Tue Oct 22 8:43am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Chase Edmonds is trending up
Here is a friendly reminder. You can’t expect a backup to perform like a starter, especially when that starter was a star player. There is going to be a drop off nearly every time. And we are saying this because of the injury to some star players this past week. Teams are going to be looking for a replacement, which is going to be hard. The good news is these elite players are mostly at the quarterback position, which is a little easier to replace than a starting running back when it comes to fantasy lineups. Hopefully, you can get by the next few weeks until these guys come back.
Ryan Tannehill, Titans. Tannehill had an impressive first start of the season for the Titans. He hit the 300-yard mark and scored two touchdowns. He missed on just six passes the entire games. He moved the offense and got many player involved in the passing game. He will continue to start for the Titans and has streaming value for fantasy teams. He is capable of the big game as evident by past seasons.
Teddy Bridgewater, Saints. Bridgewater seems to be getting more comfortable in the offense every week. He was very impressive his last time out against a good Bears defense. Bridgewater threw for 281 yards and two touchdowns without an interception in Week 7. Bridgewater has thrown for 240 or more passing yards three straight games and has seven touchdowns during that stretch. Bridgewater might only get one more start before Drew Brees returns to the lineup, but that doesn't mean you should ignore him for this week if you need quarterback help.
Matt Moore, Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes is out the next few weeks, leaving Moore to run the show in this high-powered offense. You can’t expect Moore to produce like Mahomes but he has some potential in this offense. Moore was 10-of-19 for 117 yards and a touchdown in relief of Mahomes last week. We wouldn’t count on Moore to be a top fantasy starter but he can be worth a spot start because of injury or bye weeks.
Chase Edmonds, Cardinals. David Johnson was active last week but Edmonds carried the load at running back because the Cardinals didn’t want to put Johnson at risk in poor field conditions. Edmonds responded with a career game, hitting the 100-yard mark while scoring three touchdowns. Edmonds has touchdowns three straight gams and 60-plus total yards all three games. He is getting a lot more consistent work in the offense even when Johnson is active and playing. His fantasy value is on the rise.
Mark Walton, Dolphins. Walton got most of the work at running back for the Dolphins last week and this could be a trend going forward with the team likely trading Kenyan Drake. Walton ran 14 times for 66 yards and caught a pass. He has 65-plus total yards two straight games. Walton isn’t the most dynamic back but any starter has fantasy value. He will get his touches and has some flex appeal.
Ty Johnson, Lions. Johnson is set to start for the Lions with Kerryon Johnson injured. Johnson hasn’t gotten a whole to of work to date, but has obvious potential in a starting role. He has some upside as a flex option for fantasy teams while starting, making him a top add at the running back spot for this coming week.
Alex Erickson, Bengals. Erickson is starting to get more and more chances in the Bengals offense, serving as the slot receiver for the team. He had his first 100-yard game last week, catching eight passes for 137 yards. He has 12 receptions his last two games and been targeted 20 times in those two games. He has some reception potential in his current role with the team.
Mohamed Sanu, Patriots. Sanu was traded to the Patriots, adding some much needed quality depth to the receiver corps for New England. It isn't certain the role Sanu will play for the Patriots, but he could end up getting a lot of work once he gets up to speed with the offense. Sanu is definitely worth a look for fantasy teams that need receiver help.
Zach Pascal, Colts. Pascal continues to emerge in the Colts offense, having his best game last week. He had six receptions for 106 yards and two touchdowns. Pascal has 50-plus yards three of his past four games. His role should continue to increase in this offense. The Colts really like his size and athletic ability.
Danny Amendola, Lions. Amendola had his second 100-yard game of the season last week, catching eight passes for 105 yards on 11 targets. He is up and down in this offense but is capable of the big game. If you want to take a chance on him in the right matchup, go for it.
Kenny Stills, Texans. Stills returned from his hamstring injury last week and had his best game of the season, catching four passes for 105 yards. This was his first 100-yard game of the year. Stills has 85-plus yards two of five games. Stills could have an even bigger role in the weeks ahead with Will Fuller hurt. Stills is our top receiver waiver wire target for the week.
Preston Williams, Dolphins. Williams had a season high in receptions (six) and yards (82) in Week 7. He has really emerged as a reliable target in the offense, having at least four receptions four of six games. And he looks like a better option with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting for the Dolphins.
Devante Parker, Dolphins. Parker found the end zone again last week, giving him scores in three straight games. He had a season-high 10 targets in Week 7. Parker is looking like a better fantasy option these days, finding the end zone while also getting some catches and yards. He has 50-plus yards three of four games and at least three receptions all of those games.
Eric Ebron, Colts. Ebron scored a touchdown last week and had a season high in yards with 70. He has touchdowns three of his last five games. Enron remains kind of a touchdown dependent player but that doesn't mean you should shy away from him. He has been dropped in some leagues, being available in 31 percent of leagues.
Irv Smith, Vikings. Smith had a career high five receptions last week and tied a high with 60 yards. He had double-digit fantasy points for the first time all season in Week 7. Kyle Rudolph is still around, but it seems a matter of time before Smith emerges as the top pass-catching tight end in this offense. Smith just brings a lot more to the table, making him worth a speculative add for fantasy teams.
Jimmy Graham, Packers. Graham has been a disappointment much of the season, not living up to some preseason hype. He has shown well at times, though. He scored his third touchdown of the season last week and topped 60 yards for the second time this season. Graham can produce the big game in this offense, so he is worth a look if you need tight end help. Graham was dropped in some leagues, being available in 25 percent of leagues.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
There remains no timetable for a potential return for Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker Ryan Shazier (back) as he rehabs from spinal stabilization surgery. Shazier has not played for the last two seasons, and it remains to be seen if he'll ever play again. His contract from the 2019 season will not toll over to 2020, but the Steelers continue to support his comeback efforts. If Shazier's contract expires, he will become a free agent when the new league year begins on March 18. The 27-year-old was a force in the middle of the field for the Steelers in the four seasons before his injury. We wouldn't bet against Shazier making a comeback, but it might not be for the Steelers.
Detroit Lions running back Ty Johnson won't be a guarantee to make the team's roster going into training camp, in the opinion of The Athletic's Chris Burke. Johnson, a sixth-round pick in 2019, ended his rookie season with 63 carries for 273 yards (4.3 yards per carry) and no touchdowns on the ground. The Lions notably didn't give him a very big workload when Kerryon Johnson was hurt last year either, and he'll have to compete with Bo Scarbrough, J.D. McKissic, Tra Carson and Wes Hills for depth behind Kerryon Johnson this summer. Even if he makes the roster out of camp, Johnson won't be guaranteed many touches as the second or third running back.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Bruce Arians said that the team remains undecided on whether to keep quarterback Jameis Winston or move on from the former first overall draft pick. Arians said they probably won't know what direction they are headed until the start of the three-day legal free-agent tampering period from March 16-18. If Tampa uses a franchise tag on Winston, he'll be guaranteed around $27 million on a one-year deal. The fact that the Buccaneers are waiting to see which quarterbacks become available doesn't really inspire much confidence that they want to retain him. Winston led the NFL with 5,109 passing yards and set a franchise record with 33 touchdown passes, but he also tossed a league-high 30 interceptions and lost five fumbles. With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin at receiver, Winston will have his highest fantasy value as a strong QB1 if he remains in Tampa, but that won't be up to him.
The New York Jets are highly unlikely to re-sign impending free-agent wide receiver Robby Anderson, according to league sources. Anderson is expected to receiver $13 to $15 million annually on a multi-year deal on the open market, but Gang Green would like to sign him for just $10 million annually. Because the 26-year-old will be one of the better receivers on the open market, his price will be driven up despite the fact that he had just 779 yards on 52 catches for five touchdowns. Anderson also has yet to produce a 1,000-yard season in four years in the NFL, but he will get paid, and it's unlikely to come from the Jets. The Temple alum could be a fantasy sleeper if he lands in the right situation next month.
Seattle Seahawks running back Rashaad Penny (knee), whose 2019 season ended in early December when he suffered a torn ACL, said he got back on an exercise bike earlier this week. The 24-year-old second-year back is ahead of schedule in his recovery, but he still might be a question mark to be ready for Week 1 in 2020. The former first-round pick could be a candidate for the Physically Unable to Perform list if he's not ready, which would keep him out the first six weeks. In 10 games for Seattle last year, Penny had 65 carries for 370 yards and three scores. If he can stay healthy for a full season, Penny has the skills to be relevant in all point-per-reception leagues. Monitor his progress this spring and through the summer.
Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback A.J. Bouye could be released this offseason to clear $11.4 million in salary cap space. Bouye has two interceptions the last two years, while Tre Herndon, who started opposite of Bouye when Jalen Ramsey was traded to the Rams, had three interceptions last season and will make $660,000 in 2020. Jacksonville could look to the draft in April to try and address their need for a new cornerback. Once one of the top secondaries in the NFL just several seasons ago, it has now become a weakness for the Jags.
The Jacksonville Jaguars must decide this offseason if they will pick up running back Leonard Fournette's $10.1 million fifth-year option for 2021. It's an interesting decision because they are limited for salary cap space, so they could decline the option and wait to see how he performs in 2020 before considering a contract extension. The 25-year-old had 265 carries for a career-high 1,152 yards, but he rushed for only three touchdowns in 15 games. It's Fournette's second 1,000-yard season in his three seasons. Despite the lack of TDs in 2019, he should be seen as an RB1 in a run-first offense next season. He has yet to play in a full season, though, so he's a bit risky as an RB1.
The Jacksonville Jaguars need to continue searching for a franchise quarterback. Rookie Gardner Minshew showed flashes in 2019, but he'll need to prove he's more than just a game manager in a larger sample size. The team could also seek to find a trade partner for Nick Foles, who flopped as a big free-agent acquisition in 2019. Because of the presence of Minshew on the roster, Foles likely doesn't have much of a future in Jacksonville, and his lack of mobility limits his production with Jacksonville's offensive line a work in progress. Foles broke his collarbone in the season opener and played in just four games while being benched after he returned from injury. Even if he wins the starting job heading into next season, he'll be a midrange QB2, at best.
San Francisco 49ers linebacker Kwon Alexander (biceps), who had surgery on his pectoral muscle last season, was also dealing with a biceps injury and is undergoing surgery on Friday, according to sources. Alexander should be fully recovered in time for the 2020 season. The 25-year-old played in just eight games in 2019 in his first season with San Fran because of his pectoral injury. In those eight contests, Alexander had 34 tackles (22 solo), half a sack, a forced fumble and an interception. He's played in just 14 games the last two seasons and will need to stay on the field if he wants to remain with the 49ers past the 2020 season.
The Washington Redskins released wide receiver Paul Richardson and cornerback Josh Norman on Friday. Richardson, 27, was due to make $6.5 million this year, but he caught just 48 passes in 17 games in his two seasons and made almost $17 million in that span. Norman, 32, played just 53 percent of the defensive snaps last season and fell down the depth chart late in the year for his poor play. He was scheduled to make $12 million in 2020. Norman didn't make one Pro Bowl in his four seasons in D.C. and had seven interceptions. Richardson could latch on elsewhere as a deep threat and bounce back, but he will need to stay healthy.
The Arizona Cardinals want to retain running back Kenyan Drake, who will be a free agent in March, and placing the franchise tag on him is a possibility if they don't sign him to a long-term deal. Drake took over the starting gig from the injured David Johnson after the trade from Miami, and Johnson would likely play second fiddle to Drake in the backfield if the Cardinals don't trade him. In eight games last year, Drake ran the ball 123 times for 643 yards (5.2 yards per carry) with a career-high eight touchdowns. He fits the Cardinals much better from a fantasy perspective than he did in Miami, despite Arizona's shaky offensive line. If Johnson is on another team come next season, Drake will have RB1 upside.
Arizona Cardinals general manager Steve Keim said that the team has had initial contract-extension talks with cornerback Patrick Peterson, who is heading into the final year of his contract. Peterson, a fifth overall pick in the 2011 draft, has been one of the best cover corners in his nine seasons in the NFL. He missed the first six games of last season due to suspension and finished 2019 with 53 total tackles (46 solo), one sack, one forced fumble and two interceptions. He had a falling out with Arizona recently, but he has gone back on trade demands and is willing to remain in the desert.
Arizona Cardinals general manager Steve Keim said that cutting running back David Johnson "is not an option." Keim also added that "you can't just have one back," and Kenyan Drake, who took over the starting role in the second half last year, is scheduled to be a free agent in March. Johnson ran the ball just 94 times for 345 yards (3.7 yards per carry) and two rushing touchdowns in 13 games last season. He battled nagging injuries that slowed him down and caused him to lose the starting job to Drake. The 28-year-old looked like a shell of his former self, one that ran for 1,239 yards and 16 touchdowns in 2016. Even if DJ returns in 2020, it seems unlikely that he'll be a bell-cow back with all of his injury concerns.
Los Angeles Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn said that quarterback Tyrod Taylor, last year's backup to Philip Rivers, could have an opportunity to win the starting job in 2020. "Tyrod Taylor is a heck of a quarterback," Lynn told AM 570 LA Sports. "We couldn't have a better backup right now, and now he has an opportunity to maybe step up into a starting role." Taking care of the football is a top priority for Lynn after Philip Rivers turned the ball over 23 times in 2019. In his last full season as a starter, Taylor turned the ball over just six times in 2017 while leading the Bills to the playoffs. Taylor can also add an element with his legs on the ground as a mobile quarterback. With the weapons around him if he's the starter, Taylor will have QB1 upside, but he'll be better off taken as a QB2 with upside in fantasy.
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson (hernia) recently underwent sports hernia surgery. A third-round pick in 2019, Johnson caught 59 passes on 92 targets for 680 yards and five touchdowns in a full season in his rookie year with Pittsburgh. He saw more opportunities during the year with JuJu Smith-Schuster banged up, but he was also hurt by poor quarterback play from Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges. If Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) returns healthy in 2020, Johnson could make quite the leap in his second season as the potential No. 2 receiver behind Smith-Schuster. He should be recovered in plenty of time to be ready for training camp this summer.
The Los Angeles Chargers agreed to a one-year contract extension with head coach Anthony Lynn that puts him with the team through the 2021 season. The Chargers are entering a transition now that they have officially moved on from veteran quarterback Philip Rivers, and they're expected to let running back Melvin Gordon walk in free agency as well. Tyrod Taylor could be under center for the Bolts, at least to start the 2020 season, but the Chargers could also upgrade the position through free agency, the draft or a trade. Lynn, 51, led the Chargers to a disappointing 5-11 last-place finish in the AFC West. He's 26-22 in his three years with LA.
Pittsburgh Steelers general manager Kevin Colbert said that "all signs are good to this point" with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (elbow), who will have a medical checkup on Feb. 21. The team's medical staff has constantly been working with Big Ben, and Colbert said Roethlisberger could be better than he was a year ago. The 37-year-old (38 in March) played in just two games in 2019 before requiring right elbow surgery. It will be tough for him to be better than he was in 2018 (5,129 yards, 34 touchdowns), but Big Ben could still have QB1 upside in 2020. The smart play is to take him as a QB2 with some upside in fantasy drafts, though. A healthy Big Ben will be great news for JuJu Smith-Schuster, who was a huge bust in 2019.
The Tennessee Titans agreed on a one-year contract extension with tight end Anthony Firkser on Thursday. Firkser was on track to become an exclusive-rights free agent in March. Financial terms of the deal weren't disclosed. The Harvard alum had two big touchdown catches in the playoffs and hauled in 14 passes for 204 yards and a touchdown in 15 games during the regular season. Firkser caught three passes for 45 yards and the two scores in the postseason. Tennessee might be moving on from veteran Delanie Walker this offseason, but even so, Firkser will likely back up Jonnu Smith in 2020, making him a fantasy afterthought.
Detroit Lions general manager Bob Quinn refuted a Wednesday night report that the team is in talks to trade quarterback Matthew Stafford. "100% False!!" Quinn wrote in a text message to the Free Press. Stafford is entering his 12th season in the NFL and threw for 2,499 yards, 19 touchdowns and five interceptions while setting a career-high passer rating in just eight games before suffering a back injury that caused him to miss the rest of the season. Detroit has the No. 3 pick in the draft, prompting speculation that they could move on from Stafford and select another QB. Stafford gives the Lions the best chance to win in 2020, and the team would incur a $32 million salary cap hit if they trade him.
Detroit Lions QB Matthew Stafford is the subject of trade rumors, but general manager Bob Quinn stated the rumors are '100 percent false.'
Fantasy Spin: Stafford was third in fantasy points per game at the position, but he missed half of the season. He'll be a midrange QB1 with some injury risk next season.