RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 13

Fri Nov 29 10:57pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Foles is worth using Week 13


Week 13 is already well underway after we had three games on Thanksgiving. There are no teams on a bye, though, so we still have plenty of options available for the Sunday-Monday slate of DFS. Let’s take a look across each of the positions and highlight some of the better players to consider for your entry, as well as a few to avoid.

QUARTERBACKS

Top-tier option: Patrick Mahomes, KC vs. OAK ($6,900): In terms of something you don’t see very often, Mahomes threw for fewer than 200 yards in Week 11 against the Chargers. He finished with only 182 yards, to be exact, to go along with one touchdown and one interception. As disappointing as that was, he’s had a bye week to rest and prepare for this matchup against the Raiders, who he torched for 443 yards and four touchdowns in Week 2. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game in the league, so look for Mahomes to bounce back in a big way.

Cheap target: Nick Foles, JAC vs. TB ($5,800): The Jaguars were smoked by 22 points by the Titans last week, scoring only 20 points of their own in the process. Foles threw for 272 yards, but he failed to register a touchdown pass. Like Mahomes, Foles is also poised for a big rebound performance based on this matchup against a Bucs team that has allowed the second-most passing yards per game and is tied for the second-most touchdown passes allowed

Player to avoid: Philip Rivers, LAC at DEN ($6,000): We may be witnessing the end with Rivers. He’s thrown seven interceptions across his last two games, giving him 14 for the season compared to just 15 touchdown passes. The last time he faced the Broncos, they held him to 211 yards and no touchdowns while picking him off two times in Los Angeles. The Broncos have a stout secondary, so I can’t justify taking a chance on Rivers when Foles has a much more favorable matchup and is $200 cheaper.

RUNNING BACKS

Top-tier option: Christian McCaffrey, CAR vs. WAS ($9,000): Fading McCaffrey can prove costly. His floor is as high as anyone’s in the league with him posting 1,123 rushing yards, 586 receiving yards and 16 total touchdowns. He’s been a workhorse with 221 carries and 83 targets through just 11 games. With the Redskins allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game, it’s difficult to envision a scenario in which they can slow down McCaffrey.

Cheap target: Phillip Lindsay, DEN vs. LAC ($6,300): It’s ugly at the quarterback spot for the Broncos right now. Brandon Allen has not played well in place of Joe Flacco (neck), so there is a chance that rookie Drew Lock replaces him under center. Regardless of who starts, expect the Broncos to rely heavily on their ground attack. That could result in a big afternoon for Lindsay, who had 114 rushing yards, 33 receiving yards and a touchdown against the Chargers in Week 5.

Player to avoid: Tevin Coleman, SF at BAL ($6,800): Even with Matt Breida (ankle) sidelined the last two weeks, Coleman has only totaled 53 rushing yards on 23 carries. He did find his way into the endzone against the Packers last week, but that’s still not enough production to justify his price tag. Add in having to face a Ravens team that has allowed third-fewest rushing yards per game and Coleman is a hard pass in my eyes.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Top-tier option: Cooper Kupp, LAR at ARI ($7,200): The Rams’ offense has gone cold, scoring 17 points or fewer in three straight games. It’s no surprise that Kupp only has nine catches for 88 yards during that stretch. After targeting him only seven total times in Weeks 10 and 11, the Rams finally smartened up and threw 10 balls his away against the Ravens last week. He caught six of them for 35 yards, which was a bummer of a stat line. Still, with the Cardinals allowing the most passing yards per game, Kupp could go off in this contest if he receives a similar workload.

Cheap target: DeVante Parker, MIA vs. PHI ($5,700): From a fantasy perspective, the Dolphins trailing as often as they do is a good thing for their wide receivers. That means they have to throw a lot to try and keep pace. When Preston Williams (knee) recently went down, Parker was left with a heavy workload to shoulder. He’s received 31 targets across the last three games without Williams, catching 18 of them for 295 yards. While he didn’t find his way into the endzone, his new role provides him with plenty of upside at this price.

Player to avoid: DeAndre Hopkins, HOU vs. NE ($8,000): This has nothing to do with Hopkins’ performance. He’s once again been a monster for the Texans and is coming off a performance against the Colts last week in which he posted 94 yards and two touchdowns. However, he’s the most expensive receiver on the slate and is facing a Patriots defense that has allowed only four passing touchdowns all season. On top of that, they have a staggering 20 interceptions. It might be best to spend your money elsewhere.

TIGHT ENDS

Top-tier option: Travis Kelce, KC vs. OAK ($6,300):  With the aforementioned stellar performance by Mahomes against the Raiders earlier this season, it’s no surprise that Kelce registered seven catches for 107 yards and a touchdown in that contest. He’s also playing well heading into their rematch, posting at least 62 receiving yards in four straight games while catching a touchdown pass in three of those contests. Even though he is pricey, he’s arguably the safest tight end on the slate.

Cheap target: Ryan Griffin, NYJ at CIN ($4,400): The Jets didn’t get Griffin involved in the offense much out of the gate, but he’s become a revelation for them down the stretch. He’s registered at least 50 receiving yards in three of his last five games, which included a 109-yard performance against the Redskins in Week 11.  He also has four touchdown receptions during that five-game stretch. At this cheap price, he’s worth considering if you want to fade Kelce in tournament play.

Player to avoid: Mark Andrews, BAL vs. SF ($5,800): With the way Lamar Jackson is playing, putting Andrews here might not seem wise. However, I’m leery of the 49ers’ defense since they have allowed an average of just 136.9 passing yards per game. Kelce has significantly more upside and is only $500 more, so taking a chance on Andrews bucking the trend against a great defense seems unwise.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Player Notes
Marquise Goodwin Dec 11 12:50am ET

The San Francisco 49ers placed wide receiver Marquise Goodwin (foot, knee) on injured reserve on Tuesday. The seven-year pro has been dealing with chronic leg issues and will be shut down to undergo treatment. Goodwin managed just 12 catches for 186 yards and a touchdown in 2019 and its probable his three-year tenure with the Niners is over. The speedster will likely find his way onto another roster next year but at 29 years old, Goodwin holds minimal dynasty value. With Goodwin shelved, wideout Kendrick Bourne will continue operating as the primary third receiver. With five scores over his past six games, Bourne has emerged as a red zone threat and will be a low-volume WR5 in Week 15 against the Atlanta Falcons.

From RotoBaller

Marquise Goodwin Dec 10 5:33pm ET

San Francisco 49ers WR Marquise Goodwin (knee) was placed on the Reserve/Injured list with a knee injury on Tuesday, Dec. 10.

From TheHuddle

Demaryius Thomas Dec 10 5:23pm ET

New York Jets S Jamal Adams (ankle), OT Chuma Edoga (knee), TE Ryan Griffin (ankle), CB Arthur Maulet (calf), CB Brian Poole (concussion), RB Bilal Powell (ankle, illness), WR Demaryius Thomas (hamstring, knee) and DL Quinnen Williams (neck) did not practice Tuesday, Dec. 10. OT Kelvin Beachum (ankles), S Matthias Farley (ankle), DL Steve McLendon (knee, hip), RB Ty Montgomery (foot, hip) and DL Nathan Shepherd (ankle) were limited. RB Le'Veon Bell (illness), CB Maurice Canady (shoulder), OL Tom Compton (ankle), QB Sam Darnold (knee, thumb), QB David Fales (elbow) and LB Paul Worrilow (quad) participated in full.

From TheHuddle

Mark Ingram Dec 10 5:13pm ET

Baltimore Ravens LB Chris Board (concussion), DB Anthony Levine (ankle), OT Ronnie Stanley (concussion), RB Mark Ingram (non-injury), S Earl Thomas (non-injury) and DT Brandon Williams (non-injury) did not practice Tuesday, Dec. 10. TE Mark Andrews (knee), QB Lamar Jackson (quad) and DE Jihad Ward (elbow) were limited.

From TheHuddle

Calvin Ridley Dec 10 4:53pm ET

Atlanta Falcons WR Calvin Ridley (abdominal) and CB Desmond Trufant (forearm) were placed on the Reserve/Injured list on Tuesday, Dec. 10. LB Ahmad Thomas was signed to the active roster, while TE Carson Meier and LB Quentin Poling were added to the practice squad.

From TheHuddle

Alshon Jeffery Dec 10 4:43pm ET

Philadelphia Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery (foot) is out for the rest of the season with a foot injury he suffered in Week 14 against the New York Giants, according to a source. The team is still reportedly gathering opinions about the exact injury, however.

Fantasy Spin: This injury wraps up yet another injury-shortened season for the 29-year-old, who has played a full season once in the last five years - averaging only 12 games over that span. Jeffrey is still due $12.75 million over each of the final two years of his deal, so he's probably not going anywhere this offseason. With Nelson Agholor also ailing, the Eagles could be forced to finish the season with Greg Ward, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside and a few practice squad players at the position.

From TheHuddle

Rodney Gunter Dec 10 4:33pm ET

Arizona Cardinals DL Rodney Gunter (toe) was placed on the Reserve/Injured list with a toe injury on Tuesday, Dec. 10. DL Caraun Reid (Cardinals) was re-signed to an undisclosed contract to replace him on the roster after getting released over the weekend.

From TheHuddle

Simeon Thomas Dec 10 4:23pm ET

Washington Redskins CB Simeon Thomas was handed a four-game suspension by the NFL on Tuesday, Dec. 10, for violating the league's policy and program on substances of abuse.

From TheHuddle

Marvin Jones Dec 10 4:23pm ET

Detroit Lions WR Marvin Jones (ankle) was placed on the Reserve/Injured list with an ankle injury on Tuesday, Dec. 10.

Fantasy Spin: The hits just keep coming for Detroit, which figures to lean on Kenny Golladay even more the rest of the way. Danny Amendola should also see more targets as well.

From TheHuddle

Auden Tate Dec 10 3:40pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Auden Tate (knee) was placed on the injured reserve Tuesday, ending his season. Tate sustained a mild MCL sprain in his left knee in the third quarter of the teams Week 14 loss to the Cleveland Browns. Damion Willis was promoted to the active roster in a corresponding roster move. Tate took advantage of all the injuries to the Bengals receiving corps this season, racking up a career-high 40 catches for 575 yards and one touchdown, and is a worthy hold in dynasty leagues heading into his third season.

From RotoBaller

Cooper Kupp Dec 10 3:23pm ET

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp played only 20 of a possible 68 snaps in Week 14 versus the Seattle Seahawks.

Fantasy Spin: By comparison, Kupp logged 57 snaps in Week 13. Head coach Sean McVay defended the move by suggesting it was the cost of doing business in order to establish some offensive balance on early downs. However, the flaw in that reasoning is that Kupp's playing time should not be cut in favor of backup tight end Johnny Mundt. Meanwhile, Brandin Cooks didn't make a catch in his 61 snaps. Expect Kupp to return to his normal snap count in Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys.

From TheHuddle

Jamar Taylor Dec 10 3:13pm ET

Free-agent CB Jamar Taylor (Seahawks) signed an undisclosed contract with the Atlanta Falcons on Tuesday, Dec. 10.

From TheHuddle

Le'Veon Bell Dec 10 3:03pm ET

New York Jets RB Le'Veon Bell is among the players the team is expected to make available via trade this offseason, according to sources.

Fantasy Spin: Bell is averaging only 49.1 yards rushing behind one of the league's worst offensive lines in his first season with the Jets, and it is becoming increasingly clear head coach Adam Gase either can't find a way to keep him involved in the offense or doesn't want to. A trade will be hard to accomplish as well, as the Jets would take a $15.5 million cap hit if they deal him and his hypothetical new team would have to find a way to fit one of the larger contracts at his position onto the roster.

From TheHuddle

Auden Tate Dec 10 2:53pm ET

Cincinnati Bengals WR Auden Tate (knee) was placed on the Reserve/Injured list with a sprained left medial collateral ligament Tuesday, Dec. 10. WR Damion Willis was elevated from the practice squad to replace him on the roster.

Fantasy Spin: Tate's emergence was probably the best thing to happen to the Bengals in an otherwise lost season. Assuming A.J. Green re-signs with the team in the offseason, Tate will probably push John Ross for the other starting outside job while Tyler Boyd remains the main slot receiver. Tate, who finishes this season with 40 catches for 575 yards and a touchdown, should be considered a solid late-round flier next summer in fantasy drafts.

From TheHuddle

Cedrick Wilson Dec 10 2:43pm ET

Dallas Cowboys WR Cedrick Wilson (knee) was placed on the Reserve/Injured list Tuesday, Dec. 10. OT Mitch Hyatt was elevated from the practice squad to replace him on the roster.

From TheHuddle

Parris Campbell Dec 10 2:40pm ET

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Parris Campbell (foot) has been placed on Injured Reserve ending his season. It's an unfortunate, yet fitting, end to the rookie's season having battled injuries to his hamstring, abdomen, and a broken hand before a fractured foot put him on season-ending IR. Campbell finishes his rookie season with 18 catches for 127 yards and one touchdown. The Colts are still unsure of T.Y. Hilton's (calf) status for their Monday night game vs New Orleans, but it's looking increasingly likely Hilton misses the game. Assuming Hilton is out, Zach Pascal has interesting WR3 value with Marcus Johnson also in the mix in deeper fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

James Conner Dec 10 2:30pm ET

The Pittsburgh Steelers are expecting to get wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee) and running back James Conner (shoulder) back in time for their Week 15 game against the Buffalo Bills. Neither has played since getting injured against the Cleveland Browns in Week 11. Both players are expected to practice this week in what would be a big boost to the Pittsburgh offense as the team looks to remain in the playoff picture. Conner's return would come at an especially good time as Jaylen Samuels is looking questionable for this weekend with a groin injury. That being said, fantasy GMs need to temper their expectations for both players as the Bills have been stout on defense this season.

From RotoBaller

Calvin Ridley Dec 10 2:20pm ET

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Calvin Ridley (abdomen) will be out for the remainder of the season after suffering an abdominal injury during the first half of Week 14's win over the Carolina Panthers. Ridley had a big game before the injury, catching five balls for 76 yards and a touchdown but went down before halftime and was unable to stand on his own. He was carted off the field and looked to be in significant pain. With Ridley out look for Russell Gage to slide in as the No. 2 receiver in Atlanta opposite Julio Jones. Gage is worth a look as a flex play in fantasy leagues going forward.

From RotoBaller

Bilal Powell Dec 10 2:20pm ET

New York Jets running back Bilal Powell (ankle, illness) is not expected to play Thursday night at Baltimore. Powell, who was filling in for Le'Veon Bell (illness) injured his ankle at the end of the Jets Week 14 win over the Dolphins. Powell is also apparently dealing with the flu but head coach Adam Gase said the ankle is the bigger concern right now. Powell is yet to officially be ruled out, but all signs are pointing to him not suiting up this week. The good news for New York is Bell is reportedly close to 100 percent and should reclaim his starting role with Ty Montgomery working as a change of pace back. Powell can safely be dropped by those that picked him up for the Miami game.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Chark Dec 10 2:10pm ET

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver D.J. Chark (ankle) was spotted in a walking boot on Monday and left the locker room using a scooter. Head coach Doug Marrone told reporters that Chark is "week-to-week" with the injury, which puts the remainder of his season in jeopardy. Chark broke out in a big way for Jacksonville in 2019, catching 67 balls for 956 yards and eight touchdowns. With Chark sidelined, look for Dede Westbrook, Chris Conley, and Keelan Cole to all see more chances within the Jacksonville passing attack.

From RotoBaller