he had thrown for at least two scores in three straight games. He’s historically been more productive at home and has a great matchup against the Bengals, making him worth a look if you want to take a cheaper route at the quarterback spot.

Player to avoid: Carson Wentz, PHI vs. NE ($6,000): Wentz has seen his production nosedive this season, averaging only 228.9 passing yards per game. On top of that, he’s thrown exactly one touchdown pass in four of his last five games. He does have limited options at wide receiver, which will be the case again in Week 11 with DeSean Jackson (abdomen) out. Alshon Jeffery is also battling an ankle injury, which would really put Wentz behind the eight ball if he can’t play. Add in this matchup against the Patriots’ stout defense and it’s difficult to justify adding him to your entry.

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Christian McCaffrey, CAR vs. ATL ($8,600): I’m not sure how you can fade McCaffrey at this point. He once again dominated last week, posting 141 total yards and a touchdown against the Packers. He’s recorded at least one touchdown in all but one game this season and has posted three touchdowns in a game twice. That’s the type of production worth paying up for.

Cheap target: Brian Hill, ATL at CAR ($3,000): Expect Hill to be the cheap chalk play of the week. He’s likely going to be busy out of the backfield with Devonta Freeman (foot) expected to be sidelined. Not only that, Ito Smith (neck) is already on IR. Hill played well last week against the Saints, turning 20 carries into 61 yards and catching a 10-yard touchdown pass. With the Panthers allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game, he could provide tremendous value.

Player to avoid: David Johnson, ARI at SF ($6,500): What a disaster last week was for Johnson. He couldn’t get anything going against the Bucs, rushing for two yards on five carries and catching his only target for eight yards. Even more disturbing is that he was only on the field for 42.9 percent of the Cardinals’ offensive snaps. Meanwhile, Kenyan Drake was on the field for 64.3 percent of them. With the 49ers having one of the best defenses in the league, it’s difficult to envision Johnson being successful in what will likely be another limited role.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Michael Thomas, NO at TB ($8,300): This has the makings of a perfect-storm matchup. Thomas is already one of the most productive receivers in the league, posting 86 receptions for 1,027 yards and four touchdowns through nine games. Meanwhile, the Bucs have allowed the most passing yards per game. I rest my case.

Cheap target: D.J. Moore, CAR vs. ATL ($6,000): McCaffrey isn’t the only player on the Panthers worth targeting this week. Moore is coming off back-to-back 100 yard games and has now received at least 10 targets in a game five times. He has clearly developed a good relationship with Kyle Allen, who it set to start at quarterback for the rest of the season with Cam Newton (foot) on IR. The Falcons have allowed the eighth-most passing yards per game, so don’t sleep on Moore at this reasonable price.

Player to avoid: Larry Fitzgerald, ARI at SF ($6,100): Fitzgerald took advantage of a cushy matchup against the Bucs last week by catching all eight of his targets for 71 yards. He failed to record a touchdown, though, and hasn’t found his way into the end zone since Week 3. When these two teams met in Week 9, the 49ers held him to four catches for 38 yards. Moore has significantly more upside and is $100 cheaper, so rolling with Fitzgerald is probably not a wise choice.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Travis Kelce, KC at LAC ($6,300): George Kittle (knee) and Austin Hooper (knee) are expected to be sidelined this week and Evan Engram is on a bye, so we are missing several of the top tight end options. If you want to play it safe at the position, Kelce is probably the way to go. He caught all seven of his targets last week for 75 yards and a touchdown in what was the return of star quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Even with Mahomes having to miss some time, Kelce has recorded at least 58 receiving yards in all but one game this season and has caught at least seven passes five times.

Cheap target: Jared Cook, NO at TB ($4,500): The Saints offense struggled Week 10, scoring just nine points against the Falcons. Outside of another strong performance from Thomas, Cook also provided value by catching six of 10 targets for 74 yards. Having Drew Brees back under center is key since he’s attempted at least 43 passes in all three of the full games that he has played. Teddy Bridgewater averaged only 33 pass attempts across his five starts. With how poorly the Bucs have defended the pass, Cooks has the potential for a big afternoon.

Player to avoid: T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. DAL ($4,400): The big question mark surrounding the Lions is the status of Matthew Stafford (back), who was sat out last week and didn’t practice Wednesday or Thursday. If he’s unable to return, Jeff Driskel will once again start at quarterback. Hockenson has only surpassed 50 receiving yards in a game two times this season, leaving him with very little upside, especially if he has to catch passes from Driskel.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Eli Manning Dec 5 3:03am ET

New York Giants QB Eli Manning is 'very likely' to start against the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday, Dec. 9, according to head coach Pat Shurmur.

Fantasy Spin: An ankle injury is the culprit for Daniel Jones, who is expected to give way to Manning on MNF. It would certainly be a nice moment if Manning stepped in and led his team to an upset win in prime time, but it seems unlikely given the team's overall struggles and Manning's before he got benched. He's not worth rolling the dice on.

From TheHuddle

Quentin Poling Dec 5 2:03am ET

Oakland Raiders LB Quentin Poling and OG Kyle Kalis were released from the practice squad on Wednesday, Dec. 4.

From TheHuddle

Trent Taylor Dec 5 12:23am ET

San Francisco 49ers WRs Trent Taylor (foot) and Jalen Hurd (back) will not be activated from the Reserve/Injured list and will miss the remainder of the 2019 season, according to NBC Sports Bay Area's Matt Maiocco.

From TheHuddle

Antone Exum Dec 5 12:23am ET

The San Francisco 49ers re-signed free agent CB Antone Exum to a one-year contract on Wednesday, Dec. 4.

From TheHuddle

Mack Hollins Dec 4 9:03pm ET

Former Philadelphia Eagles WR Mack Hollins was claimed off waivers by the Miami Dolphins Wednesday, Dec. 4. The Dolphins also signed C Evan Brown off the New York Giants practice squad, waived/injured CB Ken Crawley (shoulder) and waived OG Chris Reed.

From TheHuddle

Gerald Everett Dec 4 8:23pm ET

Los Angeles Rams TE Gerald Everett (knee) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Everett did not play last week because of the injury and could miss another game if he does not practice this week. Fantasy players should look for other options to use and keep Everett on the bench.

From TheHuddle

Tyreek Hill Dec 4 8:03pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (hamstring) fully participated in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Hill has been targeted at least eight times in four of the last five games and will continue to be one of the main options in the passing game for the Chiefs. He should be a starting option in all leagues this week.

From TheHuddle

Morris Claiborne Dec 4 8:03pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder), CB Rashad Fenton (hamstring) and RB Darrel Williams (hamstring) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4. DE Frank Clark (shoulder) was limited during practice. OT Eric Fisher (groin), CB Kendall Fuller (thumb), S Jordan Lucas (shoulder), DT Derrick Nnadi (elbow) and DE Alex Okafor (ankle) fully participated in practice.

From TheHuddle

Matthew Stafford Dec 4 8:00pm ET

Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford (back) said his back is healing "as it should" and that the injury won't be something that's an issue in 2020 or beyond. Stafford will miss his fifth straight game in Week 14 against the Vikings, though, and it seems unlikely he'll return in 2019. The Lions are 0-4 in Stafford's absence and are now down to third-stringer David Blough after Jeff Driskel (hamstring) was put on Injured Reserve last weekend. Before his injury, Stafford had 2,499 yards and 19 touchdowns in the first eight games of the season. He was on pace to set career highs in passer rating (106) and yards per attempt (8.6). Heading into next season, Stafford will be a highly coveted high-end QB2 for fantasy owners.

From RotoBaller

Damien Williams Dec 4 7:53pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs RB Damien Williams (rib) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Williams may have a chance to play in the Week 14 game but probably will have to practice at some point this week. Fantasy players will need to check on his status later in the week because he should be a starting option if he plays.

From TheHuddle

Patrick Mahomes Dec 4 7:53pm ET

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (knee) fully participated in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Mahomes has thrown for under 200 yards in each of the last two games and has only two touchdowns during that span. He will be facing a tough New England Patriots defense this week but can still be a starting option in all fantasy leagues.

From TheHuddle

Patrick Chung Dec 4 7:43pm ET

New England Patriots DE Byron Cowart (head) and C Ted Karras (knee) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4. LB Ja'Whaun Bentley (knee), OT Marcus Cannon (illness), SS Patrick Chung (heel) and CB Jason McCourty (groin) were limited during practice.

From TheHuddle

Nick Bellore Dec 4 7:43pm ET

Seattle Seahawks FB Nick Bellore (quadriceps), TE Luke Willson (hamstring), OT Duane Brown (biceps, knee), CB Neiko Thorpe (core) and LB Mychal Kendricks (hamstring) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4. TE Jacob Hollister (quadriceps), OG Mike Iupati (neck), DE Ziggy Ansah (neck) and DE Jadeveon Clowney (core) were limited during practice.

From TheHuddle

Mohamed Sanu Dec 4 7:33pm ET

New England Patriots WR Mohamed Sanu (ankle) was limited during practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Sanu has been held to 23 yards or less in three of the four games he has played for the Patriots and has not shown good chemistry with Tom Brady. He could be a flex option in some leagues but is not a must-start option.

From TheHuddle

Tom Brady Dec 4 7:33pm ET

New England Patriots QB Tom Brady (elbow, toe) fully participated in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Brady is coming off one of his better games of the season last week but only has five touchdowns in the last four games. He will be facing an improving Kansas City Chiefs defense this week but could still be a low-end No. 1 quarterback in some deeper leagues.

From TheHuddle

Julian Edelman Dec 4 7:23pm ET

New England Patriots WR Julian Edelman (shoulder) was limited during practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Edelman has been a limited participant for most of the season but has not missed any game. He continues to be the main option in the passing game for the Patriots and is a must-start option in fantasy leagues.

From TheHuddle

Will Fuller Dec 4 7:13pm ET

Houston Texans WR Will Fuller (hamstring) was limited during practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Fuller was held to only eight yards in the Week 13 game but posted 140 yards in the previous game, so he is not been a reliable fantasy option in 2019. He has been targeted at least six times in six of his nine games this season and should still be at least a flex option in leagues.

From TheHuddle

Taiwan Jones Dec 4 7:13pm ET

Houston Texans RB Taiwan Jones (hamstring) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4. CB Gareon Conley (hip), CB Bradley Roby (hamstring, toe), LB Brennan Scarlett (shoulder) and DE Carlos Watkins (hamstring) were limited during practice. DE Angelo Blackson (shoulder) fully participated in practice.

From TheHuddle

Royce Freeman Dec 4 7:03pm ET

Denver Broncos RB Royce Freeman (ribs) was limited during practice Wednesday, Dec. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Freeman probably will be able to play this week, but fantasy players should check on his status later in the week. He has received under 10 touches in each of the last four games and has been held out of the end zone during that span. He will be facing a good Houston Texans defense this week and can be avoided in some leagues.

From TheHuddle

Von Miller Dec 4 7:03pm ET

Denver Broncos OG Ronald Leary (concussion), S Will Parks (hand) and LB Malik Reed (ankle, shoulder) did not participate in practice Wednesday, Dec. 4. LB Jeremiah Attaochu (leg), LB A.J. Johnson (knee), OG Connor McGovern (back) and LB Von Miller (knee) were limited during practice. DT Shelby Harris (ankle), OT Ja'Wuan James (knee), WR Tim Patrick (shoulder) and DT Mike Purcell (knee) fully participated in practice.

From TheHuddle