Wed Nov 13 10:28am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Carr can shine in Week 11
Well, it is do or die for many teams at this point of the season. Some teams need a win in the worst way to keep their playoff hopes alive. Time is running out for a lot of teams. Hopefully, your team is in position for a long playoff run. But if not, now is the time to make your move. There is still hope if you are sitting outside the playoffs. Things can turn around in a hurry. Don’t give up yet but get on that winning streak now.
Now for my random thoughts for the week. . . . .
I didn’t think there would be a player for a long time that could match Patrick Mahomes when it comes to excitement on the field, but I think Lamar Jackson rivals him as one of the most dynamic players in the league. Jackson sure is fun to watch. He is appointment television in my view. I just love watching this guy play. Mahomes and Jackson are quite the draw for the NFL. They are two of the big reasons why so many fans watch this game. And from a fantasy perspective, they are my top two fantasy quarterbacks right now. Not too shabby.
I said this earlier this season, but I don’t care how many times he turns the ball over. Jameis Winston is one of the top fantasy quarterbacks in the game. He is rated fifth overall at quarterback. He has four straight 300-yard games and six total this season. He also has touchdowns every game and multiple scores five games. His consistency in this pass-first offense makes him a great weekly start. He can turn the ball over every game as long as he keeps producing when on the field.
Don’t forget about Nick Foles. He is back in the starting lineup this week and takes over the starting duties for a team that has enjoyed plenty of success this year throwing the ball. Foles was looking good in Week 1 before getting hurt, going 5-of-8 for 75 yards and a touchdown. I think he could be a fantasy factor the rest of the way. Gardner Minshew is rated 13th overall at quarterback, so I think Foles can at least match that production for the Jaguars He certainly has the track record to do so.
If Tyler Lockett misses any time because of his leg injury, which seems very possible, I think D.K. Metcalf can be a legit No. 1 for fantasy teams while Lockett is out. Metcalf is showing signs of playing a bigger role in the offense to begin with, which is a great sign. He was targeted a season high 10 times last week and has six receptions each of his last two games. The rookie is a big-time talent that can be a big mismatch for defenses. I would be very excited to have him on my roster the rest of the way. I think good things are coming for Metcalf.
I would be worried if I had any Rams on my team. This team is trending the wrong way, mainly because Jared Goff has taken a step backwards this year. He just isn't playing near the level of last year. Cooper Kupp didn’t even catch a pass last week. Todd Gurley has been a disappointment all season. Things just have’t gone as expected for the Rams this year. The team does play well at home and against weaker defenses, but road matchups and tough defenses are their kryptonite.
I think the season of Allen Robinson is really being overlooked. This guy is having some kind of year if you consider Mitchell Trubisky is throwing him the ball. Trubisky is a train wreck, but Robinson is still 15th overall in fantasy receiver scoring. He has at least five receptions all but two games. I would love to see Robinson with a great quarterback throwing him the ball. He is a special talent at the receiver spot.
David Johnson just doesn’t look healthy. He played last week but obviously wasn’t 100 percent in the game. He had five carries for two yards. Kenyan Drake ended up getting more work and that should be the case going forward until Johnson is near his old self. For now, I think Johnson belongs on fantasy benches. I just don’t trust him. Remember, he has 40 or fewer rushing yards six of the eight games he has played. The only thing saving him all year was his work in the passing game.
As always, don’t forget to check out my weekly rankings here: Week 11 rankings.
News and Notes: The Ravens signed defensive tackles Domata Peko and Justin Ellis on Tuesday. The team is looking to add some depth at the position because of injury. Both veteran players could find their way in the rotation in the near future. . . . . Quarterback Colin Kaepernick is scheduled to hold a private workout for NFL teams in Atlanta on Saturday. The session will reportedly include an on-field workout as well as an interview.
Derek Carr, QB, Raiders. Carr didn’t have a great game last week but his numbers have been solid all season. He has multiple touchdowns five of his last seven games and 240-plus passing yards five games. He has been getting it done for his fantasy owners, especially of late. He has 20-plus fantasy points three of four games. Expect his good production to continue this week against the Bengals. Cincinnati allows the fourth most fantasy points to quarterbacks and rank 22nd overall against the pass.
Curtis Samuel, WR, Panthers. Samuel continues to find the end zone, scoring a touchdown last week. He has scores three of four games. His yardage numbers aren’t great but he is getting his catches and finding the end zone. Samuel has at least three receptions every game. He can find the end zone again this week against the Falcons, a team that has allowed 19-passing touchdowns. The Falcons allow the sixth most fantasy points to receivers.
Melvin Gordon, RB, Chargers. Gordon finally got it going on the ground last week, rushing 22 times for 108 yards and a touchdown. He has scores four straight games and topped 100 total yards two straight. He is round into form at a good time for fantasy owners. He should keep up his hot ways this week against the Chiefs. Kansas City allows the second most fantasy points to running backs and rank 31st overall against the run.
Devin Singletary, RB, Bills. Singletary didn’t do much last week but his chances weren’t off the charts. He ran just eight times for 42 yards. He did catch three passes, though, giving him at least three receptions three straight games. Singletary is the top back in this offense right now and should lead the team in touches again this week against the Dolphins. Miami is 30th against the rush, allowing 146-rushing yards per game. The Dolphins allow the seventh most fantasy points to running backs.
Courtland Sutton, WR, Broncos. Sutton might have a new quarterback throwing to him, but he continues to produce. He found the end zone his last time out and has at least three receptions every game this year. He also has more than 55 yards in all but a game. His numbers have been very consistent as the top receiver for the Broncos. Expect continued success this week against the Vikings, a team that has struggled to stop the pass. Minnesota allows the third most fantasy points to receivers.
Jordan Howard, RB, Eagles. Howard is playing his best football right now. He has scores two straight and 80-plus rushing yards each of those games. His value is trending up. But even with that all said, Howard can produce poorly at times. He has fewer than 10 fantasy points five games and has one or no receptions six of nine games. His lack of work in the passing game really hurts his fantasy value, especially when he goes up against a good rush defense. And the Patriots have a solid rush defense. New England is 11th against the run and allowed just five rushing touchdowns this year.
Stefon Diggs, WR, Vikings. Diggs is back on one of his cold streaks. He has fewer than 50 yards two straight games. He has six games with fewer than 50 yards this season, producing wildly inconsistent numbers for his fantasy owners. He is always capable of the huge game, so he is tough to sit. But expect some mediocre production at times, especially this week against the Broncos. Denver has been very good against the pass, allowing the third fewest fantasy points to receivers.
Jared Goff, QB, Rams. Goff is a mes right now. He even lost out on some playing time to Blake Bortles last week, which isn’t a great sign for him. Goff didn’t score a touchdown last week and has one or no scores four of nine games. He has just one three-touchdown game this season. Goff has not come near his production of last season. He plays better at home but it is tough to start him this week because of his recent play and a matchup against the Bears. Chicago allows the seventh fewest fantasy points quarterbacks.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals. Fitzgerald tied a season high with eight receptions last week. He has at least five receptions all but three games. Unfortunately, those three games came the last four weeks. His play has dipped some in recent weeks. He really struggled against the 49ers two weeks back, catching four passes for 38 yards. He plays this same San Francisco team this week. The 49ers allow the fifth fewest fantasy points to receivers and are first overall against the pass.
Phillip Lindsay, RB, Broncos. Lindsay had 92 yards and a score his last time but had just nine touches in the game. This was a season low for Lindsay. This was the first time all year that Lindsay didn’t have double-digit touches in a game. Lindsay has struggled a little more in recent weeks, having fewer than 60-rushing yards two of three games. He could have more issues this week against a Vikings defense that shutdown Ezekiel Elliott last week. Minnesota allows the fifth fewest fantasy points to running backs and rank seventh overall against the run.
Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers. Samuel had the first 100-yard game of his career last week. He was targeted 11 times in the game, getting a ton of chances with Emmanuel Sanders banged up. Sanders could miss time, making Samuel the likely top target in the passing game. Samuel has at least three receptions three straight games. HIs production has been trending up, having 18 targets his last two games. He should get plenty of chances again this week against the Cardinals. Arizona is 31st against the pass, allowing 287-passing yards per game. Samuel is a good injury replacement or bye-week fill-in for Week 11.
Kyle Allen, QB, Panthers. Allen had the first 300-yard game of his career last week. And he did this on the road against a good Packers defense. Allen continues to gain confidence as the starter for the Panthers and his play seems to get better every week. He has three multiple touchdown games and 225-plus passing yards five of seven games. He can help as a spot starter in the right matchup. And a game this week against the Falcons is a good one for Allen. Atlanta did hold Drew Brees in check last week, but don’t look into that too much. The Saints just stalled in the red zone, but moved the ball well through the air. Atlanta is 25th against the pass and allow the fifth most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Brian Hill, RB, Falcons. Hill gets the start this week with Devonta Freeman hurting. He has been trending up even with Freeman on the field. Hill has scores two straight games and a season-high 71 total yards last week. Hill has some total yardage potential in a starting role and could be a good flex option in Week 11. Hill gets the Panthers, a team that allows the fourth most fantasy points to running backs.
Randall Cobb, WR, Cowboys. Cobb had his first 100-yard game of the season last week. He also scored a touchdown for the first time since Week 1. Cobb has at least six receptions two straight games. He is getting a few more looks in recent weeks, which is encouraging for his fantasy value. He has some value as a spot starter, especially if the Cowboys continue to have struggles running the ball. Cobb has a matchup to continue his solid play, getting the Lions. Detroit is 28th against the run and allow 26 points per game.
Gerald Everett, TE, Rams. Everett continues to emerge as a low-end No. 1 tight end. He had a season-high eight receptions last week. He has been targeted double-digit times three of five games. He isn’t a sure thing because of some up and down production, but is worth using as a streamer. He gets the Bears this week, a team that has struggled to stop the tight end. Chicago allows the fifth most fantasy points to tight ends. So despite what looks like a tough matchup for the Rams passing game, Everett is a good play in this one. He could get a lot of looks.
High/Low Scoring Games
Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low scoring games for the coming week. In high scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.
High Scoring Games: Cowboys/Lions, Saints/Bucs, Falcons/Panthers, Texans/Ravens, Chiefs/Chargers.
Low Scoring Games: Broncos/Vikings, Jets/Redskins.
Bye Weeks: Packers, Giants, Seahawks, Titans.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Los Angeles Chargers defensive lineman Melvin Ingram was behind the only happy moment for the Chargers Defense on Sunday as they got otherwise got thrashed by the Vikings. Late in the second quarter, with LA trailing by just two points, Ingram snagged a poorly-thrown pass to nab the only positive turnover of the day for the Chargers. The team would go on to give the ball away seven times, and their defense was wholly outmatched throughout the entire contest as they fell by a final score of 39-10. The Chargers defense is usually better than that, as that was the first game this season where the team lost by more than one score. Look for them to bounce back against the Raiders next week.
The Los Angeles Chargers aren't a great football team this season, but it's hardly the fault of wide receiver Mike Williams. Williams put up another strong day with 71 receiving yards and a touchdown on Sunday, but LA got blasted by the Minnesota Vikings. Williams' score was the only touchdown of the day for the Chargers, who committed seven turnovers in the loss. Williams is now at 912 receiving yards on the season, and he'll likely eclipse the 1,000-yard notch before the season is out, joining teammate Keenan Allen in the club. The third-year wideout has proven this season that he can be a superstar in this league, though he's also reinforced that superstar wide receivers don't necessarily translate to team success at the same time.
Los Angeles Chargers tight end Hunter Henry did something in Week 15 that he hasn't done since the second game of his NFL career: cough up a fumble. After catching a pass deep in his own territory early in the fourth quarter, a defender stuck his hand right into the ball as he dragged Henry to the ground, and the ball popped out and straight into the waiting arms of another Vikings defender. Fortunately, Henry's mistake wasn't a back-breaking one since the Chargers were already down 22 points at the time and committed six other turnovers on the day. Henry will look to get back on track when the team hosts the Raiders next week.
Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler was one of a couple members of the Chargers team that still looked like a stud on Sunday, even though his team was getting run over by the Vikings. Ekeler rushed seven times for 19 yards and caught five passes for another 62 yards while remaining turnover-free. Unfortunately, Ekeler wasn't able to find the end zone, but the 81 scrimmage yards are still a nice consolation prize. Ekeler has been one of the team's standout players this year even though they've been a downtrodden squad overall. A wonderful playmaker, Ekeler has added a lot of fun and excitement to an otherwise disappointing team.
Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen hasn't been the loudest receiver on the block this season, but he's still put in the work and ground his way up over the 1,000-yard mark once again. Allen topped the millennial mark in Week 15 by posting nine catches for 99 yards in the team's blowout loss to Minnesota. Allen ranks fifth in the league in receptions and 11th in yards, though his five touchdowns are tied for second-fewest amongst 1,000-yard wideouts this year. It's hard to believe how bad the Chargers team has been this season with how well Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler have played for the entire season, but it's evidence that big numbers to those guys don't necessarily translate to wins.
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers flip-flopped back to the bad setting on Sunday when he threw three interceptions and lost a fumble against the Vikings. Rivers did rack up 307 passing yards in the blowout loss, but his four turnovers were a large part of why LA got demolished. The rest of the squad coughed up three more turnovers to cause the team to tie the all-time record for most turnovers in a single game. Rivers is third in the league in passing yards, but his 18 interceptions are second-most as well. The yards are nice, but the turnovers are more than a little responsible for the team's woeful record. With all attention turned to next year's draft, the question will now be whether the team will turn to Tyrod Taylor in the final two games or if Rivers will even get to finish out the season.
Los Angeles Chargers running back Melvin Gordon was one of the team's primary sources of turnovers on Sunday as he coughed up the ball on two separate occasions, both times deep in his own territory. Gordon is usually one of the most sure-handed backs in the league, and he's never lost two fumbles in a single game before this week. In fact, he's only fumbled twice three other times in his career, and it's only happened one other time since his rookie season. The Chargers were stomped in every facet of the game on Sunday, so Gordon's fumbles were just one of the many issues the team had. Hopefully, he'll be able to bounce back from them and light up Oakland next week.
Seattle Seahawks tight end Jacob Hollister caught all three passes slung his way on Sunday, but they only added up to 23 yards and no scores. Hollister burst onto the scene earlier this year when Will Dissly hit the IR with a torn Achilles, but he's cooled down as the weeks have gone on. He's faced a few tough matchups, but he's also having to deal with the thing all players struggle with at some point, which is that teams are starting to adjust to him. As teams get tape on opposing players, they learn their moves, they learn their sets, and they start to account for them. The test will now be whether Hollister can make the appropriate adjustments to his game to get more chances. That remains to be seen.
Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers drilled a 30-yarder in Sunday's win over the Panthers to improve to five straight games without missing a field goal. Unfortunately, he faded his first extra point attempt into the right upright, giving him a missed XP for the second week in a row. That said, he made the other three on the day to finish with a solid performance. He finished the season 12-of-13 on field goals on the road, and he has yet to miss from inside the 40-yard line all year. Myers is no Justin Tucker, but he's been a solid kicking addition for the Seahawks this season.
Seattle Seahawks rookie wide receiver D.K. Metcalf made a strong leaping catch over his man late in the first quarter to bring in his sixth touchdown of the season on Sunday. Metcalf climbed the ladder to snag the perfectly placed pass by Russell Wilson, giving him his first score in six weeks. Metcalf was only targeted four times in the day, one of which was on an ill-fated trick play pass thrown by Josh Gordon where Metcalf was double covered and not open in any way, shape, or form. With Tyler Lockett rounding back into form, Metcalf will likely recede back into being a home run hitter more often than not, but he's proven that he can work as a possession receiver when needed.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett seemed to finally be healthy as he ripped apart the Carolina Panthers Defense on Sunday. Lockett hauled in eight of the nine passes thrown his way for 120 yards and a touchdown, giving him his first big game in six weeks. Surprisingly enough, Lockett told reporters after the game that his shin contusion and the lingering flu bug are actually still impacting him, which was an unexpected confession after such a big performance. With Lockett nearing full strength, Seattle becomes a lot more dangerous team heading into the playoffs. Expect Lockett to be a main part of their offense week-in and week-out as he nears 1,000 receiving yards for the first time in his career.
The Seattle Seahawks are never boring, and they're certainly not predictable when it comes to players like wide receiver Josh Gordon. Coming into Sunday's game against Carolina, Gordon had caught all of six passes for the Seahawks so far in four weeks with the team, and he had only been targeted 10 times. In Week 15, Gordon was only targeted once, but it was for a 58-yard bomb that was an absolutely magnificent throw by Russell Wilson. Ever more surprisingly, the newest and rarely-used member of the squad was then tagged late in the third quarter to be the passer in a trick play. Gordon promptly threw a deep interception into double coverage. Maybe they'll have him do an onside kick next week.
With one of his best performances of the year, Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson helped lead Seattle to the win over Carolina on Sunday. While Wilson's 286 yards and two touchdowns weren't the type of flashy numbers that folks love to see from the QBs nowadays, his solid approach included a 77% completion rate and his second-highest passer rating of the season. Wilson had been coming off the back of some recent sub-par performances, so this was a welcome change of pace. He also led Seattle to a 7-1 road record this year, the best in their franchise history. Wilson has clearly been surpassed by Lamar Jackson in the MVP race, but he's still a huge part of why the Seahawks have already clinched a playoff berth.
Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson was tasked with being the solo shot in the backfield once again after Rashaad Penny hit the IR with a torn ACL, and he came to play. Carson destroyed the Panthers Defense on Sunday as he carried the ball 24 times for 133 yards, a new career-high. He also ran in a pair of touchdowns and exploded for huge yardage on the regular against the Panthers. He's now at 1,190 rushing yards this season, another career-high, and he'll be expected to remain one of the focal points of Seattle's offense for the rest of the season. Expect the Seahawks' success to ride heavily on his shoulders as the regular season winds up and the postseason begins.
The Seattle Seahawks Defense came up big with a win over Carolina even though they were banged up to start the game and lost more firepower as the game went on. Already missing Jadeveon Clowney (flu) and Mychal Kendricks (hamstring), Seattle lost both Bobby Wagner and Quandre Diggs to sprained ankles during the game. Afterwards, Wagner told reporters that his ankle was fine and was cracking jokes while walking without a limp, but head coach Pete Carroll said Diggs' injury seemed to be more serious. Diggs may miss next week's game against Arizona.
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson tied for the team lead in catches in Week 15, coming down with five catches for 62 yards. He was targeted seven times, good for second on the team. Johnson made some big plays in this one and should be primed for another good game next week against the Jets secondary.
Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Nick Vannett played well in Week 15, catching five passes for 40 yards. He was targeted six times. With Vance McDonald (concussion) forced to miss the game, Vannett was the main tight end for the Steelers offense. His five catches tied for the team lead in catches. He'll be a solid TE2 with a decent floor for as long as McDonald is out.
The Pittsburgh Steelers Defense was okay against the Buffalo Bills in a Week 15 loss. They allowed 17 points, but recorded a sack and an interception. The Steelers defensive unit will have a better matchup in Week 16 against a scuffling New York Jets team. They'll be a solid fantasy option for fantasy championship week.
Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Devlin Hodges did not play well in a Week 15 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Hodges completed 23 of his 38 pass attempts for 202 yards and one touchdown. He threw four interceptions, some at critical times in the game. The Steelers take on the Jets next week and should fare slightly better through the air, but Hodges still won't be much of a fantasy option for the fantasy championships.
The Buffalo Bills Defense was excellent in a Week 15 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. They recovered a fumble, collected four interceptions, allowed just 10 points, and got four sacks. It was an all-around impressive performance by Buffalo, who will have a tougher contest next week against the New England Patriots.