Although Week 25 brings a packed schedule, there aren't as many projected two-start pitchers as one might think. Some teams have shifted to six-man rotations, meaning they won't have anyone start twice if they also have one off day during the week. Among those who are scheduled to take the mound twice each are a couple of big names with massive fantasy upside. Let's highlight five projected two-start pitchers next week and discuss what their matchups could mean for their fantasy production.
Dylan Cease, Toronto Blue Jays: at ATH, vs. BAL
Cease mowed down the Guardians in his last start, posting four strikeouts over six scoreless innings. He didn't walk a batter and gave up only four hits. He threw just 83 pitches, so he likely would have logged at least one more inning if the Blue Jays hadn't already built a huge lead. One of the front runners for the AL Cy Young award, Cease enters the stretch run with a 2.25 ERA, 2.74 xERA and a 35.5% strikeout rate.
Whenever Cease takes the mound twice in a week, he can carry fantasy managers to a win in their weekly matchups. His matchup against the Athletics at their hitter-friendly home park isn't ideal, but they do have the 12th-highest strikeout rate in baseball. When he faced them to begin the season, he punched out 12 hitters over 5 1/3 innings. The Orioles have the fifth-highest strikeout rate, so Cease can also rack up strikeouts in that matchup. Deploy him with confidence next week.
Cam Schlittler, New York Yankees: vs. COL, vs. NYM
Schlittler is the other top candidate for the AL Cy Young award. He dominated the Angels in his last start, allowing one run over eight innings. He had nine strikeouts while giving up two hits and no walks. His WHIP is down to 0.94 for the season, and he has already surpassed 200 strikeouts. After posting a 27.6% strikeout rate and a 10.2% walk rate last season, he has a 31.0% strikeout rate and a 6.2% walk rate this year.
The overpowering righty has two home starts coming his way next week, the first of which is an excellent matchup against the Rockies. They are productive at Coors Field, but they only have a .708 OPS on the road. He will then take on the Mets, who have scored the fifth-fewest runs in baseball. Two dominant stat lines could be on the horizon.
Troy Melton, Detroit Tigers: vs. MIN, vs. COL
Melton was hit hard by the Twins in his last outing, allowing seven runs (five earned) across 5 1/3 innings. That was only the second time over 17 starts that he allowed more than three earned runs. The 25-year-old has been excellent since being called up to the majors, recording a 2.20 ERA. His xERA isn't as impressive, but it's certainly not bad at 3.59. Strikeouts aren't his forte, but he has limited hitters to a 36.9% hard-hit rate.
Melton faces the Twins again to begin Week 25, but will be at home for the rematch. That could be key because he has a 23.2% strikeout rate at home, versus 18.4% on the road. He'll stay in Detroit for his second matchup against the Rockies, who we already detailed their lack of production away from Coors Field. Don't overreact to Melton's poor performance in his last outing. He has the potential to bounce back in a big way.
Trevor Rogers, Baltimore Orioles: vs. CLE, at TOR
Rogers was one of the biggest surprises in baseball last year with his 1.81 ERA over 18 starts. He was a bit lucky, though, given his 3.40 xERA. His luck has gone in the other direction this season, considering he has a 4.30 ERA despite his 3.77 xERA. He has actually lowered his hard-hit rate allowed from 48.4% last year to 37.8% this season. After a slow start in the strikeout department, he has 84 strikeouts over his last 78 1/3 innings.
The Guardians and Blue Jays don't strike out much, but they also don't generate many runs. The Guardians have scored the third-fewest runs, while the Blue Jays have scored the second fewest. They also both rank inside the bottom-four in baseball in OPS against left-handed pitchers. Based on these two matchups, Rogers could be worth the risk in 12-team and deeper leagues.
Jacob Lopez, Athletics: vs. TOR, vs. SEA
Lopez has quietly been excellent since the All-Star break. Over his last nine outings, he has a 2.36 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. During that span, he posted 60 strikeouts over 49 2/3 innings. He didn't exactly beat up on bad lineups, either. Those nine outings included matchups with the Nationals, Astros, Twins, Rays and Red Sox. His ERA for the season sits at 4.71, but his 3.41 xERA paints a more promising picture about his performance.
During his recent hot streak, five of his nine starts were at home. Even in one of the most hitter-friendly environments in the league, Lopez is still pitching well. These are the bottom two teams in the league in runs scored. The Blue Jays also don't have much power, hitting the third-fewest home runs. There is risk that comes with Lopez because of his home park, but the combination of his improved pitching and these two matchups make him at least worth considering in deeper formats.

