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FFL: Preseason | NFL: Week 1

RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 7

Fri Oct 22 11:08am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

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Rodgers is worth high price tag


We have a limited number of options in DFS for Week 7 since six teams will be on a bye. They have some of the most prolific offenses, as well, including the Bills, Cowboys and Chargers. Let’s dive into the teams that will take the field and highlight some players from them to target, as well as a few to potentially avoid.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers, GB vs. WAS ($7,500): With the Bears struggling to score last week, the Packers didn’t need much production from Rodgers. He only attempted 23 passes in the game, completing 17 of them for 195 yards and two touchdowns. Since their Week 1 debacle against the Saints, Rodgers has thrown 12 touchdown passes and just one interception. Washington has allowed a league-high 16 touchdown passes, so another big performance could be forthcoming.

Jameis Winston, NO at SEA ($5,500): When you think of the Seahawks over the past decade, a strong defense is what usually comes to mind. However, they have anything but one this season, especially against the pass since they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game. At this cheap salary, Winston could be worth taking a chance on in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

Derek Carr, LV vs. PHI ($6,000): With his 341 passing yards against the Broncos in Week 6, Carr has thrown for over 340 yards in four of six games. However, he hasn’t topped more than two touchdown passes in a contest and he’s also thrown four interceptions. In a matchup against an Eagles defense that has allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, it might be best to keep Carr out of your entry.

Running Backs

Darrell Henderson Jr., LAR vs. DET ($6,600): The Lions defense is a mess. Add in an offense that generally has a hard time scoring and they can dig themselves into an early hole. That often sets up a game script that is favorable to the opposing running backs, so it’s not a surprise that they have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. Enter Henderson, who has been on the field for 79.7 percent of the Rams’ offensive snaps this season.

Darrell Williams, KC at TEN ($5,000): Williams was busy in the Chiefs first game without Clyde Edwards-Helaire (knee), carrying the ball 21 times against Washington. He wasn’t overly efficient, turning them into 62 yards. However, he received six carries inside the red zone, which helped him to score two touchdowns. The Titans have allowed seven rushing touchdowns, which is tied for the fifth-most in the league. Don’t be surprised if Williams finds his way into the end zone at least one time in this contest.

Player to Avoid

Devontae Booker, NYG vs. CAR ($5,500): The Giants are a mess. They continue to have one injury after another, most of which have come on the offensive side of the ball. Filling in for Saquon Barkley (ankle), Booker only had 12 carries for 41 yards against the Cowboys. Their offensive line took another hit when Andrew Thomas (ankle/foot) was placed on IR and they remain banged up at wide receiver, so they could have a difficult time moving the ball against a Panthers team that has only allowed an average of 20.2 points per game.

Wide Receivers

Davante Adams, GS vs. WAS ($8,900): With the Packers not throwing much last week, Adams only received five targets. He made the most of them, finishing with four receptions for 89 yards. He has eight red-zone targets this season and already has four games with at least nine total targets, so with how many passing touchdowns Washington has allowed, a Rodgers-Adams stack could prove to be profitable.

Darnell Mooney, CHI at TB ($4,700): Mooney hauled in his first touchdown reception of the season in Week 6. He finished with five receptions for 45 yards, marking his fourth game this season with at least five catches. If the Bears are going to have any chance of hanging with the Buccaneers, they will likely need to throw the ball a lot more than they are accustomed. Add in the Bucs allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game and Mooney could be worth a look in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

Marquise Brown, BAL vs. CIN ($5,800): The last two weeks were a perfect example of the highs and lows that can accompany Brown in DFS. In Week 5, he torched the Colts for nine catches, 125 yards and two touchdowns. Last week, he had a mere four catches for 35 yards against the Chargers. With the Bengals only allowing an average of 18.5 points per game, we might receive another underwhelming stat line from Brown.

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz, ARI vs. HOU ($3,900): Before landing on IR with a knee injury, Maxx Williams had been a productive member of the Cardinals’ potent offense. Through five games, he had 16 receptions for 193 yards and a touchdown. With him likely being out for the season, the Cardinals acted quickly by acquiring Ertz from the Eagles. No longer having to share his tight end position with Dallas Goedert, Ertz could be in line for a resurgence in production.

Ricky Seals-Jones, WAS at GB ($3,700): With Logan Thomas (hamstring) out, Washington has relied heavily on Seals-Jones. Over the last two games, he’s logged 98.7 percent and 100 percent of their offensive snaps, respectively. The result was nine catches for 99 yards and a touchdown. At this cheap salary, his secure playing time makes him very appealing.

Player to Avoid

Evan Engram, NYG vs. CAR ($3,600): Engram has been a massive disappointment with the Giants. Whether it’s been because of injuries, poor play or their inability to figure out how to better utilize him in the offense, his tenure with the franchise might be over soon. Even with their wide receiver group decimated last week, Engram only had three receptions for 24 yards. With Ertz and Seals-Jones in his same salary range, there’s no need to take a chance on Engram.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

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DeAndre Hopkins Apr 23 12:00am ET
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Zach Wilson Apr 22 6:13pm ET
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Dynasty | Quarterback Zach Wilson has been traded to Denver along with a seventh round pick in exchange for a sixth round pick. Dynasty Analysis: The Jets and Broncos will reportedly split the $5.5 million Wilson is due this season. The former #2 overall pick is acquired for what amounts to a 53 spot draft slot-swap in the final rounds of this year's draft. It's a precipitous fall for a player who was once thought of as the savior of the franchise in New York. Denver is an interesting landing spot on paper and reports indicate they've been trying to get Wilson for weeks. The Broncos sit at #12 overall in the draft and that likely won't be high enough for Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels or even JJ McCarthy. If they stand pat and can't secure a quarterback, the room will include Wilson, Ben DiNucci and Jarrett Stidham. Could they really go into a season like this? At this point, Wilson has a little life in his dynasty value but that's subject to change later this week.

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Matt Ryan Apr 22 6:13pm ET
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Ladd McConkey Apr 22 5:00pm ET
Ladd McConkey

University of Georgia wide receiver Ladd McConkey has seemingly been rising up draft boards since his impressive showing at the 2024 NFL Combine, and he is now favored to be a first-round pick, according to DraftKings Sportsbook's odds. DraftKings gives the 22-year-old -105 odds to be one of the first 32 players off the board. In three seasons with the Bulldogs, the speedster collected 119 receptions for 1,687 yards and 14 touchdowns and rushed 13 times for 216 yards and four scores. He also averaged 13.3 yards per punt return on 21 attempts. He's a dynamic and versatile weapon with real route-running juice, so WR-needy teams like the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, and Buffalo Bills could be interested in pushing the draft button on him late in the first round on Thursday.

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Brandon Aiyuk Apr 22 4:40pm ET
Brandon Aiyuk

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk has not formally requested a trade from the organization, but he is still in the thick of trade rumors this offseason. When asked whether or not the team has received calls regarding a trade for Aiyuk, General Manager John Lynch said "Sure. We receive calls for a lot of players." That's a vague answer and does not give fantasy managers clarity on the situation, but it's worth noting teams have reached out. Aiyuk posted a career-high 1,342 receiving yards and seven touchdowns last season despite ranking 28th in total targets (125). With Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Nick Bosa, and Fred Warner either on or set to receive expensive contracts, it will be a tough road to locking up Aiyuk to a long-term deal. If the team does decide to trade him, a first-round pick should be coming in return. Although Lynch has stated they would like to keep the 26-year-old, it wouldn't be shocking if he's dealt on draft night.

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Mitchell Wilcox Apr 22 4:40pm ET
Mitchell Wilcox

The New England Patriots signed free-agent tight end Mitchell Wilcox on Monday, the team announced on X. Originally undrafted out of the 2020 class, Wilcox has spent the last four years with the Cincinnati Bengals. In 48 career games, the South Florida product has hauled in 29 of his 35 targets for 211 yards and one touchdown. The Patriots re-signed Hunter Henry to a three-year, $27 million deal this offseason, so the TE1 role is occupied in Foxborough. Wilcox could have the chance to compete with Austin Hooper for the TE2 job, but Hooper is likely the favorite to back up Henry. That said, Wilcox can be ignored in fantasy football.

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Dak Prescott Apr 22 4:20pm ET
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Zach Wilson Apr 22 2:50pm ET
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From RotoBaller

Matt Ryan Apr 22 2:40pm ET
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The New England Patriots are listening and taking calls from teams looking to move up to the No. 3 overall pick in the first round of Thursday's NFL draft. General manager Eliot Wolf is running point on the team's draft, but sources are saying president Jonathan Kraft is heavily involved in the decision-making process. Most people think the Patriots will ultimately stay at No. 3 and take a quarterback of the future after moving on from Mac Jones this offseason. Teams like the Minnesota Vikings, Las Vegas Raiders, New York Giants and Denver Broncos would be the most likely to trade up to No. 3 to take a QB. If the Patriots stay put and select third overall, whatever rookie signal-caller they take would be competing with veteran Jacoby Brissett for the starting gig under center this fall.

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Sam Hubbard Apr 22 2:30pm ET
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Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Sam Hubbard (ankle) was held out of two games in 2023 due to a right-ankle injury that required significant offseason surgery. Hubbard said that he had a complete deltoid reconstruction in his ankle and tight-rope procedure to fix his ankle. He said his ankle bothered him as early as training camp, and it became more severe later in the year. Through the first nine weeks of 2023, Hubbard ranked 28th in the NFL in pass-rush win rate as an edge rusher. But when he returned to the field in Week 12 until the end of the season, he ranked 49th out of 54 players in that category. The good news is that the 28-year-old says he'll be ready for training camp this summer. However, it's fair to wonder about how effective he'll be rushing the passer in 2024 after coming off a pretty significant surgery.

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Levi Wallace Apr 22 2:30pm ET
Levi Wallace

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Rashee Rice Apr 22 2:20pm ET
Rashee Rice

ESPN's Adam Schefter is reporting that Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice is expected to be disciplined by the NFL, resulting in at least a multi-game suspension. Rice is currently facing eight charges after he and another driver of a speeding car allegedly caused a crash involving a half-dozen vehicles in Dallas last month. He turned himself into police last week before being released on bond. The looming suspension for Rice could push the Chiefs, who own the No. 32 pick in this week's NFL draft, to keep a close eye on receivers in the draft. KC would have been expected to look for receiver help even before Rice's off-field troubles. They had the most drops in the league (38) in 2023. Rice was quarterback Patrick Mahomes' favorite target outside of tight end Travis Kelce last year, but his fantasy stock is going to take a hit going into 2024 with a suspension looming.

From RotoBaller

Darren Waller Apr 22 8:33am ET
Darren Waller

Dynasty | Giants tight end Darren Waller is still mulling retirement. Dynasty Analysis: Waller has dealt with a lot of injuries over his career and it seems as if he's really considering calling it quits. The Giants are reportedly giving him a lot of time to consider his options and not forcing a decision, though it's quite certain they'd like to know prior to next week's NFL Draft as his loss could actually make Brock Bowers a consideration with their pick in the top ten. Regardless, it looks like Waller is certainly towards the end of his career and dynasty managers need to start making plans to be without him in the near future, possibly as soon as this year.

Michael Pratt Apr 21 11:10pm ET
Michael Pratt

ESPN New York's Rich Cimini writes that it sounds as if New York Jets general manager Joe Douglas is serious about adding a quarterback on Day 3 of this year's NFL draft, saying he'd love to create "a quarterback factory" like the Green Bay Packers did in the 1990s. The dream is to find a late-round gem, and the Jets hold the final pick in the draft (No. 257 overall). The Jets hosted Tulane's Michael Pratt, Florida State's Jordan Travis and Samford's Michael Hiers, with each QB being a potential Day 3 pick. Kentucky's Devin Leary and Tennessee's Joe Milton III could also be candidates. Douglas hasn't had much luck in his career drafting quarterbacks, either, so it's surely something he'd like to change.

From RotoBaller

Brock Bowers Apr 21 11:00pm ET
Brock Bowers

Georgia tight end Brock Bowers is the odds-on favorite to be taken by the New York Jets with the 10th overall pick in the NFL draft on Thursday night, according to ESPN draft experts. If that happens, it would be the first time in 16 seasons that quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been gifted a first-round pick at receiver or tight end. General manager Joe Douglas referred to Bowers as a "Swiss Army knife." The Jets are also interested in offensive tackles -- Notre Dame's Joe Alt, Oregon State's Taliese Fuaga and Washington's Troy Fautanu are thought to be their top preferences -- but they could take a receiver in the unlikely event one of the top three falls to 10th overall. If the Jets do take Bowers, he could have immediate fantasy value in his rookie year as long as Rodgers stays healthy.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 21 10:50pm ET
Drake Maye

ESPN New York's Jordan Ranaan says there's little doubt the New York Giants want to add a quarterback in the upcoming NFL draft. The Giants have had almost all of the top QBs in this year's class in for visits and either had private workouts or the team's most important decision-makers attended their pro days. Multiple general managers think QBs will be taken with each of the top four picks. The Giants have the No. 6 pick. It would be costly for the G-Men to jump into the top five, especially since the thought in league circles is that the Vikings are eyeing a trade up. There is a strong belief by some in the league that North Carolina QB Drake Maye is the Giants' guy. The physical talent is there with Maye, but he's also going to be more of a project than the other top QB options in this year's draft. Sitting a year behind Daniel Jones would be ideal.

From RotoBaller

Mitchell Wilcox Apr 21 10:40pm ET
Mitchell Wilcox

The New England Patriots quietly brought in free-agent tight ends Brycen Hopkins, Sean McKeon and Mitchell Wilcox in for workouts late last week, which could reflect on their desire to add another layer to the tight end depth chart of Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper and La'Michael Pettway. Hopkins has only 13 receptions on 19 targets for 196 yards and no touchdowns in his four NFL seasons with the Los Angeles Rams. McKeon ended the 2023 season on Injured Reserve due to an ankle injury and has only six catches on 11 targets for 38 yards and one touchdown in his four NFL seasons with the Dallas Cowboys. Wilcox has 29 catches on 35 targets for 211 yards and one touchdowns in his three years with the Cincinnati Bengals.

From RotoBaller

Ricky Pearsall Apr 21 10:30pm ET
Ricky Pearsall

New England Patriots director of scouting Eliot Wolf said he doesn't think the team currently has a wide receiver that "can beat the backside coverage every single time." The Patriots are most likely to draft their quarterback of the future with the No. 3 overall pick, but they could pair him with a receiver with their next pick at No. 34 overall. ESPN's Field Yates believes South Carolina's Xavier Legette, Florida State's Keon Coleman or Florida's Ricky Pearsall could all be good fits. Legette caught 71 passes for 1,255 yards and seven touchdowns last year and "has some of the best run-after-catch skills in the class," according to Yates. Coleman's size (6-foot-3, 213 pounds) makes him a top red-zone performer. Pearsall caught 65 passes for 965 yards and four touchdowns in 2023.

From RotoBaller