Wed Nov 6 8:57am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Henry is setup for big Week 10
There are six teams on a bye this week, making it really tough to set lineups for many fantasy owners. So get those lineups set early. Make your waiver wire moves and decisions early, so you aren’t left hanging come Sunday. You don’t want to be late to the game and have no quality players left to start for Week 10. Get those lineups in order in a timely fashion. This could be a tough week.
With that said, here are my random thoughts for the week. . . . .
Packers running back Jamaal Williams has really surprise me this year. I was expected Aaron Jones to really get most of the work at running back with a new coaching staff around, finally becoming the focal point of the running game. Jones has gotten plenty of work, but Williams keeps hanging around and producing. He has receiving touchdowns four straight games. He also has at least three receptions (17 total) all four of those games. Williams has been a productive fantasy back and useful flex play in his current role with the Packers.
I’m really impressed by the Lions passing attack. Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones have really taken their games to new levels while Danny Amendola has been a great fit for the slot. These three make it very tough for the opposition, providing something different at the receiver spot. Matthew Stafford has been the biggest benefactor of this, producing his best season in a while. He has five three-touchdown games and I don’t think that is a fluke. He is going to keep producing.
Lamar Jackson has fewer than 200-passing yards three of four games. His passing numbers might be down but that doesn’t mean his fantasy numbers are suffering. Jackson has 60-plus rushing yards five straight games, including two 100-yard games during that stretch. He just keeps getting it done, getting his points in many different ways. I would expect his production to continue to be high the rest of the way because of his dual threat ability. We are nine weeks into the season and Jackson is No. 1 overall in fantasy quarterback scoring.
I’m kind of anxious to see Bengals rookie quarterback Ryan Finley in action. He was pretty impressive in preseason action and the Bengals possess a pretty good passing attack in this offense. I’m not sure he is going to be a fantasy help at quarterback, but his insertion into the lineup might not be as big of a detriment as many are thinking. I’ll be watching him closely this weekend to see how he runs this offense.
I know Jameis Winston is a turnover machine and could be on his way out as the starter in Tampa after the season, but that doesn’t mean he isn’t a help to fantasy teams. Winston is all the way up sixth overall in the fantasy quarterback rankings. He has multiple touchdowns five of six games and 300-yard games three straight. He has five total 300-yard games for the season in the Bucs pass-first offense. Winston is getting it done for fantasy teams despite the turnovers.
It sure looked like Evan Engram was going to have a breakout season but things haven’t gone his way since a fast start. He had 100-yard games two of his first three, but hasn’t topped 55 yards since Week 3. He also is battling some sort of foot injury now, which is another concern. We might have to wait one more season for that huge year from Engram. He certainly has the potential, but needs to be on the field for that to happen. He is still yet to have a full season and his best season as a pro came his rookie year.
Tevin Coleman is having a bit of an uneven season. He has some huge games, including a three-touchdown performance in Week 8. But he has fewer than 10 fantasy points two of his last three games. He isn't a sure fantasy thing every week despite playing in a good 49ers run-first offense. The issue is with his consistency. He just isn’t getting the work in the passing game to make up for down rushing numbers. Coleman has not topped two receptions in a game this year. He would look like a better fantasy back if his work in the passing game saw an uptick in production. Until that happens, there could be more inconsistency from Coleman.
As always, don’t forget to check out my weekly rankings here: Week 10 rankings.
News and Notes: The Jets signed linebacker Paul Worrilow on Tuesday. . . . .The Jaguars announced quarterback Nick Foles will return as the starter following the team’s bye this week. Rookie Gardner Minshew is heading back to the bench, making Foles the starter once again now that he is healthy. . . . .The Bills signed defensive tackle Corey Liuget on Tuesday. . . . .The Ravens added some more depth at receiver and special teams, signing receiver De'Anthony Thomas on Tuesday.
Derrick Henry, RB, Titans. Henry didn’t have his greatest rushing performance last week but still found the end zone and finished with 99 total yards. He had a season-high three catches in the game, which was good to see for his fantasy owners. Henry has been very good at finding the end zone all season, having scores six of nine games. He also has 75 or more rushing yards six of nine games. Henry should keep his solid play going this week against the Chiefs. Kansas City allows the third most fantasy points to running backs and rank 29th overall against the run. Henry is a legit No. 1 fantasy back in this matchup.
Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals. Murray had his most impressive showing of the season his last time out. He played a great 49ers defense and threw for 241 yards and two touchdowns without a turnover. It was great to see after two straight games without a score, especially against such a great defense. Murray is 10th overall in fantasy quarterback scoring as a rookie and that is with getting shut out of the end zone three times. He has been a consistent producer. He is setup to build on last week, getting a weak Bucs secondary in Week 10. Tampa allows the third most fantasy points to quarterbacks and are 31st against the pass.
Hunter Henry, TE, Chargers. Henry has returned to the lineup with a vengeance. He has at least four receptions his last four and 80-plus yards three of those games. He was targeted a season-high 10 times last week, having seven receptions for 84 yards. He has moved into must-start territory for fantasy teams. Things are looking good for him to have another big performance in Week 10, playing the Raiders. Oakland allows the fourth most fantasy points to tight ends and are dead last against the pass.
Mark Ingram, RB, Ravens. Ingram had his highest rushing total of the season last week, rushing 15 times for 115 yards. He also had two receptions for 29 yards, giving him 144 total yards in the game. He had three straight games with fewer than 55-rushing yards before that one, so his production was good to see for his fantasy owners. Ingram didn’t score last week but has touchdowns four of eight games. He has produced consistent fantasy numbers much of the year because of all his work and ability to find the end zone. Ingram plays the Bengals this week, a team he scored against just a few weeks back. Cincinnati allows the second most fantasy points to running backs and rank dead last against the run, allowing 178-rushing yards per game.
Michael Gallup, WR, Cowboys. Gallup has quieted some in recent weeks, having fewer than 50 yards three straight games. He did find the end zone last week, though, and has been targeted 17 times his last three. So he is getting the chances and is always capable of big things in this passing attack. Gallup also has touchdowns two of four games. The Vikings are likely to have shutdown corner Xavier Rhodes on Amari Cooper, giving Gallup favorable coverages. Plus, the Vikings allow the 10th most fantasy points to receivers. Gallup could see his reception and yardage totals rise in this one.
Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons. Freeman is yet to have a rushing touchdown this season and failed to top 90-rushing yards in any game. The only thing saving his fantasy season is work in the passing game. He has two eight-reception gams and at least three catches all but a game. But even with that said, it is a concern to see him have fewer than 40-rushing yards four of five games. He is kind of a risk when he plays a tough defense, which is the case this week. The Saints allow the fourth fewest fantasy points to running backs and are fourth overall against the run. Freeman could have his struggles in this matchup.
Kirk Cousins, QB, Vikings. Cousins has really upped his game in recent weeks, having three-touchdown games three of four. He also has multiple scores four of give. It was quite the turnaround from earlier in the year. But he did have a game without a touchdown sprinkled in those great showings and has one or no scores four of nine games. He isn’t quite the sure thing just yet. He goes on the road this week to face a good Cowboys defense. Dallas allows the fifth fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks and allowed just seven passing touchdowns all year. Cousins might be a guy to sit this week despite his great play of late.
D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seahawks. Metcalf enjoyed his best game as a pro last week, so you are probably wondering why he makes this list. Well, he has a really tough matchup and has more than 70 yards in a game just twice all year. He can be a touchdown dependent player, and he might be shutout of the end zone this week. Metcalf plays the 49ers. San Francisco is first overall against the pass and allowed just seven passing touchdowns all year. Metcalf could come back down to earth after last week.
Todd Gurley, RB, Rams. Gurley has fewer than 65-rushing yards all but one game this year. And that game came in Week 1. And most disturbing is his lack of work in the passing game, having one or no receptions five of eight games. He has really been a fantasy bust to date. You see a matchup with the Steelers this week and think it might be a good one for Gurley, but Pittsburgh has been good defensively against the run. The Steelers allow the seventh most fantasy points to running backs. Gurley probably won’t have a breakout performance in this one.
Jarvis Landry, WR, Browns. Landry is getting more looks these days, which is encouraging. He has 23 targets his last two games. The problem is he has 11 receptions on those 23 targets. His fantasy numbers still aren’t great despite the added looks. He has just one touchdown this year and topped 70 yards just two times all year. Expect another mediocre performance in Week 10 against the Bills. Buffalo is third against the pass and allow just 184-passing yards per game.
Josh Allen, QB, Bills. Allen isn’t posting numbers that are off the charts but very consistent. He has multiple touchdowns four straight games. Allen also has multiple scores six of nine games. His yardage number aren’t always great but he gets his yards on the ground and scores, making him the 12th rated fantasy quarterback right now. He has value as a low-end No. 1. He should play well again this week against the Browns. Cleveland is allowing 26 points per game and the 13th most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Alex Erickson, WR, Bengals. Erickson has emerged as the top slot receiver for the Bengals. So even if A.J. Green returns this week, expect Erickson to still have a big role offensively. He has 14 receptions for 234 yards his last two games and at least four catches three straight. There is a rookie quarterback throwing to him this week, but that isn’t a huge concern because the Bengals should still throw often. They can’t run the ball, giving options in their passing game value despite the uncertainty at quarterback. Erickson gets the Ravens in Week 10, a team second against the run but just 26th against the pass.
J.D. McKissic, RB, Lions. McKissic has emerged as the pass-catching back for the Lions with Kerryon Johnson out. He has three receptions each of the last two games and at least two catches four straight. He also is getting a few chances to run the ball, having 29 or more rushing yards four games. So he has some value as a flex player for fantasy teams in the Lions pass-first offense. He could see his reception totals continue to rise going forward, especially this week against the Bears. Chicago has allowed the eighth most fantasy points to running backs.
O.J. Howard, TE, Bucs. Howard has been a disaster this year, doing next to nothing on the field while also having some injury issues. He missed the last two games with a hamstring injury but is coming back this week. He will return as the starter. If he is ever going to have that big week, this is the matchup for Howard. He gets a Cardinals team that has been horrific against the tight end. The Cardinals allow the most fantasy points to tight ends by a wide margin. Howard is worth a play this week, especially if you need a fill-in because of injury or bye weeks.
Jamison Crowder, WR, Jets. Crowder had his highest reception total of the season last week since Week 1, catching eight passes for 83 yards and a touchdown. He is the top weekly target in this Jets offense. He has at least four receptions five of eight games. He has value despite finding the end zone little. Crowder has a matchup this week to build on his showing from last week. He gets the Giants, a team that allows the third most fantasy points to receivers. Receivers have enjoyed big success against the Giants almost the entire season.
High/Low Scoring Games
Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low scoring games for the coming week. In high scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.
High Scoring Games: Chargers/Raiders, Falcons/Saints, Cardinals/Bucs.
Low Scoring Games: None.
Bye Weeks: Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, Patriots, Eagles, Redskins.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Dallas Cowboys tight end Jason Witten made four catches in Week 15, leading the team. Witten's four grabs were good for 36 yards and a touchdown. The veteran's score came on an excellent one-handed catch on a 19-yard play. Witten and the rest of the Dallas receivers weren't really needed in a game where the Cowboys were running all over the Rams Defense.
The Jaguars Defense had a solid game in Week 15 against the Raiders, holding them to 16 points in the game while recording four sacks. The Jaguars weren't able to come up with a turnover during the game, but they did a solid job keeping the Raiders out of the end zone in every drive but one. The Jaguars had allowed over 40 points in two of their past three games so this was encouraging to see. Their next matchup is against the Falcons in Week 16.
Dallas Cowboys tight end Blake Jarwin made two catches in Week 15, gaining 40 yards. The 40 yards were good for third on the team in receiving yards in a game where the Cowboys mostly kept the ball on the ground. Jarwin has shown that he has the talent to make a difference on the field, but as long as he's playing behind Jason Witten, his role will be too inconsistent to rely on as a fantasy asset.
Oakland Raiders quarterback Derek Carr led the team to a hot start out of the gate, but stumbled in the second half as the Jaguars went on to a 20-16 comeback victory. Carr connected with Tyrell Williams for a 40-yard score on the first drive of the game, but was held scoreless for the rest of the contest despite entering Jags territory on 10 drives. He finished the afternoon completing 22 of 36 passes for 267 yards in the final home game ever played in Oakland. Carr hasn't produced stellar fantasy numbers all season and will be off the radar in Week 16 versus the Chargers.
Carolina Panthers wide receiver D.J. Moore finished by collecting eight of his 10 targets for 113 yards during the loss to the Seahawks on Sunday. After a subpar Week 14 performance, Moore got it together despite his team having nothing left to play for. With at least six catches in 10 games this year, he remains a must-start moving ahead, especially for those in PPR formats.
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Amari Cooper made just one catch in Week 15, gaining only 19 yards. Cooper was only targeted twice in a game where Dak Prescott attempted only 23 passes. The Dallas offense was able to destroy the Rams with the ground game, so they had little need to air it out. Cooper's hugely disappointing game likely knocked more than a few fantasy teams out of the playoffs.
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Michael Gallup made just one catch in Week 15, gaining only six yards. Gallup was targeted three times in a game where the Cowboys dominated on the ground and didn't have much need to air the ball out. Gallup was hyped as a big play this week and along with Amari Cooper was one of the more disappointing players in fantasy this week. Both should have better outings next week in a battle for the NFC East against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan led the team to an impressive road victory over the 49ers in Week 15. He completed 25-of-39 passes for 210 yards and two touchdowns in the game and didn't have a single turnover. Ryan was locked in to Julio Jones all day, peppering him with 20 targets. Jones accounted for 134 of Ryan's 210 yards. Ryan is a low-end QB1 option right now. His next matchup is against the Jaguars in Week 16.
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Tavon Austin made his one catch count in Week 15, catching a 59-yard touchdown. He also rushed twice for three yards total. Austin was left all alone by the Rams Defense on his touchdown score. He has the speed to make a difference on a football field, but that's about the only tool he has. He won't be a fantasy option next week in what is essentially the NFC East Championship Game.
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Chris Conley had a strong showing in Week 15 against the Raiders. He was targeted a team-high eight times and wound up with four catches for 49 yards and two touchdowns in the game. The team was without D.J. Chark (ankle) this week and both Conley and Keelan Cole took advantage. Cole led the team with 76 receiving yards in the game. If Chark remains out next week, Conley is a viable option as a WR3 of flex with a favorable Week 16 matchup against the Falcons.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott managed his team to a big win in Week 15. He completed 15 of his 23 pass attempts for 212 yards and two touchdowns. He added 13 yards on the ground on six scrambles. The Cowboys ended up dominating the Rams on both sides of the ball, and Prescott simply didn't need to do much, even taking a seat near the end of the fourth quarter while backup quarterback Cooper Rush finished things out. Prescott should have more chances to throw in a crucial game for the NFC East next week against the Eagles.
Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott ran all over the Los Angeles Rams Defense in Week 15. He ran the ball 24 times for 117 yards and two touchdowns, adding three catches for 43 more yards. "Zeke's" first score came on a one-yard plunge with his second coming from three yards out. It was a strong game from Elliott, who will be needed again in a critical battle for the NFC East title next week against the Eagles.
Dallas Cowboys rookie running back Tony Pollard led the Cowboys in rushing in Week 15, running the ball 12 times for 131 yards and a touchdown. He added two catches for 12 more yards. Pollard's score came on a 44-yard run in garbage time with the Cowboys just trying to run out the clock. Pollard wasn't expected to do this much, but with the Cowboys destroying the Rams on both sides of the ball, starter Ezekiel Elliott yielded fourth quarter playing time to the rookie Pollard.
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Dede Westbrook had a quiet game against the Raiders in Week 15. He was targeted four times in the game and wound up with two receptions for 14 yards. The team was without D.J. Chark (ankle) in the game, but it was Keelan Cole and Chris Conley who were able to take advantage. Cole led the team with 76 receiving yards while Conley scored two touchdowns. Westbrook has been held under 30 receiving yards in two straight games now. If Chark remains out, Westbrook could be worth consideration as a WR3 or flex next week against the Falcons.
Carolina Panthers tight end Ian Thomas finished with two catches for 23 yards during the Week 15 loss to the Seahawks. After the 23-year-old compiled five receptions for 57 yards and a touchdown against the Falcons in Week 14, Sunday's performance was a major disappointment. Greg Olsen (concussion) may be back against the Colts, but if he isn't, Thomas still has some value for those in need of a streamer at the tight end position.
Jacksonville Jaguars kicker Josh Lambo connected on both of his field goal attempts in Week 15, a 28-yarder and a 43-yarder. He also hit both of his extra-point attempts in the game. Lambo has converted on 28 of his 29 field goal attempts this year, which is of course fantastic. However, the Jaguars haven't been able to get him a lot of attempts lately. He had only one field goal attempt in four of his past five games. Because of his efficiency, he's a possible low-end starting kicker option, but you may want to go with someone who receives more steady opportunities.
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Leonard Fournette performed adequately in Week 15 against the Raiders. He rushed the ball 15 times for 42 yards while adding 5 receptions for 31 yards on seven targets. You can live with the production in PPR, but it's a bit of an underwhelming performance for non-PPR. Fournette has been held without a touchdown and under 100 total yards in three straight games now. He'll look to break that streak in Week 16 when the Jaguars face the Falcons.
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Ryquell Armstead rushed the ball just one time and gained only a single yard in Week 15 against the Raiders. Armstead had just three carries in his past five games coming into Week 15, so the minimal workload was no surprise. He's shown some promising flashes this year, most notably a five-catch game against the Texans in early November, but he would need an injury to the team's No. 1 running back Leonard Fournette in order to gain fantasy relevance.
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Keelan Cole had three catches for 76 yards on six targets in Week 15 against the Raiders. Cole led the team in receiving yards, but he was third in targets behind Chris Conley and Leonard Fournette. Cole benefited from the absence of D.J. Chark (ankle) in this game, and he could remain a viable low-end fantasy option for as long as Chark ends up being out.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew had a solid game against the Raiders in Week 15. He completed 17-of-29 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. He was turnover-free in the game and also added 27 rushing yards. Minshew had disappointed in his past three starts, failing to top 200 yards in two of the games while throwing two interceptions and no touchdowns in the third game. So it was encouraging to see him take advantage of a favorable matchup. He has another favorable matchup against the Falcons in Week 16.