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From The Godfather: Week 10

Sat Nov 9 2:48pm ET
By CHARLIE WIEGERT
Contributing Writer

Six teams are on a bye this week: New England, Philadelphia, Houston, Denver, Washington and Jacksonville.  Some premier fantasy will be missing in lineups, who can you replace them with?

The Colts get the gimme game with the Dolphins coming to town, but T.Y. Hilton is out and Jacoby Brissett looks doubtful.  Their defense remains a good play.  The other matchup of bad teams meet in the battle of New York with the Giants playing the Jets. There is very little to get excited about there.

There are two matchups where a lot of offense is predicted, so playing the guys on these four teams makes sense: Arizona at Tampa Bay, and Atlanta at New Orleans.  Not far behind will be Kansas City at Tennessee, and Minnesota at Dallas.  

In one of the better good versus bad team matchups, Baltimore plays Cincinnati.  This should be a very one sided game.

Three Bengals have one of the worst defenses in the NFL against both the pass and rush, so Cincinnati has no chance to stop the potent Ravens offense.  Lamar Jackson should have a big day both rushing and passing. And the other Ravens players should put up big numbers - Mark Ingram, Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews.  Play them all!

Quarterbacks: Kyler Murray and the Cardinals travel to Tampa. The prize the Cardinals get is the Bucs defense.  Their secondary is in shambles, having allowed 300-passing yards and two touchdowns the last six games.  The rookie quarterback has a great chance to have one of his best days as a pro in this one.  And on the other side of the ball, Jameis Winston could put the ball up 40 times playing catch up.  You can safely play both quarterbacks. Arizona is really bad defending against tight ends. Could this be the day everyone has been waiting for from O.J. Howard?  I say no. Tampa Bay coach Bruce Arians doesn’t make up plays that go to tight ends, and I doubt he’ll start against his former team.

Drew Brees gets an easy game against a pitiful Falcons defense at home in what should another very one-sided game.

My sleeper quarterback pick is whoever starts for the Colts at home against Miami.  I think Brian Hoyer might have better day than banged up Jacoby Brissett, and I don’t think the Colts need him to dispose of the Dolphins.  It’d be smarter to give home the week off to heal.  If Hoyer starts, he makes a great DFS play.

Running Backs: David Montgomery has averaged 110 yards his last two games, and the way Mitch Trubisky has been playing, the key to victory for the Bears is to run him early and often against the Lions.  You can expect the big five - Christian McCaffery, Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara and Dalvin Cook - to all have the games you’d expect this week.

Devin Singletary has taken over the lead running back role in Buffalo, and he should have a really good day against a Cleveland rushing defense that is giving up over 120 yards per game.  

And the Colts are playing the Dolphins, so the Marlon Mack express should be chugging along.

Wide Receivers: Look at the quarterbacks above. The question is what receivers will they be throwing to?  I think Murray’s top receiver will be veteran Larry Fitzgerald, but Christian Kirk will have a good day, also.  It wouldn’t surprise me to see both top the century mark.  On the other side when James isn’t throwing to Arizona cornerbacks, I look for Chris Godwin to out-catch Mike Evans this week. The main reason is because Winston might want to stay away from Patrick Peterson, who likely shadows Evans.

The most consistent wide receiver this year has been Michael Thomas, and he’ll be Drew Brees’s favorite target this week.  To go with my sleeper pick with the Colts at quarterback, Zach Pascal will be on the receiving end for which ever quarterback plays.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce should have a good day against a questionable middle linebacker group in Tennessee, especially if Patrick Mahomes does indeed play.  And if George Kittle is healed enough to play for the 49ers against the Seahawks Monday night, it’s a great matchup for him, but right now he looks really risky.  My top pick this week is Atlanta’s Austin Hooper, especially if Matt Ryan is back at quarterback.  New Orleans has allowed the sixth most yards per catch to tight ends this year.

Defenses: The obvious three are Indianapolis (vs. Miami), Baltimore (vs. Cincinnati) and New Orleans (vs. Atlanta).  The Bears at home against the Lions are a good call, too. Look for them to get a pick six.

Charlie Wiegert was the sixth person to be inducted in the Fantasy Sports Hall Of Fame in 2001. He is a founder of CDM Fantasy Sports and Fantasy Sports Trade Association. He has been playing and winning fantasy baseball leagues since 1984. If you have any questions for Charlie, email them to cwiegert@cdmsports.com. Follow him on Twitter @GFFantasySports.

Player Notes
Kirk Cousins Dec 15 10:00pm ET

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins completed 19-of-25 for 207 yards and a touchdown in a dominating Week 15 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. He also added three rushes for 14 yards. He did toss an interception, but the blame for that one lays squarely on backup running back Ameer Abdullah. Cousins was very efficient again this week, but he simply didn't need to put up big fantasy numbers as the Vikings held a two-possession lead and heavily emphasized the ground game for most of the second half. His lone touchdown pass came on a one-yarder to Irv Smith Jr. to open up the game. Cousins will be on the low-end QB1 radar for Week 16's home matchup against the Green Bay Packers.

From RotoBaller

Washington Redskins Dec 15 10:00pm ET

The Washington Redskins Defense ended a three-game streak of playing admirably in Sunday's loss to the Eagles. Carson Wentz launched three touchdowns through the air, while Miles Sanders racked up 172 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns of his own. The Redskins didn't help their bottom line with turnovers and sacks the way they have been of late, getting to Wentz just twice and recovering one forced fumble. The end result was 31 points surrendered defensively and not enough complementary stats to account for those points in fantasy lineups. Washington's defense will have a chance to bounce back against the Giants at home next week.

From RotoBaller

Kyle Rudolph Dec 15 10:00pm ET

Minnesota Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph caught all three of his targets for 48 yards in Week 15's 39-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. Rudolph finished second in targets and receiving yardage on the team this week as he surprisingly remained relevant despite Adam Thielen's return. Rookie Irv Smith Jr. vultured a one-yard touchdown in the first quarter, but Rudolph's continued involvement in the offense is definitely encouraging. Continue to view him as a touchdown-dependent TE2 heading into Week 16 against the Green Bay Packers.

From RotoBaller

Kelvin Harmon Dec 15 9:50pm ET

Washington Redskins wide receiver Kelvin Harmon was largely absent from his team's offensive attack for the second week in a row on Sunday. Harmon caught two passes on three targets and accumulated just 22 total yards in a loss to the Eagles. This is a discouraging trend for Harmon after he appeared to be carving out a spot in the pecking order in late November and early December. In any case, the fantasy season is at the point where owners just have to trust what their eyes are telling them. Harmon has dropped too far off the map to be considered a realistically safe bet in the late stages of the fantasy playoffs.

From RotoBaller

Austin Seibert Dec 15 9:40pm ET

Cleveland Browns kicker Austin Seibert hit one of his two field goals in a 38-24 loss to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15. Seibert also tacked on three extra points in the loss. The rookie kicker missed a 45-yard field goal at the beginning of the fourth quarter, his fourth missed field goal of the season. In all, Seibert has been a reliable kicker for the Browns this season, although their poor offense has limited his scoring chances. Seibert will not be a recommended fantasy option in Week 16 against a tough Baltimore Ravens Defense.

From RotoBaller

Adam Thielen Dec 15 9:40pm ET

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen was quiet in his return, catching all three of his targets for 27 yards in a 39-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. He added one rush for three yards. The Vikings only attempted five passes in the second half as they held a solid lead shortly after halftime, severely limiting Thielen's chances at a big game. Stefon Diggs was actually the only receiver to see more than three targets in the contest and Irv Smith Jr. caught the only receiving touchdown. The good news is that Thielen appeared fully healthy, and he can be utilized as a WR2 in next week's crucial tilt with the Green Bay Packers.

From RotoBaller

Cleveland Browns Dec 15 9:40pm ET

The Cleveland Browns Defense struggled in a 38-24 loss to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15. In addition to coughing up 38 points, Cleveland managed just one turnover and was unable to notch a sack in the loss, despite Arizona's offense line being one of the league leaders in quarterback sacks allowed this season. Things will get much worse for Cleveland's defense in Week 16 as they will try to limit a red-hot Baltimore Ravens offense. They will be a unit to avoid in fantasy for the fantasy championship round.

From RotoBaller

Brandin Cooks Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Brandin Cooks caught four receptions for 46 yards in Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys. The four catches were all he had in the last three games entering the contest. He was third on team with eight targets. It was nice that he re-emerged as a target in the offense, but he's still not an option in fantasy against the San Francisco 49ers next week.

From RotoBaller

Robert Woods Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Robert Woods had four catches for 17 yards on nine targets in Week 15. The Dallas Cowboys did their homework and made him a non-factor. He was second on the team in targets. Next week will be even more of a chore against the San Francisco 49ers. Woods will be a WR3 option in the matchup.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Higbee Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Los Angeles Rams tight end Tyler Higbee had a game-high 12 catches for 111 yards in Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys. He was targeted 14 times in the game, which led all players. He has 26 catches for 334 yards and one score the last three games as he has emerged as a TE1. He'll have a solid matchup against the San Francisco 49ers next week as a midrange TE1.

From RotoBaller

Greg Zuerlein Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Los Angeles Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein had a single extra point in the blowout loss to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 15. He'll have a decent matchup against the San Francisco 49ers next week, and Zuerlein will be a low-end kicker option.

From RotoBaller

Aaron Donald Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Los Angeles Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald had three tackles (one solo) in Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys. He was unable to land a sack in the game. He'll have a midrange matchup against the San Francisco 49ers next week as a low-end DL1.

From RotoBaller

Ricky Seals-Jones Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Cleveland Browns tight end Ricky Seals-Jones had a big game against his former team in Week 15. Seals-Jones caught three of his four targets for 29 yards and two touchdowns in a 38-24 loss to the Arizona Cardinals, furthering Arizona's season-long struggles against the tight end. David Njoku was a surprise pregame scratch, which helped lead to a larger role for Seals-Jones. Regardless of what happens with Njoku in Week 16, none of the Cleveland tight ends will be recommended options against a tough Baltimore Ravens Defense.

From RotoBaller

Terry McLaurin Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Washington Redskins wide receiver Terry McLaurin hauled in all five of the passes thrown his way on Sunday, producing 130 yards and a touchdown. McLaurin's two best fantasy outings of the year have now both come against the Eagles, so Philly is likely happy to be finished with him until 2020. The Redskins' number-one receiver has scored in back-to-back weeks, and has put up serviceable PPR numbers in three of his last four. He remains in the starting conversation for all formats, especially for those fantasy owners who've been hit with injuries to WRs lately.

From RotoBaller

Stefon Diggs Dec 15 9:30pm ET

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Stefon Diggs caught four of six targets for 76 yards in a resounding 39-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. He also added one rush for four yards in the victory. Diggs hauled in his 13th reception of at least 30 yards (most in the NFL) on a nice 46-yard catch in the fourth quarter, setting up an eight-yard Mike Boone touchdown. Diggs clearly could have had a bigger game if the Chargers had been able to keep it close, but the Vikings threw just five times in the second half with the outcome already determined. Diggs has emerged as one of the top deep threats in the NFL and should remain a high-upside WR2 in Week 16 against the Green Bay Packers.

From RotoBaller

Chandler Jones Dec 15 9:20pm ET

Arizona Cardinals linebacker Chandler Jones had five solo tackles and a sack against the Cleveland Browns Sunday. He has at least a half-sack in six straight games, but he has had five or more tackles in just four games this season. So it's a risk to use him against the Seattle Seahawks next week, but he'll be a low-end LB1 option.

From RotoBaller

Budda Baker Dec 15 9:20pm ET

Arizona Cardinals safety Budda Baker had seven tackles (five solo) in Week 15 against the Cleveland Browns. Baker has been a solid DB1 in individual defensive player leagues all season, but he has fizzled out a bit. He's good for tackles, but he doesn't do much else. He'll be a low-end DB1 against the Seattle Seahawks next week.

From RotoBaller

Odell Beckham Jr. Dec 15 9:20pm ET

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. caught eight of his 13 targets for 66 scoreless yards in a 38-24 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. On the plus side, Beckham's 13 targets are the most he's seen in a game all season. That being said, he failed to cash in on a dream matchup against an extremely ineffective Arizona secondary. Beckham is still stuck on just two touchdowns this season. His career-low in that category is three, which came in 2017 when he played in just four games. Beckham will be tough to trust in Week 16 against a tough Baltimore defense.

From RotoBaller

Jared Goff Dec 15 9:20pm ET

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff went 33-for-51 for 284 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in Week 15. The Rams were never in the game, and Goff was forced to throw for the entirety. Goff will face off against the San Francisco 49ers Saturday in Week 16. The 49ers haven't been as stout against opposing quarterbacks of late, and Goff will be a low-end QB1.

From RotoBaller

Jarvis Landry Dec 15 9:20pm ET

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jarvis Landry turned in a slow outing in a 38-24 loss to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15. Landry caught five of his eight targets for just 23 yards in the loss. The slow outing goes down as a big letdown after Landry had been an extremely consistent fantasy option for much of the season. The slot receiver also got into an argument with head coach Freddie Kitchens early in the fourth quarter after a missed field goal. Things won't get much easier for Landry as he draws a tough Week 16 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens.

From RotoBaller